Run For Pat can clock up the miles
A whole heap of horses line up in the 13:24 Maiden Hurdle, and while there are plenty of numbers, 12 of them were 66/1 plus last night on the Sportsbook, it has no depth. And with Arthur Moore’s Whowonthetoss favourite at 11/8 I am keen to take him on with Gordon Elliott’s Run For Pat at 2/1.
He finished third on his debut at Navan last month, and in terms of jumping it was a rather inauspicious beginning with several scrappy leaps. He produced a couple of better jumps down the far side when the tempo slowed down, but down the straight he was messy and virtually flattened the final flight.
However, he wasn’t given a hard race and to the eye looked a stayer as he didn’t pick up immediately. The ground was also good at Navan, and I doubt that suited as two of his half-brothers in Ballyward and Ifyoucatchmenow liked soft and heavy. Ballyward sadly died as a 7yo but had a big future with Willie Mullins, and he ran in the National Hunt Chase, so there is plenty of stamina in his pedigree.
Whowonthetoss has the experience, and while he was in action against Sir Gerhard last time, he was well beaten at Leopardstown and has had four goes.
Run For Pat was green on his first start and wasn’t given a hard time of things by his jockey, so we should see a better horse today for Elliott, who already has 15 winners at Fairyhouse this season.
Luccia can be taken on with Lacey’s runner
A slightly left-field double today, quite a few were in contention for my second pick, and Secret She Keeps was one, but she’s too short in the betting in Ireland, while Corach Rambler was another for Warwick’s big race, but in the end I have gone for Blow Your Wad in the closing bumper, and I never mind backing a newcomer in a NH Flat race. Over Christmas we had Filanderer winning for the column on his first start at double figures, and this newcomer had been backed on Friday evening.
Blow Your Wad was indeed that at the Goffs Landrover Sale last July, fetching 70,000 euros as a 3yo to join owners Jerry Hinds and Ashley Head. The price understable given his dam is a half-sister to the brilliant Champion Hurdle winner Faugheen. Jerry Hinds has had many good horses in his colours and owned one of my all-time favourites Megastar with Gary Moore. What a looker he was.
His trainer Tom Lacey has success in the bumper sphere and has held an 18% strike-rate over the last five seasons with 21 winners. Nicky Henderson’s Luccia is the favourite, and while it’s a bit of cliche to say if Blow Your Wad was trained by Henderson he’d be shorter, it’s probably true. I’d rather back him than Luccia at 7/4.
The double pays nearly 9/1.