Pablo Lopez walks off field vs New York Mets

Jul 31, 2022; Miami, Florida, USA; Miami Marlins starting pitcher Pablo Lopez (49) returns to the dugout after the first inning against the New York Mets at loanDepot Park. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

  • The Marlins and Cubs meet on Saturday afternoon
  • It’s Pablo Lopez vs Drew Smyly on the mound; Chicago has won one of Smyly’s last five starts
  • Find the Marlins vs Cubs odds, preview, and prediction below

The Miami Marlins (48-58, 25-30 away) and Chicago Cubs (42-63, 21-32 home) continue their three-game weekend set on Saturday afternoon at Wrigley Field. First pitch here will be thrown at 2:20 PM ET. Miami has won seven of the last nine against the Cubbies.

The Fish send Pablo Lopez to the mound here, who ended up staying put after countless rumors at the trade deadline. Chicago counters with left-hander Drew Smyly.

Marlins vs Cubs Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Miami Marlins -110 N/A N/A
Chicago Cubs -110 N/A N/A

Odds as of August 5th at Caesars Sportsbook

Marlins vs Cubs Probable Pitchers

Lopez has been the Marlins’ second-best starter this year behind Sandy Alcantara, who is a -170 favorite in NL Cy Young odds. The righty is 7-6 with a 3.41 ERA in 21 outings, striking out 119 in 118.2 innings while walking just 35. Lopez was getting a bunch of attention at the deadline from several contenders but Miami decided to keep him.

The 26-year-old is coming off his roughest start of the year though, getting absolutely lit up by the Mets as he allowed six runs on 12 hits, lasting only 2.2 innings. On a more positive note, Lopez owns a 1.50 ERA in two career appearances against the Cubs.

Lopez vs Smyly

7-6 Record 3-6
3.41 ERA 4.41
118.2 Innings Pitched 59
119 Strikeouts 48
35 BB 14

Smyly missed quite a bit of time with an injury, but he’s been back in the fold for the last month. The southpaw is 3-6 in 13 starts, posting a 4.42 ERA. Smyly’s command is solid, walking only 14 hitters while collecting 48 strikeouts in 59 frames.

Just like Lopez though, Smyly was hit around last time out. He got chased after four innings by the Giants as they tagged him for five earned on seven hits, including two home runs. The veteran does have a respectable track record vs. Miami though, going 3-1 with a 3.04 ERA in his career.

Marlins Struggling Over Last 10

Miami is way out of the Wild Card race and it’s obvious if you look at the MLB Playoff odds.  The Marlins are just 3-7 in their last 10 games and lost 2-1 to the Cubs on Friday.  The bats have struggled to score runs all year long, ranking 24th in the bigs.

This game had a lot of the same issues, banging out seven hits but scoring a lone run. Miami also stranded 10 runners as Chicago’s staff shut them completely down.

Willson Contreras Plays Hero

There was serious speculation that Willson Contreras would be gone at the trade deadline. The Cubs faithful even gave him a standing ovation last week because they thought it would be his last home game. But, he returned to Wrigley in style on Friday, playing hero in the bottom of the eighth.

Contreras smacked an eventual game-winning two-run homer off Dylan Floro and the crowd went absolutely ballistic. In the process, Chicago ended a four-game losing streak.

Miami vs Chicago – Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
08/05/22 Cubs Marlins CHC, 2-1
08/15/21 Marlins Cubs MIA, 4-1
08/14/21 Marlins Cubs MIA, 5-4
08/13/21 Marlins Cubs MIA, 14-10
06/20/21 Cubs Marlins CHC, 2-0
06/19/21 Cubs Marlins MIA, 11-1
06/18/21 Cubs Marlins MIA, 10-2
10/02/20 Cubs Marlins MIA, 2-0
09/30/20 Cubs Marlins MIA, 5-1

Marlins vs Cubs Pick

As you can see, the Marlins are the more dominant team in this matchup. Also, Lopez’s ERA lowers to 3.05 on the road. I like Miami here on the moneyline to bounce back and even up the series.

Pick: Marlins -110

Author Image

Quinn Allen

Sports Writer


Source link