Tyrese Haliburton hands on temples of forehead

Dec 10, 2022; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Indiana Pacers guard Tyrese Haliburton (0) reacts in the second half against the Brooklyn Nets at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

  • The Miami Heat are 2.5-point road favorites vs the Indiana Pacers Monday night
  • Miami lost to lowly San Antonio last game, while the Pacers were topped by the depleted Brooklyn Nets
  • Read below for the Heat vs Pacers preview, with odds and predictions

Two teams trying to shake off poor performances last time out clash in the Midwest Monday night, as the Miami Heat (12-15, 3-9 away) visit the Indiana Pacers (14-13, 8-5 home).

Miami is coming off a loss at home against the lowly San Antonio Spurs, while Indy lost to the heavily depleted Brooklyn Nets.

Despite just three wins on the road in 12 starts this year, the NBA odds have the 10th-seeded Heat as 2.5-point road favorites against the Pacers, who sit in in sixth in the East, and sport an 8-6 home mark.

Heat vs Pacers Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Miami Heat -2.5 (-110) -135 OFF
Indiana Pacers +2.5 (-110) +115 OFF

Odds as of Dec 11 at DraftKings. Claim the DraftKings Sportsbook promo code to bet on the Heat vs Pacers game.

It all gets underway Monday (Dec 12) at 7pm ET from Gainbridge Fieldhouse, in a game you can see live on NBA League Pass.

Miami Betting Outlook

The Heat hit the road for a 4-game trip, hoping to shake their most recent skid, as they’ve lost three of their last four.

They were topped 115-111 by the Spurs last time out, a team that looks bent on tanking this season.

Jimmy Butler, in just his second game back from injury, dropped 30 points on 11-for-16 shooting, while adding four assists. Tyler Herro had 23 points, five rebounds and five assists, while Victor Oladipo came off the bench for 11.

While he is listed on the injury report, Oladipo is probable to play against his former team for the first time since he was dealt in the 2020-21 season.

Miami’s injury report continues to rival a CVS receipt, and that roster fluctuation has definitely affected the Heat.

Duncan Robinson (ankle), Oladipo (knee), Max Strus (shoulder), Herro (ankle) and Butler (knee) are all listed as probable. Big man Dewayne Dedmon (foot) is questionable, while Gabe Vincent (knee) will not play.

Miami is the 3rd-lowest scoring team in the NBA, putting up just 108.6 per game. They’re a top-10 team defensively, holding opponents to 110.3 points per game (8th).

Indiana Betting Outlook

Not that any team is considered a soft landing in the NBA, but Indiana definitely let one slip away in a 136-133 loss to the Brooklyn Nets.

Stars Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving were out, part of BK’s seven top scorers and eight players overall.

The Pacers were manhandled inside, getting outrebounded 59-30. Brooklyn was relentless on the glass, grabbing 29 offensive rebounds. Indy was also outscored 72-42 in the paint.

That spoiled a splendid performance from budding star Tyrese Haliburton, who dropped 35 points on 12-for-15 shooting, including an impressive 7-for-8 mark from distance.

Six other Pacers scored in double digits, ranging from 13 to 17 points. Buddy Hield had 17 points, hitting 4-for-8 from downtown.

Indiana’s defense continues to be a problem, as they allow 116.7 points a game, the 26th-ranked scoring defense in the NBA. That unfortunately offsets their offensive output, which ranks sixth at 115.9 points per outing.

Heat vs Pacers Prediction

This will be the second of four meetings between these teams this season, with Indiana sliding by with a 101-99 win at home at the start of November.

Miami’s offensive struggles are even worse on the road, where they average 106.6 points and shoot 44.1% from the field and 32.5% from downtown. Those all would rank bottom-2 against the rest of the league.

The Heat are also 0-4 against the spread in their last four games, 5-7 ATS on the road and an NBA worst 8-18-1 ATS overall this season.

The Pacers are 4-2 ATS as the home ‘dog this season, and a sturdy 8-5 ATS overall at home this season.

This is one I’d pick the Pacers to win outright, so I’ll gladly take the points too.

Pick:

  • Pacers +2.5 (-110); 1 unit to win 0.91 units
  • NBA Betting Record: 15-11 ATS, 1-0 ML, 2-3 o/u; 0-2 parlays; +1.08 units
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Eric Rosales

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