Patrick Mahomes pumped reaction during pregame introductions

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes comes onto the field for their NFL football game against the Denver Broncos, Sunday, Dec. 5, 2021 in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Reed Hoffmann)

  • AFC West rivals clash when the Las Vegas Raiders visit the division-leading Chiefs
  • Last week’s prop picks: 1-3. Overall: 20-31, -8.2 units
  • See the odds, spread, analysis, and best prop bets below

One completion. Five yards.

The player prop betting game can be a finnicky one, and we were dealt that reality again in Week 13.

Ben Roethlisberger missed his completion threshold by one lousy toss, while Mark Andrews couldn’t bring it past his yards receiving total, turning a potentially profitable week into a dud.

Still, this ship can be righted and probably be in the black if we finish this campaign off strong.

It starts here in Week 14, where the Las Vegas Raiders finish their season series with the Kansas City Chiefs.

Get set for game betting here. For now, let’s dive into these prop bets and earn you some moolah!

Raiders vs Chiefs Player Props

Passer Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Derek Carr (LV) 23.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) 258.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130)
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 25.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) 287.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +140 / Un -185)
Rusher Rushing Yards Rush + Rec Yards Longest Rush
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) 60.5 (Ov -120 / Un -115) 79.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 14.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)
Darrel Williams (KC) 23.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 46.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 8.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)
Josh Jacobs (LV) 54.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 85.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 12.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 17.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) OFF 10.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)
Receiver Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Bryan Edwards (LV) 2.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) 32.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)
Byron Pringle (KC) OFF 24.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) 14.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) 2.5 (Ov +115 / Un -150) 14.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 9.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Darrel Williams (KC) 2.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) 19.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 11.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)
Demarcus Robinson (KC) OFF 16.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) 11.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
DeSean Jackson (LV) OFF 19.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) OFF
Foster Moreau (LV) OFF 33.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) 16.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)
Hunter Renfrow (LV) 6.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) 70.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)
Josh Jacobs (LV) OFF 26.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) 12.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125)
Travis Kelce (KC) 5.5 (Ov -135 / Un +100) 74.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Tyreek Hill (KC) 6.5 (Ov -130 / Un -105) 77.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)
Zay Jones (LV) 2.5 (Ov -130 / Un -105) 32.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) 17.5 (Ov -125 / Un -110)

Odds taken Dec 11 from DraftKings

Patrick Mahomes TD Passes

I’m sorry, but anytime you throw plus-odds on a Patrick Mahomes passing prop, I’m taking it.

We still don’t know what’s stunted this once high-octane offense, and Mahomes is right in the center of it all. He’s gone two games without throwing a TD pass, which has never happened in his entire career. Since throwing for 3+ TD’s in KC’s first four games of the year, Mahomes has only surpassed this total once in his (gulp) last eight games.

But the good news? The one time he did do it was against this Raiders team, in Vegas, in a throwback Chiefs performance.

Mahomes went 35-for-50 for 406 yards and five TD tosses, the second time he’s thrown five majors in a game this year.

The Raiders’ defense has allowed 22 TD passes, which is tied for 5th-worst in the NFL.

In his career against the Raiders’ franchise, he’s thrown 20 TD passes – the most against any team in the league.

Picks: 

  • Mahomes OVER 2.5 TD passes (1.5 unit to win 2.1 units)

Renfrow Receptions, Kelce Receiving Yards

Since Darren Waller has gone down, the de facto top receiving threat for Vegas — at least the most consistent — is slotback Hunter Renfrow.

His workload has picked up in the last two games, targeted by Derek Carr 19 times.

Against the Cowboys on Thanksgiving, he had eight grabs for 134 yards, and he followed that up in Week 13 against Washington, hauling in nine balls for 102 yards. Those are easily his two best receiving figures on the season.

Looking for another receiver to cash in on? Chiefs’ all-world tight end Travis Kelce traditionally feasts on the Raiders.

He’s been slowed the last two games as well, including a 3-catch, 27-yard performance against the Broncos. He shouldn’t have a problem getting loose in this one — Kelce has gone five straight games with at least 90 receiving yards against Vegas.

He may have only gone over this total four times on the season, but one was against the Raiders, hauling in eight balls for 119 yards.

Picks:

  • Renfrow OVER 6.5 receptions (1.5 unit to win 1.42 units)
  • Kelce OVER 74.5 receiving yards (0.5 units to win 0.65 units)

Raiders vs Chiefs Scoring Props

Player First Touchdown Scorer Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Tyreek Hill (KC) +550 -135
Travis Kelce (KC) +600 -125

Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC)

+650 -110

Josh Jacobs (LV)

+750 +105
Hunter Renfrow (LV) +1000 +165
Darrel Williams (KC) +1600 +240
Byron Pringle (KC) +1800 +275
Foster Moreau (LV) +1800 +300
Patrick Mahomes (KC) +2000 +310
Bryan Edwards (LV) +2000 +310
DeSean Jackson (LV) +2200 +380

Raiders vs Chiefs TD Scorers

Thanks, as always to our good friends at DraftKings for the insight into scoring props heading into the week.

Tyreek Hill has scored at least one major in four of his last five against the Raiders, while Kelce has tallied at least one score in eight of his previous 11 at home.

Thinking Raiders? Renfrow has a score in three of his last five against AFC West competition. Josh Jacobs has also succeeded within the division, he’s scored at least one TD in seven of his last nine games against divisional opponents.

Pick

  • Hill to score anytime TD (1 unit to win 0.74 units)
Author Image


Eric Rosales

NFL
NBA
Sports Writer & Editor

NFL
NBA





Source link