Joe Mixon acknowledges the crowd after a big play

Cincinnati Bengals running back Joe Mixon (28) pumps up the crowd in the second quarter of the NFL Week 14 game between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Cleveland Browns at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati on Sunday, Dec. 11, 2022. The Bengals led 13-3 at halftime.

Cleveland Browns At Cincinnati Bengals Week 14

  • The Week 15 Bengals vs Buccaneers player props are live ahead of Sunday’s tilt
  • Can Joe Mixon exceed 52.5 rushing yards? Will Cameron Brate be held under 14.5 receiving yards?
  • Check out the available Bengals vs Buccaneers player props listed below, plus analysis and predictions

The marquee late Sunday afternoon tilt in Week 15 pits the Bengals against the Buccaneers. Cincinnati enters play in a dogfight with Baltimore for top spot in the AFC North, while Tampa Bay is clinging to first in the NFC South despite a disappointing 6-7 record.

Speaking of disappointing, that’s the only word to describe the Bucs defensive effort versus the 49ers last week. Tampa Bay surrendered 35 points and 209 rushing yards to Christian McAffrey and Co., and will now have to deal with Joe Mixon.

The Cincy RB headlines our Bengals vs Buccaneers player props card, as his rushing yards prop is far too low given his talent and the gapping hole in the middle of the Tampa Bay defensive line.

Bengals vs Buccaneers Player Props

Quarterbacks Completions Passing Yards Passing TD
Joe Burrow (CIN) 24.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 270.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -170 | Un +125)
Tom Brady (TB) 26.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 275.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 1.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Running Backs Attempts Rush Yards Rush + Rec Yards
Joe Mixon (CIN) 14.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 52.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 76.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Samaje Perine (CIN) OFF 11.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 30.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Leonard Fournette (TB) OFF 29.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 57.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Rachaad White (TB) OFF 42.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Wide Receivers + Tight Ends Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) OFF 88.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 26.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Mitchell Wilcox (CIN) OFF 18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 11.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Chris Godwin (TB) OFF 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Mike Evans (TB) OFF 58.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Cameron Brate (TB) OFF 14.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 9.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Cade Otton (TB) OFF 23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 12.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)

Odds as of December 16 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code to bet on your Bengals vs Buccaneers player props.

Mixon boasts an over/under rushing yards prop of 52.5, which is 10 yards more than the Bucs Rachaad White. It’s a number Mixon has cleared seven times already this season, including last week against the Browns.

CIN vs TB Prop #1: Joe Mixon Over 52.5 Rushing Yards

Mixon rushed for 96 yards on just 14 carries against Cleveland. It marked his second 95+ yard performance in three games, and the second time in that many outings he’s averaged at least 6.9 yards per attempt.

The Buccaneers’ run defense has been a strength of their team in recent years, but it’s fallen apart with the loss of nose tackle Vita Vea. They surrendered 5.8 yards per carry to San Francisco last week, and were gashed for 189 rushing yards by Cleveland just two games prior.

Joe Mixon Rushing Stats – Last 5 Games

14 96 0
7 20 0
22 153 4
8 27 0
17 58 1

The Bucs cough up an average of 5.5 yards per carry on runs to the right by enemy RB’s, and it just so happens that Mixon averages 5.8 yards per attempt when rushing in that direction.

Pick: Joe Mixon Over 52.5 Yards (-110), 1 unit

CIN vs TB Prop #2: Cameron Brate Under 14.5 Receiving Yards

The Buccaneers are 3.5-point underdogs in this matchup, which hints at a pass-heavy game script for them. While that will likely be the case, don’t expect too many directs to be headed Cameron Brate’s way.

Brate has been Wally Pipped by Cade Otton. The latter tight end has more than doubled Brate’s production this season earning Tom Brady’s trust specifically in the red zone.

That will push Brate even further down the pecking order of an already crowded pass-catching corps. The group features names much more talented than him, including Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, Julio Jones, Leonard Fournette and Rachaad White.

Brate has just a 54.5% reception rate this season, and has cleared 14.5 receiving yards only once in his past four games.

Pick: Cameron Brate Under 14.5 Receiving Yards, 1 unit

Bengals vs Buccaneers TD Props

Player Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Anytime TD
Joe Mixon (CIN) +550 -120
Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) +650 +100
Tee Higgins (CIN) +800 +130
Tyler Boyd (CIN) +850 +140
Leonard Fournette (TB) +900 +140
Trenton Irwin (CIN) +950 +165
Mike Evans (TB) +950 +150
Rachaad White (TB) +1000 +155
Chris Godwin (TB) +1000 +165
Trent Taylor (CIN) +1300 +240
Joe Burrow (CIN) +1700 +320
Samaje Perine (CIN) +1800 +340
Mitchell Wilcox (CIN) +1900 +370
Bengals Defense +2500 +500
Julio Jones (TB) +2500 +400
Cade Otton (TB) +2800 +475
Cameron Brate (TB) +2800 +500
Buccaneers Defense +3500 +600
Tom Brady (TB) +4500 +900

As far as the anytime TD market goes, Mixon is the favorite to find the end zone. He’s followed by the entire Bengals’ starting wide receiver corps, but a little further down the board we’ll find Godwin.

CIN vs TB Prop #3: Chris Godwin Anytime TD

Godwin has 10 more targets and 14 more catches than anyone else on the Bucs roster despite missing nearly two full games.

He’s morphed into Brady’s most trusted weapon, scoring twice in his past four contests. Godwin also leads all Tampa players in targets inside the opponents’ 20 and 10-yard line. With Brady expected to be throwing early and often on Sunday, Godwin is a strong value to catch a touchdown.

Pick: Chris Godwin Anytime TD (+165), 1 unit


Author Image

Chris Amberley

Sports Writer


Source link