Dayton guard Elijah Weaver, left, and Dayton guard Malachi Smith (11) celebrate after defeating Belmont in an NCAA college basketball game Sunday, Nov. 28, 2021, in Lake Buena Vista, Fla. (AP Photo/Jacob M. Langston)
- Dayton is a 3.5-point road favorite over Duquesne on Saturday
- Duquesne is just 1-5 ATS at home this season
- A look at the matchup and odds can be found below with a prediction
Duquesne will try to shake off a tough loss when it hosts Dayton at 12:30 p.m. ET Saturday in an Atlantic 10 Conference game at UMPC Cooper Fieldhouse in Pittsburgh.
Duquesne (6-8/1-1 A-10/3-3 home) had its three-game winning streak snapped Wednesday when it was edged 72-71 at Fordham. Dayton (10-6/2-1 A-10/1-2 road) has won back-to-back games, including beating Saint Louis 68-63 on Tuesday.
In a game that will be broadcast on USA Network, Dayton is the favorite.
Dayton vs Duquesne Odds
|Dayton||-165||-3.5 (-110)||Over 135.5 (-110)|
|Duquesne||+140||+3.5 (-110)||Under 135.5 (-110)|
Odds as of January 14th at BetMGM.
Dayton is a 3.5-point favorite and a -165 choice on the moneyline, giving the Flyers an implied probability of 62.26% of winning.
Dayton Betting Outlook
Freshman guard Malachi Smith had provided an immediately impact for Dayton in his initial college season. He is averaging 10.5 points, 4.6 assists, 4.3 rebounds and 1.9 steals.
Smith shined against St. Louis. He finished with 14 points, eight rebounds and five assists.
— Dayton Basketball (@DaytonMBB) January 12, 2022
Freshman guard Kobe Ellis, a transfer from DePaul, also scored 14 points for Dayton, which is 8-8 against the spread this season.
Yet another freshman, forward DaRon Holmes II, finished with 11 points and five blocked shots. It was his fifth straight game scoring in double figures.
Holmes has averages of 10.6 points, 5.4 rebounds and 2.8 blocks.
Sophomore guard Toumani Camara, who is tied for Holmes for the team scoring lead, had an off-night shooting against Saint Louis. The Georgia transfer made only 1 of 5 field goal attempts and was 3 for 6 from the foul line while finishing with five points, less than half his 10.6 average.
Camara, though, pulled down nine rebounds to nudge his average to 6.8.
Koby Brea to Toumani Camara. Dayton leads 25-13 at 723. Flyers shooting 52.4 percent. GW 26.3. pic.twitter.com/b2WB8a3IYb
— David Jablonski (@DavidPJablonski) January 8, 2022
Dayton shot 43.8% (7 of 15) on three-pointers. While the Flyers allowed Saint Louis to make 9 of 16 (56.3%) from beyond the arc, they forced the Billikens into 15 turnovers.
Dayton built a 36-26 halftime lead then needed to hold on in the second half.
Duquesne Betting Outlook
Amir “Primo” Spears is heating up for Duquesne with back-to-back games of at least 20 points. However, the Dukes lost Wednesday when Fordham’s Aaron Daye made the game-winning layup with four seconds left.
Spears hit 20 on the nose on 8-of-12 shooting. It marked the fourth 20-point game of the season for the Dukes, who are 6-8 ATS, including 1-5 at home.
— NCAA Buzzer Beaters & Game Winners (@NCAABuzzerBters) December 11, 2021
For the season, Spears is averaging 12.3 points, 2.5 assists and 1.7 steals.
With just two players returning from last season, it is not a surprise Duquesne is relying on freshmen like Spears and guard Jackie Johnson III as well as a host of transfers.
Johnson scored 13 points on Wednesday. He has scored in double digits in four of the last five games after doing so only once in his first nine games.
Junior guard Leon Ayers III added 13 points and six assists. The transfer from Mercer has been putting up solid numbers all categories with averages of 12.5 points, 4.9 rebounds, 2.0 assists and 1.6 steals.
TCU transfer Kevin Easley Jr. is averaging 12.2 points and 6.5 rebounds. Fellow sophomore forward Tre Williams, a transfer from Indiana State, is scoring 10.5 points, pulling down 6.6 rebounds and blocking 2.6 shots a game.
Williams totaled 12 points, seven rebounds and seven blocks against Fordham. He had scored seven points combined in his three previous games.
— Duquesne Basketball (@DuqMBB) November 10, 2021
There were 18 rejections in the game, 10 by Fordham and eight by Duquesne. The Dukes shot 47.4% (9 of 19) from three-point range but were hurt by 15 turnovers.
Dayton vs Duquesne Prediction
Duquesne ended a six-game losing streak to Dayton when the teams last met last Feb. 2 with a 69-64 triumph at home. The Flyers had also won 10 of the previous 11 games and 14 of 16.
Look for Dayton for the Flyers to return to their winning ways in this one against the Dukes, who have been a losing proposition for bettors at home this season.
- The Pick: Dayton -3.5 (-110)
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.