NFL sack leader odds

Jan 16, 2022; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) is sacked by Pittsburgh Steelers outside linebacker T.J. Watt (90) in an AFC Wild Card playoff football game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

  • TJ Watt of the Pittsburgh Steelers is the +500 favorite to lead the NFL in sacks during the 2022 season
  • Watt has been the league leader in each of the past two seasons
  • Myles Garrett of the Cleveland Browns (+600) is the only other player given odds shorter than +1000

Last season, TJ Watt of the Pittsburgh Steelers became the first back-to-back NFL sack champion in over three decades. This year, he’s going for a share of league history.

Oddsmakers are favoring him to do it. Watt, the Steelers outside linebacker, has been made the +500 chalk in the opening line to lead the NFL in quarterback sacks again during the 2022 season.

2022 NFL Sack Leader Odds

Player (Team) Odds
TJ Watt (Steelers) +500
Myles Garrett (Browns) +600
Nick Bosa (49ers) +1000
Chandler Jones (Raiders) +1300
Robert Quinn (Bears) +1300
Joey Bosa (Chargers) +1500
Aaron Donald (Rams) +1500
Shaquil Barrett (Buccaneers) +2000
Trey Hendrickson (Bengals) +2000
Maxx Crosby (Raiders) +2500
Leonard Floyd (Rams) +2500
Cameron Jordan (Saints) +2500
Matthew Judon (Patriots) +2500
Khalil Mack (Chargers) +2500
Von Miller (Bills) +2500
Micah Parsons (Cowboys) +2500
Chase Young (Commanders) +2500
Yannick Ngakoue (Colts) +3000
Danielle Hunter (Vikings) +3300
Brian Burns (Panthers) +4000
Rashan Gary (Packers) +4000
Markus Golden (Cardinals) +4000
Emmanuel Ogbah (Dolphins) +4000

Odds as of July 19 at Barstool Sportsbook. Get this Barstool Sportsbook promo code before making your NFL bets

 

 

Deacon Jones, one quarter of the famed Fearsome Foursome of the Los Angeles Rams, led the NFL in sacks in 1967-68 and shared the 1969 title with Carl Eller of the Minnesota Vikings. Jones is the only player to achieve this feat three years in a row. He also was NFL sack leader in 1964-65.

Watt and Jones are among a dozen NFL defenders to be the league’s sack leader on at least two occasions. That list includes Watt’s brother, JJ Watt of the Arizona Cardinals. TJ Watt is the first NFLer to wear successive crowns in this category since Reggie White of the Green Bay Packers in 1987-88.

At odds of +500. Watt is being given an implied probability of victory of 16.67%. A $10 wager on Watt would return a payout of $60 if he’s able to retain his title.

Watt a Dominant Sack Artist

Watt’s league-leading 15 sacks in 2020 were the lowest number to top the NFL since Kevin Greene collected a league-best 14.5 sacks for the 1996 Carolina Panthers.

Last season, though, Watt collected 22.5 sacks. That was the highest total since Michael Strahan of the New York Giants also gathered up 22.5 sacks in 2001. It was just shy of the NFL record of 23 sacks established by Al “Bubba” Baker of the Detroit Lions in 1978.

It’s a sure sign of how much better he’s getting at this aspect of the game. You can be certain after his league-leading performance, opposition offensive coordinators were game planning methods to put a stop to the mayhem Watt is capable of creating. And yet, he only created more.

Garrett a Menacing Presence

It’s no fun being Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow or Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson. They’re the only NFL QBs who must deal with Watt and Cleveland’s Garrett twice every season.

Garrett has collected 28 sacks over the past two seasons. He finished sixth overall in 2020 (12 sacks) and third last season (16 sacks). Over 67 NFL games, he’s posted 59 sacks.

In NFL futures bets, Garrett (+650) is actually favored over Watt (+750) in the NFL DPOY odds.

Seeking Value Among NFL Sack Leader Odds

Watt was favored to lead the league in sacks last season. He was given a betting line of +1400 in the opening odds in 2020. That was just off co-favorites Aaron Donald and Shaquil Barrett at +1200.

Who looks to offer that sort of value in 2022? Well, it’s never wise to overlook Donald (+1500). He led the league in 2018 and the Rams have produced more NFL sack leaders (10) than any other franchise.

Trey Hendrickson (+2000)  is another like Garrett who’s been lurking just off the lead the past two seasons. The Bengals defensive end was fifth last season with 16 sacks. Playing for the New Orleans Saints in 2020. Hendrickson finished tied for second in the NFL with 13.5 sacks.

Chicago Bears linebacker Robert Quinn (+1300) jumped from two sacks in 2020 to second in the NFL with 18.5 last season. Was it a one-off or the sign of a trend? It could also be of help to Quinn that the Bears rank 29th overall in NFL strength of schedule.

Watt Will Lead NFL In Sacks Again

NFL teams can’t come up with schemes to stop him. Offensive lineman can’t figure out methods to contain him.

Unless he’s injured, Watt is going to lead the NFL in sacks again. He’s simply a cut above all the rest.

Pick: TJ Watt (Steelers) +500

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Robert Duff

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