Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes comes onto the field for their NFL football game against the Denver Broncos, Sunday, Dec. 5, 2021 in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Reed Hoffmann)
- AFC West rivals clash when the Las Vegas Raiders visit the division-leading Chiefs
- Last week’s prop picks: 1-3. Overall: 20-31, -8.2 units
- See the odds, spread, analysis, and best prop bets below
One completion. Five yards.
The player prop betting game can be a finnicky one, and we were dealt that reality again in Week 13.
Ben Roethlisberger missed his completion threshold by one lousy toss, while Mark Andrews couldn’t bring it past his yards receiving total, turning a potentially profitable week into a dud.
Still, this ship can be righted and probably be in the black if we finish this campaign off strong.
It starts here in Week 14, where the Las Vegas Raiders finish their season series with the Kansas City Chiefs.
Get set for game betting here. For now, let’s dive into these prop bets and earn you some moolah!
Raiders vs Chiefs Player Props
|Passer||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TDs|
|Derek Carr (LV)||23.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)||258.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||1.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130)|
|Patrick Mahomes (KC)||25.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)||287.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||2.5 (Ov +140 / Un -185)|
|Rusher||Rushing Yards||Rush + Rec Yards||Longest Rush|
|Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC)||60.5 (Ov -120 / Un -115)||79.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||14.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)|
|Darrel Williams (KC)||23.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||46.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||8.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)|
|Josh Jacobs (LV)||54.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||85.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||12.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)|
|Patrick Mahomes (KC)||17.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)||OFF||10.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)|
|Receiver||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Bryan Edwards (LV)||2.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)||32.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||18.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)|
|Byron Pringle (KC)||OFF||24.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)||14.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)|
|Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC)||2.5 (Ov +115 / Un -150)||14.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||9.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)|
|Darrel Williams (KC)||2.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)||19.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||11.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)|
|Demarcus Robinson (KC)||OFF||16.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)||11.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)|
|DeSean Jackson (LV)||OFF||19.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)||OFF|
|Foster Moreau (LV)||OFF||33.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)||16.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)|
|Hunter Renfrow (LV)||6.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125)||70.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||23.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)|
|Josh Jacobs (LV)||OFF||26.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)||12.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125)|
|Travis Kelce (KC)||5.5 (Ov -135 / Un +100)||74.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||23.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)|
|Tyreek Hill (KC)||6.5 (Ov -130 / Un -105)||77.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||22.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)|
|Zay Jones (LV)||2.5 (Ov -130 / Un -105)||32.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)||17.5 (Ov -125 / Un -110)|
Odds taken Dec 11 from DraftKings
Patrick Mahomes TD Passes
I’m sorry, but anytime you throw plus-odds on a Patrick Mahomes passing prop, I’m taking it.
We still don’t know what’s stunted this once high-octane offense, and Mahomes is right in the center of it all. He’s gone two games without throwing a TD pass, which has never happened in his entire career. Since throwing for 3+ TD’s in KC’s first four games of the year, Mahomes has only surpassed this total once in his (gulp) last eight games.
Only the Raiders would leave Tyreek Hill wide open pic.twitter.com/QjEeiKmVBF
— BBQ Dom (@RealBBQDom) November 15, 2021
But the good news? The one time he did do it was against this Raiders team, in Vegas, in a throwback Chiefs performance.
Mahomes went 35-for-50 for 406 yards and five TD tosses, the second time he’s thrown five majors in a game this year.
The Raiders’ defense has allowed 22 TD passes, which is tied for 5th-worst in the NFL.
In his career against the Raiders’ franchise, he’s thrown 20 TD passes – the most against any team in the league.
- Mahomes OVER 2.5 TD passes (1.5 unit to win 2.1 units)
Renfrow Receptions, Kelce Receiving Yards
Since Darren Waller has gone down, the de facto top receiving threat for Vegas — at least the most consistent — is slotback Hunter Renfrow.
His workload has picked up in the last two games, targeted by Derek Carr 19 times.
Hunter Renfrow hasn’t dropped a pass since Week 5
52 straight targets without a drop 😤 pic.twitter.com/csKjkI0pL7
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) December 6, 2021
Against the Cowboys on Thanksgiving, he had eight grabs for 134 yards, and he followed that up in Week 13 against Washington, hauling in nine balls for 102 yards. Those are easily his two best receiving figures on the season.
Looking for another receiver to cash in on? Chiefs’ all-world tight end Travis Kelce traditionally feasts on the Raiders.
— Random Daily Chiefs Play (@DailyChiefsplay) November 12, 2021
He’s been slowed the last two games as well, including a 3-catch, 27-yard performance against the Broncos. He shouldn’t have a problem getting loose in this one — Kelce has gone five straight games with at least 90 receiving yards against Vegas.
He may have only gone over this total four times on the season, but one was against the Raiders, hauling in eight balls for 119 yards.
- Renfrow OVER 6.5 receptions (1.5 unit to win 1.42 units)
- Kelce OVER 74.5 receiving yards (0.5 units to win 0.65 units)
Raiders vs Chiefs Scoring Props
|Player||First Touchdown Scorer||Anytime Touchdown Scorer|
|Tyreek Hill (KC)||+550||-135|
|Travis Kelce (KC)||+600||-125|
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC)
Josh Jacobs (LV)
|Hunter Renfrow (LV)||+1000||+165|
|Darrel Williams (KC)||+1600||+240|
|Byron Pringle (KC)||+1800||+275|
|Foster Moreau (LV)||+1800||+300|
|Patrick Mahomes (KC)||+2000||+310|
|Bryan Edwards (LV)||+2000||+310|
|DeSean Jackson (LV)||+2200||+380|
Raiders vs Chiefs TD Scorers
Thanks, as always to our good friends at DraftKings for the insight into scoring props heading into the week.
Tyreek Hill has scored at least one major in four of his last five against the Raiders, while Kelce has tallied at least one score in eight of his previous 11 at home.
Thinking Raiders? Renfrow has a score in three of his last five against AFC West competition. Josh Jacobs has also succeeded within the division, he’s scored at least one TD in seven of his last nine games against divisional opponents.
- Hill to score anytime TD (1 unit to win 0.74 units)
Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV’s Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric’s work has appeared in local and national publications alike.