Portugal’s Cristiano Ronaldo and Pepe, right, celebrate at the end of the World Cup 2022 playoff soccer match between Portugal and North Macedonia, at the Dragao stadium in Porto, Portugal, Tuesday, March 29, 2022. Portugal won 2-0. (AP Photo/Luis Vieira)
- It’s Czech Republic vs Portugal on Matchday 5 of the UEFA Nations League on Thursday, September 22
- With two games left, highly-fancied Portugal trail group leaders Spain by a single point
- We preview the game, look at the Czech Republic vs Portugal odds, and offer some picks below
It’s Czech Republic vs Portugal on Matchday 5 of the UEFA Nations League on Saturday, September 22 in Prague, with kick-off at 2:45pm ET.
Portugal trail the leaders of League A Group 2, Spain, by one point, while the Czech Republic are battling to avoid fourth spot and retain their League A status.
We preview Czech Republic vs Portugal, look at the odds and offer some analysis, team news, and picks for this massive Nations League clash.
Czech Republic vs Portugal Odds
Portugal starts with a 58% implied win probability at -140, while the Czech Republic is listed at a more generous +350 for the away win, with an implied win probability of just 22%. The draw is nicely priced at +240.
Over/Under and Spread
Caesars have listed over 3.5 goals at a tempting +280, while on the flip side, under 3.5, is -400.
Given the make-or-break nature of this game for both teams, an end-to-end game with plenty of goals is quite possible.
Czech Republic vs Portugal Preview
It’s been a tough year for the Czech Republic after they failed to make it to the Qatar 2022 World Cup, and things could yet get even worse if they finish bottom of this group and lose their League A status in the Nations League. They currently lie third in Group 2, three points behind second-placed Portugal and just a point ahead of bottom-of-the-table Switzerland.
On paper, Jaroslav Silhavy’s team has plenty of quality with, in particular, Adam Hlozek and Patrik Schick offering attacking depth that’s the envy of many of Europe’s elite but they are yet to fulfill their potential.
— Czech Football National Team (@ceskarepre_eng) September 22, 2022
No Clean Sheets in Six
Four points from their opening four games is a far from ideal position to be in although, technically, two wins from their final two games would still leave them with an outside chance of making it to next summer’s finals. Realistically though, they need to win at least one of them to preserve their place in the top tier.
— Czech Football National Team (@ceskarepre_eng) September 21, 2022
Two away defeats in their last two Nations League games in June, against Portugal (2-0) and Spain (2-0), were particularly costly, and of even more concern to Silhavy will be the fact his men have now gone six games without a clean sheet.
On the plus side, the Czechs have a good home record in this competition, having never failed to score on home soil, and are also unbeaten in four at home in all competitions – three of which were wins.
Czech Republic vs Portugal Head-to-Head Stats
|1-1-2||Nations League 2022 record||2-1-1|
|4 / 7||Goals for / Goals against||7 / 2|
|26 / 8||Goal attempts / On target||55 / 25|
|76.3||Passing accuracy (%)||85.8|
|5 / 0||Yellow / Red cards||11 / 0|
|3rd||Current league position||2nd|
|W-D-W-D-L-L||Form guide (all competitions)||W-W-D-W-W-L|
A Must-Win for Portugal
Going into Matchday 4, the Portuguese looked to have control of this group, but a surprise defeat in Switzerland coupled with Spain’s home win over the Czech Republic handed the Spaniards the initiative. A win here though for the Portuguese would set up a thrilling winner-takes-all contest on the final day (next Tuesday) when they entertain their Iberian neighbors.
If they fail to win in Prague and the Spanish beat Switzerland at home it will be game over and they’ll look back to their defeat in Geneva as the turning point of the group, but they will be confident of returning to winning ways as the Swiss defeat was their first in their last six.
, , ! 🚦💨 Já estamos na 🇨🇿 para o nosso duelo a contar para a Nations League! 🏆 #VesteABandeira
— Portugal (@selecaoportugal) September 22, 2022
Santos’ Team en Route to Qatar
Unlike the Czechs, Portugal have qualified for the 2022 World Cup and so this forms part of their Qatar build-up, where they will come face-to-face with Uruguay, Ghana, and the Korea Republic. Their finals route wasn’t straightforward though and after failing to win their qualifying group, they needed to beat North Macedonia in a playoff final to secure their place,
Fernando Santos’ men have the psychological advantage of having already beaten the Czechs in this group. When the pair met in Lisbon in early June, Joao Cancelo and Goncalo Guedes were the scorers in their 2-0 win.
— Portugal (@selecaoportugal) September 21, 2022
Czech Republic vs Portugal Team Lineups and Injuries
Czech Republic Projected Lineup: Vaclik, Zima, Brabec, Jemelka, Coufal, Kral, Soucek, Zeleny, Cerny, Schick, Hlozek.
Injuries & absences: Sevcik, Sadilek.
Portugal Projected Lineup: Patricio, Dalot, Dias, Pereira, Mendes, Neves, Carvalho, Fernandes, Silva (B), Ronaldo, Leao.
Injuries & absences: Joao Felix.
Czech Republic vs Portugal Pick
The must-win nature of this tie ensures it will be attacking and end-to-end. It’s on a knife edge and Portugal will see it as an opportunity to keep their hopes of a final place alive.
The value however is with the Czechs whose home form is good. At +350, the home win is generously priced and well worth a punt.
Pick: Czech Republic to win (+350)