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Tuscans in trouble

Empoli v Spezia
Saturday April 9, 14:00

After a bright start to the season, Empoli have simply collapsed and have failed to win their last 14 matches in Serie A. Their poor defending has been mostly to blame as the Tuscan outfit have kept just two clean sheets in their last 16 outings, although it is worth noting that there have been under 2.5 goals scored in seven of their last eight.

In stark contrast, Spezia have won two of their last three games and have climbed up to 15th place, just one spot and one point below their opponents on Saturday. The Infogol model gives them just a 28% chance of losing this clash, and on current form that seems to be the way to go.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under

Back Spezia to win 1-0 @ 13.012/1

Hellas to hinder title chase?

Inter v Hellas Verona
Saturday April 9, 17:00
Live on ESPN UK

Now four points behind league leaders Milan, Inter will be looking to close that gap on Saturday when they take on a Hellas Verona side who haven’t won on any of their last six visits to San Siro.

Yet Inter have won just three of their last 10 league games, their form slipping at the crucial moment to make the title race extremely tense as they look to chase down their crosstown rivals.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Back a 2-2 draw @ 17.016/1

Cagliari can’t cope

Cagliari v Juventus
Saturday April 9, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

Despite losing to Inter last weekend, Juventus – who are undefeated in their last nine away matches in Serie A – should be able to bounce back quickly. Cagliari have struggled in recent weeks and have lost each of their last four games, meaning they sit just three points above the relegation zone.

Yet this could still be a low scoring encounter, and it is important to note that while the Infogol model gives Juve just a 17% chance of losing, there have been under 2.5 goals scored in 17 of their last 20 games.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under

Back Juventus to win 2-0 @ 7.06/1

Gritty Genoa need points

Genoa v Lazio
Sunday April 10, 11:30
Live on BT Sport 1

There is no doubt that Genoa have become more difficult to beat since Alexander Blessin took charge, but they are still in desperate need of points. The Grifone sit 18th and are three points from safety after managing just one solitary win in the last 28 rounds of Serie A action.

Yet they have impressed defensively, seeing under 2.5 goals in each of their last nine and recording a clean sheet in five of their last seven on home soil. However, Lazio have only lost one of their last six away games against Genoa, with the Infogol model giving them just a 27% chance of defeat here.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under

Back Lazio to win 2-0 @ 8.07/1

Tough test for Napoli

Napoli v Fiorentina
Sunday April 10, 14:00
Live on BT Sport 1

This could well be an entertaining encounter, as Napoli seek to put more pressure on Milan in the title race. Luciano Spalletti’s men have won each of their last three games and have scored two or more goals in each of them, swinging into form at the perfect moment to make a Scudetto push.

Yet standing in their way is an impressive Fiorentina side who beat the Partenopei 5-2 in January and who have won on two of their last three visits to Naples.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Back Napoli to win 2-1 @ 7.513/2

Something has to give

Sassuolo v Atalanta
Sunday April 10, 14:00
Live on BT Sport Extra 1

Atalanta have not lost any of their last 12 meetings with Sunday’s opponents, but this match promises to be a true clash of styles. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 22 of Sassuolo’s last 25 games in Serie A, but Atalanta – no longer the swashbuckling entertainers they once were – have seen under 2.5 goals in each of their last four away games.

The Infogol model notably gives Atalanta just a 46% chance of winning this encounter.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Under

Back a 1-1 draw @ 7.513/2

Venezia vanishing

Venezia v Udinese
Sunday April 10, 14:00
Live on BT Sport Extra 2

The Infogol model gives Venezia just a 26% chance of winning this clash, and it is easy to see why. They have lost each of their last five league matches and have failed to score in their last three, slipping to 19th in the table and looking as if they will struggle to avoid dropping back into Serie B.

Meanwhile, Udinese have won just one of their last 13 away matches, but have improved of late, losing just one of their last six overall.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under

Back Udinese to win 1-0 @ 7.513/2

Roma are rolling

AS Roma v Salernitana
Sunday April 10, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 1

While Salernitana have failed to win any of their last 10 matches, their next opponents are undefeated over that same span, meaning it is no surprise to see the Infogol model give AS Roma an 80% chance of victory here.

Jose Mourinho’s men won the reverse fixture 4-0 back in August, and it would be no surprise to see them deliver another comprehensive result here.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Back Roma to win 3-0 @ 7.513/2

Tight affair in Turin

Torino v AC Milan
Sunday April 10, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

Having been held to a draw by Bologna on Monday, Milan will be desperate for victory to consolidate their place at the top of the Serie A standings. This should be a tightly contested match however, with the Rossoneri having seen under 2.5 goals scored in each of their last five games.

There have also been under 2.5 goals scored in Torino’s last four games, while Milan have kept four consecutive clean sheets and have won five of their last six away matches.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under

Back Milan to win 1-0 @ 6.511/2

Two struggling sides go head to head

Bologna v Sampdoria
Monday April 11, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

There is no doubt that the end of the season cannot come fast enough for this duo, both teams struggling to compete for large portions of the campaign. Sampdoria have been losing at both half time and full time in five of their last seven matches, while Bologna have managed to win just one of their last 11.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under

Back Bologna to win 1-0 @ 7.513/2



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