El Salvador vs Mexico

Mexico’s Luis Romo and Honduras’ Alberth Elis battle for the ball during a qualifying soccer match for the FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022, at Azteca stadium in Mexico City, Sunday, Oct. 10, 2021.(AP Photo/Eduardo Verdugo)

  • Third Round group leaders Mexico head to El Salvador at 10:05 pm ET on Wednesday
  • The Mexicans are undefeated while El Salvador has won only once in five games
  • See the odds and best bets for El Salvador vs Mexico in this CONCACAF World Cup Qualifying match below

Mexico will be seeking its ninth straight win against El Salvador when the teams meet in the CONCACAF zone World Cup qualifying tournament on Wednesday.

In the eight-team third stage of the qualifying process, unbeaten Mexico sits on top. Meanwhile, El Salvador is in sixth place with only one win to its name.

World Cup El Salvador vs Mexico Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
El Salvador vs Mexico ELS +1.5 (-155) | MEX -1.5 (+115) ELS +750 | MEX -280 | DRAW +360 Ov 2.5 (+115) | Un 2.5 (-150)

Odds as of October 13 at DraftKings

The leading three teams win an automatic place at next year’s finals in Qatar.

The fourth-placed outfit will subsequently head into an inter-confederation play-off.

El Salvador Chases Fourth Place

Presently, El Salvador has five points which leave it only two points off the fourth qualification place as the competition heads into its critical stage.

So it certainly has the motivation to aim for a good result this time out.

The Mexicans head into this meeting in San Salvador fresh from their latest success – a 3-0 home defeat of struggling Honduras last Sunday.

El Salvador, meanwhile, lost 2-1 in Costa Rica in its most recent outing on the same day.

Therefore, the oddsmakers at DraftKings emphatically rate Mexico as a huge favorite for an away win at -280.

Mexico looks on course to reach its eighth consecutive World Cup finals

El Salvador, furthermore, is a wide outsider at +750 with the draw rated at +360. The game kicks off at 10:05 pm ET.

Certainly, Mexico looks on course to reach its eighth consecutive World Cup finals – its 17th in total – as one of the most powerful nations in the CONCACAF region.

It has 11 points in the group after three wins and two draws. Its 11-point tally gives it a three-point lead over the USA in second place.

Goals At a Premium

It has not been particularly free-scoring in this section of the competition with eight goals from its five fixtures. However, it has conceded only three times.

In the search for value, a spread offering would be more attractive given the huge odds in favor of a Mexican win.


At +120 for the team to win by two goals or more, the -1.5 offering on Mexico looks like a decent prospect.

However, El Salvador has kept three cleans so far which is one more than Mexico.

El Salvador vs Mexico Qualifying Stats

1 Wins 3
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 0
2 Goals 8
5 Goals Against 3
9 Yellow Cards 7
1 Red Cards 0
3 Clean Sheets 2

During the current round of fixtures, Mexico was held to a 1-1 draw by Canada.

Following that, it secondly roared back into a commanding form with its 3-0 victory against Honduras. The goals came from Sebastian Cordova, Rogelio Funes Mori and Hirving Lozano.

There was, moreover, a huge difference in the possession statistics with Mexico enjoying a massive 76-percent of time spent on the ball while Honduras had just 24-percent.

Additionally, Mexico had 26 goal attempts in comparison with three for Honduras.

Early Wins for Mexicans

The Mexicans, furthermore, had earlier secured wins against Costa Rica and Jamaica in the earlier stages of the eight-team qualifying section – while also drawing with Panama.

El Salvador opened its campaign in the “Octagonal” with straight goalless draws against the USA and Honduras.

There was subsequently a 3-0 setback in Canada. However, it appeared the team may have turned the corner when it won 1-0 on Matchday 4 at home against Panama.

But then came the narrow defeat by Costa Rica which has made it look like a tough task for the El Salvadoreans to qualify.

El Salvador took a 12th minute lead through Jairo Henriquez.

But two goals from Bryan Ruiz – one a penalty – claimed the points for the Costa Ricans.

El Salvador additionally had midfielder Narciso Orellana sent off and he will be suspended for the clash with Mexico.

El Salvador has scored only twice in its five fixtures while conceding five times.

It was a reasonably even contest with Costa Rica having 54-percent of possession against 46-percent for El Salvador.

Significantly, El Salvador has scored only twice in its five fixtures while conceding five times.

It has qualified for the World Cup finals twice before in 1970 and 1982.

Gold Cup Win for Mexico

Mexico and El Salvador met as recently as July in the Gold Cup in the USA.

There was a 1-0 victory for the Mexicans at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas.

The last win for El Salvador was a 2-1 success way back in June 2009 in a World Cup qualifier.

In conclusion, however, Mexico is likely to win this time around with a comfortable two-goal margin highly feasible.

Pick: Mexico -1.5 (+115)

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John Dillon

Sports Writer


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