Pirates vs Orioles odds

Aug 3, 2022; Arlington, Texas, USA; Baltimore Orioles left fielder Brett Phillips (66) and center fielder Cedric Mullins (31) and right fielder Anthony Santander (25) celebrate the win over the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

  • The Baltimore Orioles are -150 home favorites over the Pittsburgh Pirates in an MLB inter-league game slated for Friday, August 5
  • Baltimore is 12-3 straight up over the past 15 home games
  • Below, find the Pirates vs Orioles odds and best bets

The Baltimore Orioles (54-51, 29-20 home) used to be what the Pittsburgh Pirates (43-62, 19-33 away) remain: the Orioles were American League East bottom feeders for many years but today are challenging for an AL Wild Card position. Nineteen games below .500, the Pirates are still that bottom feeder in the NL Central.

As these two begin a three-game MLB  interleague series on Friday, that sudden wide gulf between the two clubs is evident.

Pirates vs Orioles Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Pittsburgh Pirates +128 +1.5 (-167) O 8.5 (-115)
Baltimore Orioles -150 -1.5 (+133) U 8.5 (-103)

Odds as of August 4 at Barstool Sportsbook. See available Barstool Sportsbook bonus code.

 

 

Pittsburgh has won three in a row but the Pirates are still 3-7 straight up over the past 10 games. Baltimore has also won three in a row and the Orioles are 12-3 SU in their past 15 home games.

That home dominance is certainly playing a role in Baltimore’s status as -150 favorites for this game. At 69-36, the Orioles are the best team in MLB against the run line this season. That’s a 65.7% success rate.

First pitch at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 7:05 pm ET on Friday, August 5. The weather forecast is showing thunderstorms with 7 mph wind and a temperature of 93 degrees.

At odds of -150, the Orioles are offering an implied probability of victory of 60% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Baltimore would deliver a payout of $16.70.

The Orioles are +100000 to win the AL East in the MLB Division odds Pittsburgh is listed at +40000 to win the NL Central. The MLB pennant odds have Baltimore at odds of +15000, while Pittsburgh is at +100000. In the World Series odds, bettors can access +20000 odds on the Orioles to win the MLB championship. Pittsburgh is +200000.

Pittsburgh vs Baltimore Probable Pitchers

Though he was just 1-2 during the month of July, Pirates right-hander Mitch Keller was showing a 2.61 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. He struck out 28 against just six walks over 31 innings of work.

That was a marked improvement over June, when Keller was without a decision and displaying a 4.10 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. Since the end of April, Keller has made eight road appearances. He’s 3-1 with a 4.35 ERA. All of his wins this season have come away from home.

Keller has never previously faced the Orioles. In inter-league play, he’s 0-1 with a 4.24 ERA in three starts.

Keller vs Kremer Stats

3-7 Record 3-3
4.37 ERA 3.86
4.28 xERA 5.45
1.42 WHIP 1.40
2.35 SO/W Ratio 2.93

Entering the season, Orioles right-hander Dean Kremer was 1-7 with a 6.84 ERA in two seasons as a big-league pitcher. Kremer hadn’t won since 2020.

This season, he’s won three times since June 12. However, of late, Kremer is struggling. He’s 0-2 over his last three starts and has surrendered 23 hits and 13 earned runs over 13.2 innings for an 8.56 ERA. Kremer has also served up four home runs during this stretch.

He’s 1-2 with a 4.26 ERA in five home starts this season. In one inter-league start in 2022, Kremer is -01 with a 12.46 ERA. He’ll be facing the Pirates for the first time as an MLB pitcher.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Pirates Batters Batting Average vs Kremer Orioles Batters Batting Average vs Kremer
Greg Allen .000 Robinson Chirinos .000
Michael Chavis .500 Austin Hayes .000
Oneil Cruz .000 Jorge Mateo .000
Taylor Davis .000 Ryan McKenna .000
Jason Delay .000 Ryan Mountcastle .000
Ben Gamel .000 Cedric Mullins .000
Ke’Bryan Hayes .000 Tyler Nevin .000
Bligh Madris .000 Rougned Odor .000
Tucupita Marcano .000 Brett Phillips .000
Cal Mitchell .000 Adley Rutschman .000
Kevin Newman .000 Anthony Santander .000
Bryan Reynolds .000 Ramon Urias .000
Josh VanMeter .000 Terrin Vavra .000

Robinson Chirinos and Brett Phillips are the only Baltimore batters with previous MLB experience hitting against Keller. Each is 0-for-2 at the plate.

Michael Chavis is the only Pirates hitter who has previously faced Kremer in the major leagues. Chavis is 1-for-2 (.500) with an RBI.

Pirates vs Orioles Prediction

Keller has been pitching well lately. He just isn’t getting the run support to win consistently. Pittsburgh is second-last in MLB in batting average (.220) and third-last in runs scored per game (3.70).

In their last three games, the Pirates have scored 18 runs. If they can take that level of offense on the road, where they’ve scored two runs or fewer in five of the past six games, an upset could be brewing here.

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates ML (+140)

 

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Robert Duff

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