Marquise Brown, wide receiver, Baltimore Ravens, warms up

Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Marquise Brown (5) warms up prior to an NFL football game against the Cleveland Browns, Sunday, Nov. 28, 2021, in Baltimore. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)

  • The AFC North playoff picture will get a little clearer when the Cleveland Browns take on the Baltimore Ravens in Week 14 on Sunday, December 12th
  • Both teams are still alive for a playoff berth so every game matters especially divisional games
  • See the best prop bets for this Week 14 matchup below

AFC North fans are in for a treat when Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens (8-4) pay a visit to Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns (6-6). Kickoff from FirstEnergy Stadium is scheduled for 1:00pm ET with Kevin Harlan and Trent Green on the call. Temperatures will be in the mid 40s with a moderate wind and no precipitation in sight.

The Ravens are coming into this one in the driver’s seat of the AFC North but also fresh off a 20-19 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. The game came down to the last play as the Ravens opted to go for the two-point conversion rather than kicking a PAT that would have sent the game into overtime. As for Cleveland they are coming off a much needed bye after losing an ugly 16-10 game to these same Ravens last time out.

Despite having a worse record, the current odds are showing the Browns as slight 3-point favorites. The total is one of the lowest on the slate at 42.5 and doesn’t seem likely to move any higher.  As always, there are plenty of player props to consider and that is what we will talk about here.

Ravens vs Browns Props

Passer Longest Completion Passing Yards Passing TDs
Lamar Jackson (Ravens) 35.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 229.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +120 / Un -160)
Baker Mayfield (Browns) 36.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 227.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +130 / Un -175)
Rusher Longest Rush Rushing Yards Total Yards
Baker Mayfield (Browns) OFF 6.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) OFF
Devonta Freeman (Ravens) 12.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) 47.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 66.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Kareem Hunt (Browns) 12.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 33.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) 53.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)
Lamar Jackson (Ravens) 16.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) 62.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) OFF
Nick Chubb (Browns) 17.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) 69.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 85.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Receiver Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Austin Hooper (Browns) 3.5 (Ov -125 / Un -160) 32.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 16.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Devin Duvernay (Ravens) 1.5 (Ov -105 / Un -130) 14.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) 10.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)
Devonta Freeman (Ravens) 2.5 (Ov +120 / Un -155) 14.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 9.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)
Jarvis Landry (Browns) 5.5 (Ov +125 / Un -165) 57.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Kareem Hunt (Browns) 2.5 (Ov +120 / Un -160) 15.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 10.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Mark Andrews (Ravens) 4.5 (Ov -145 / Un +115) 56.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Marquise Brown (Ravens) 4.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) 53.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125)
Nick Chubb (Browns) 1.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) 10.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) 8.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)
Rashod Bateman (Ravens) 2.5 (Ov +125 / Un -165) 23.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 14.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)
Sammy Watkins (Ravens) 2.5 (Ov +135 / Un -180) 23.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 14.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)

Odds as of Dec. 11 at FanDuel & DraftKings

Ravens’ Marquise Brown Needs to Be Bet

Everyone thinks the Baltimore Ravens’ pass game goes through Mark Andrews and it does to an extent. But at the end of the day, it’s Marquise Brown that we need to be paying attention to. On the season he leads the Ravens’ pass catchers in target percentage with 26.18% of the looks.

After watching two minutes of him run routes, it’s pretty obvious why Lamar Jackson looks his way constantly.

A lot of people view Marquise Brown as a deep threat and he definitely is that. Deep threats aren’t always the best guys to target in the reception market for obvious reasons. They do their damage on long throws that don’t always have high catch rates. They’ll kill it in yards but not so much in receptions.

The thing about Brown is something happened around Week 8 this season. Through the first seven weeks of the season he had an ADOT of 15.93 yards but since then that number has shrunk to 7.79. Closer targets mean more catches people.

The books really haven’t caught up to this as they keep hanging the 4.5 reception number on Brown. This in spite of the fact that he not only runs shorter routes but also sees a crazy amount of targets. In his last five games, he’s been targeted at least 10 times in four of them. I like Brown to catch at least five passes this Sunday.

  • The Pick: Marquise Brown Over 4.5 receptions (-110) wager 1.1 units to win 1 unit
  • SBD 2021 NFL Player Props Record: 22-27, -3.99 Units

Ravens vs Browns Scoring Props

Player First Touchdown Scorer Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Nick Chubb (Browns) +600 -105
Kareem Hunt (Browns) +1000 +180
Devonta Freeman (Ravens) +1000 +180
Jarvis Landry (Browns) +1100 +190
Lamar Jackson (Ravens) +1100 +200
Marquise Brown (Ravens) +1100 +200
Mark Andrews (Ravens) +1100 +200
Austin Hooper (Browns) +1200 +210
Sammy Watkins (Ravens) +2200 +400
Rashod Bateman (Ravens) +2200 +400
Devin Duvernay (Ravens) +2800 +450

Mark Andrews Will Score a Touchdown Sunday

If you aren’t betting touchdown scorer props on a weekly basis, you’re doing this whole betting thing wrong. Like really wrong. By my calculations, we should have at least one touchdown scorer prop per game. That goes for every NFL game played.

The one I like the best for this game is Mark Andrews.

We need a guy who gets looks inside the opponents’ 10-yard line and that guy is Andrews. Only 13 players in the entire NFL have seen more targets this season in that area than Andrews. Jackson likes him down there so that means we do too.

On the season the Browns have been pretty good at keeping running backs out of the end zone so that gives us a boost here too. We don’t want running backs culturing our touchdowns. One area they haven’t been so great is keeping tight ends from scoring. Only three teams have allowed more tight end touchdowns and Andrews just scored on them last time they played. I like him to do it again Sunday.

  • Pick: Mark Andrews to Score a Touchdown (+200); Wager 1 unit to win 2 units
  • SBD 2021 Touchdown Scorer prop record: 18-31, -3.96 units
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John Hyslop

NFL
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