Canada vs Panama

Canada’s Jonathan Osorio, left, celebrates scoring his side’s first goal against Mexico during a qualifying soccer match for the FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022, at Azteca stadium in Mexico City, Thursday, Oct. 7, 2021. (AP Photo/Fernando Llano)

  • It’s third vs fourth in the final CONCACAF qualifying group as Panama visits Canada on Wednesday, October 13th
  • Canada is winless in the past three meetings against Panama and hasn’t beaten it since 2012
  • Read on for betting odds, a full preview and the best bet for Wednesday’s World Cup qualifying match

Canada, along with first-place Mexico, is one of just two of the eight CONCACAF teams that remains unbeaten through the first five games of this 14-game final qualifying round. However, because of four draws, John Herdman’s team is actually a point back of Panama, the team that it hosts on Wednesday, October 13th, with a 7:30 pm ET kickoff in Toronto.

Coming off a shock 1-0 win over the United States last Sunday, Thomas Christiansen will be hoping his Panama team can keep its upward trajectory here as it attempts to qualify for a second straight World Cup, following the country’s breakthrough appearance in Russia three years ago.

Canada vs Panama Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Canada vs Panama CAN -1.5 (+160) | PAN +1.5  (-225) CAN -205 | PAN +290
DRAW +550
Ov 2.5 (+130) | Un 2.5 (-170)

Odds as of October 13th at DraftKings

Canada Getting Reinforcements

While captain Atiba Hutchinson, striker Cyle Larin and regular goalkeeper Milan Borjan remain out, along with Junior Hoilett and Lucas Cavallini, Canada will benefit from a number of returning regulars here.

Richie Laryea, Tajon Buchanan and Steven Vitoria are all eligible to play Wednesday, having missed Sunday’s 0-0 draw in Jamaica through suspension. The returnees – particularly the width and pace provided by Laryea and Buchanan – should be a welcome development for Canada, which needs to turn its chances into goals if it wants to turn some of its ties into wins.

On the plus side, Canada will be back at home for this one, and in front of a capacity stadium in Toronto with pandemic seating restrictions having been limited. Herdman’s team has done well at home in this cycle, taking four of six points, and it is unbeaten in its last 20 home games, having scored in each of the last 14 games played on Canadian soil.

Herdman Wants ‘Ruthless’ Approach

Having seen his team score just six goals through the first five games of this final qualification round, head coach Herdman knows his team needs to convert chances into goals if it is going to generate the necessary results.

In Sunday’s game in Jamaica, for example, Canada had 10 shots and 64% of the possession but was unable to find the net. Part of the problem is that the team has been heavily reliant on goals from Larin this year, with the Besiktas striker scoring 12 goals in 11 internationals in 2021.

But in Larin’s absence, the team has seen four other players step up with goals, including Jonathan Osorio’s tying goal in last week’s 1-1 draw in Mexico.

Canada Has Historic Edge

In the all-time series played between these two teams, Canada sits in the catbird seat, having taken three wins from the 10 games the teams have contested, to go along with six draws.

Canada’s only loss against Panama came nine years ago in a World Cup qualifier in Panama City, coming just days after Canada had recorded its last win against them. Since then the teams have played twice times, with both games finishing in goalless draws.

Much like Canada though, Panama has been enjoying a recent surge of success, powered by their first-ever qualification for the World Cup finals last time around. Christiansen’s team has lost just once in their last 13 games in the final round of CONCACAF qualifying dating back to the last cycle. And in addition to beating the US for the first time in World Cup qualifying, the side also eeked out a creditable 1-1 draw in Mexico City at the Azteca.

Canada vs Panama World Cup Qualifying Stats

1-0-4 Record 2-2-1
6 Goals For 5
3 Goals Against 2
DDWDD Form WLDWD

Panamanian Perspective

With just two goals conceded thus far, Panama boasts the best defensive record among the eight remaining CONCACAF teams in the final stage of World Cup qualifying.

And they should be boosted by the fitness of captain Anibal Godoy, who scored the only goal against the U.S. but was then stretchered off in the same game. However, he claimed it was just fatigue and should be back in the starting lineup on Wednesday night.

Best bet: Draw (+550) 

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Paul Attfield

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