Mar 23, 2022; Austin, Texas, USA; Paul Casey tees off on #1 during the first round of the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports
- Oddsmakers have added Top Finishing Position and First Round Leader odds for LIV Golf’s third event at Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in New Jersey
- Paul Casey led the PGA Tour in strokes gained approach over the past 50 rounds before joining LIV Golf
- See below for the latest odds, plus analysis and best bets
LIV Golf looks like it’s here to stay. With each passing week more and more players are defecting to the new Tour so instead of complaining about it, we might as well embrace it.
Look on the bright side, now we have another Tour to bet on. Online sportsbooks are certainly embracing the new game in town as they’ve expanded their LIV Golf betting menu.
LIV Golf Bedminster Finishing Position Odds
|Charles Howell III||+550||+200||-175|
|Hennie du Plessis||+750||+275||-125|
All odds as of July 28th at Caesars Sportsbook.
In addition to outright LIV GOLF odds 2022, Top Finishing Position and First Round Leader markets appear to be a staple going forward. We’ve scanned the oddsboard in both categories and have come up with the following targets for this week’s LIV Golf Bedminster tournament in New Jersey, which starts on Friday.
2022 LIV Golf Bedminster Picks
Paul Casey’s arrival to LIV Golf has pretty much flown under the radar. Bigger names such as Brooks Koepka, Bryson DeChambeau and Dustin Johnson have faced heavy scrutiny for abandoning the PGA Tour, but Casey’s name has yet to be dragged through the mud.
Paul Casey and Charles Howell III said Bryson DeChambeau called them and that’s how they started getting involved with LIV. Kokrak says same about Koepka.
I’ve heard the same—that team captains have been recruiting players to join their squads. Interesting.
— Dan Rapaport (@Daniel_Rapaport) July 27, 2022
He’s the sixth highest ranked player in the field this week per the official world golf rankings, and arguably the best ball striker. No one on the PGA Tour gained more strokes on approach over their past 50 rounds than Casey and he’s parlayed that skillset into a plethora of top-five results over his career.
In addition to 19 worldwide victories, Casey’s resume includes 30 top-five finishes on the PGA Tour. Most of which have come at difficult courses, and this week’s stop at Trump National Golf Club Bedminster profiles as an extremely stiff challenge. Let’s target him in the Top-5 market.
If you’re looking for Bedminster sleepers, don’t skip past Hennie du Plessis. The South African finished runner-up in the inaugural LIV Golf event in London, and played phenomenally on the DP World Tour earlier this year.
Hennie du Plessis made more money ($2.1M) with his runner-up finish at the LIV event this week than 213 of 253 PGA Tour players have made so far this season (average number of starts: 15).
That’s a problem.
— Kyle Porter (@KylePorterCBS) June 11, 2022
He ranked top-11 in driving distance, putts per GIR and scoring, and posted four top-10’s in 13 starts. Given the premium placed on length off the tee this week, another du Plessis T10 is very much in play.
Picks: Paul Casey Top-5 (+450), Hennie du Plessis Top-10 (+275)
LIV Golf Bedminster First Round Leader Odds
|Charles Howell III||+2500|
|Hennie du Plessis||+3500|
Matthew Wolff Offers Great Value
Not very many players had the winning pedigree of Matthew Wolff coming out of college, and few players today have the same ceiling as him for one round. When he’s on, he can go extremely low at any golf course in the world, which makes him a great first-round leader bet.
Matthew Wolff just made his first hole-in-one on Tour. 💯pic.twitter.com/mK0ZEWj58q
— GOLF.com (@GOLF_com) November 14, 2021
Wolff has battled his share of mental health issues recently, but looked great in his LIV Golf debut last month. The 23-year-old led the field in driving distance, move over Bryson, and finished seventh in greens in regulation en route to an eighth-place result.
If he brings that form to LIV Golf Bedminster on Friday, you have to like his chances of winding up on top of the leaderboard after the opening round.
Pick: Matthew Wolff First Round Leader (+2800)
As SBD’s resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he’d rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.