Los Angeles Rams head coach Sean McVay talks to Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (9) on the field during an NFL football game, Sunday, Sept. 19, 2021, in Indianapolis. (AP Photo/Zach Bolinger)
- The LA Rams dominate the Bucs, climbing to third-best Super Bowl odds
- The LA Chargers shoot up the standings after big win in Kansas City
- Check out the updated Super Bowl odds after Sunday’s games
Prior to this season, a Patrick Mahomes-led team hadn’t lost in September. After Sunday’s L to the LA Chargers, it’s happened in back-to-back weeks.
But how’s this for respect? Despite the Chiefs sitting at 1-2 and last in the AFC West — staring up at a pair of 3-0 teams — they’re still the betting favorites to win the Super Bowl.
That doesn’t mean there are some major happenings right beneath their feet. The LA Rams have crashed the top-3 party, while the Chargers bolt into the top 10.
And how about the 3-0 teams begging for some title respect? The Raiders, Broncos, Panthers and Cardinals still have some pretty longshot totals.
2022 Super Bowl Odds
|Kansas City Chiefs||+550|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+650|
|Los Angeles Rams||+900|
|Green Bay Packers||+1200|
|San Francisco 49ers||+1500|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+2600|
|New Orleans Saints||+3000|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+4100|
|New England Patriots||+5000|
|Washington Football Team||+7000|
|New York Giants||+28000|
|New York Jets||+100000|
*Odds taken on September 23 from FanDuel
An LA Story
If there was ever an argument for the “situation matters” gang, it was America’s Game of the Week. Matthew Stafford tore apart a legit-good Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense, ending their 10-game winning streak and vaulting the Rams into the title conversation.
Matthew Stafford has 9 Pass TD, tied with Kurt Warner (1999) for the most ever by a Rams QB in their first three games of a season.
That year, Warner won MVP and the Rams won the Super Bowl 👀 pic.twitter.com/RTYkW3hrx2
— ESPN (@espn) September 26, 2021
Stafford, in football purgatory in Detroit, has been reborn in Hollywood. He was 27-for-38 for 343 yards and four scores, making all the big time throws we expect Tom Brady to make in these kind of showdowns.
The Rams are still a tasty +900 choice, shortening from their +1300 odds heading into Week 3. The Bucs still hold down second-best odds, though they’ve lengthened from +550 to +650.
— L.A. RAMS News (@LARamsNews) September 26, 2021
No one made a bigger statement Sunday though than their cross-city counterparts (in the eyes of bookmakers, anyways). With their 30-24 road win in KC, the Chargers have shot to the ninth best Super Bowl odds at +2600, a monstrous leap from their +3400 mark four quarters ago.
Herbert jump pass TD? ⚡️ #BoltUp
— NFL (@NFL) September 26, 2021
Save for a Dak Prescott-led rally, the Chargers could be 3-0. They have a stud QB in Justin Herbert, who threw for 281 yards and four TD’s against the Chiefs, while their defense sacked Patrick Mahomes twice and forced four Chiefs turnovers.
While you’re throwing a little on the Chargers, here’s hoping you nabbed Brandon Staley for NFL coach of the year honours too.
In The Mix
Bills Mafia can exhale again, after Josh Allen picked apart the Washington Football Team in a way few other QBs can. Allen tossed for 358 yards and four majors, running another one in as the Bills ran away from WFT 43-21. They climb to +1000 odds from +1100.
What a catch by Emmanuel Sanders
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) September 26, 2021
The Browns made sure it was a nightmare start for promising Bears’ rookie Justin Fields, dominating Chicago in a 26-6 win. Fields will likely have Garrett Myles nightmares, as the talented defensive end recorded 4.5 sacks, part of the Browns’ 9-sack effort.
#Browns RB Kareem Hunt was unstoppable today. 🔥
🔸8.1 Yards Per Carry 🤯
— The Hottest Take (@Hottest_TakePod) September 26, 2021
It was nice to see Odell Beckham Jr back, but it’s clear the heartbeat of this squad is their backfield. Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt wrecked Chicago: Chubb ran for 84 yards, while Hunt added 81 and a TD, as well as 77 more yards receiving.
It’s 2021, and this feels weird, but the Browns are now +1300 to win the Super Bowl, and it’s a seriously excellent value wager.
One Game, Two Tides Turned
The Seattle Seahawks’ defense, can’t seem to stop anyone. Their latest debacle was in Minnesota. Staked to a 17-7 lead, they surrendered the next 23 unanswered points to lose 30-17. As low as +1700 odds after Week 1, they’re now sitting at +2700.
This opening drive was too easy for @dkm14 🤫
📺: #SEAvsMIN on FOX
— Seattle Seahawks (@Seahawks) September 26, 2021
Yet, elite QB’s have more staying power in my mind, and Russell Wilson is that. If Pete Carroll can maneuver this defense to even league average, Seattle can be a real player. I’d consider them a viable longshot wager.
— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) September 26, 2021
How much does a W mean? Well, if you’re the Vikings, an offense that has top-end weapons and a good defense, it’s a lot. Losing a pair of games they could have easily won was tough to open the year, but their performance against the ‘Hawks has caught attention.
They leap from +5000 odds to +3700. Unlike Seattle though, I’d be wary of trusting your hard-earned money to Kirk Cousins.
The Saints bounced back from a throttling at the hands of the Panthers to win in New England. They might be as simple to predict as Jameis Winston’s statline. If it’s turnover-free Winston, they’re 2-0. When he commits a turnover, they’re 0-1.
The Saints climb from +3400 to +3000.
— SportzStew Ⓥ (@sportzstewcom) September 26, 2021
Another 2-1 squad is the Tennessee Titans, who have righted the ship after a shaky loss in Week 1 to the Cardinals. It wasn’t a pretty 25-16 win over the Colts, and AJ Brown also injured his hammy, but they’re looking like a tough out in the AFC.
Their odds climb to +2400. an improvement from their previous +2700 mark.
Again, those surprising 2-0 teams live to be talked about for another week. However, despite the Broncos (+3400), Cardinals (+3100), Panthers (+5500) and Raiders (+4100) all winning again in Week 3, they’re being kept out of the SB favorites elite-class party.
— Kenny Hyttenhove (@KennyQBL) September 26, 2021
Are any a legit wager? Depends what you prefer. The Broncos likely have the best defense, though Carolina is actually sporting the top-ranked unit this year. The Raiders offer among the top potent offenses in football, while the Cards probably offer the best talent on both sides of the ball.
The separation should be coming soon — the schedules will not be any easier than each team has faced to start the year. Once the dust clears, we’ll get to make a more calculated wager. For now, like last week, I’d lean to Arizona, who feature the QB with the highest ceiling in Kyler Murray.