Green Bay Packers wide receiver Christian Watson (9) celebrates scoring a touchdown with a Lambeau Leap against the Tennessee Titans during their football game Thursday, November 17, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis.
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- MNF Rams vs Packers player props are live ahead of tonight’s NFC matchup
- Can LA hold Christian Watson below 49 receiving yards? Will Ben Skowronek eclipse 29.5 receiving yards?
- Don’t miss our Rams vs Packers player prop picks and analysis below
The Packers razor-thin playoff hopes are on the line on Monday Night Football when they host the defending champion Rams. LA has looked nothing like a Super Bowl contender this year, as injuries to nearly all of their most important players derailed the title defense early.
One of the lone remaining healthy stars is Jalen Ramsey, and he’ll be tasked with shutting down Green Bay’s breakout rookie Christian Watson. The team’s new number-one receiver has taken the league by storm and is the first target in our Rams vs Packers player props.
However, if you’re expecting us to be bullish on Watson you’re going to be disappointed in our Rams vs Packers picks.
Rams vs Packers Player Props
|Quarterbacks||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TD|
|Baker Mayfield (LAR)||OFF||190.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)||0.5 (Ov -220 | Un +165)|
|Aaron Rodgers (GB)||OFF||229.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)||1.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)|
|Running Backs||Attempts||Rush Yards||Rush + Rec Yards|
|Cam Akers (LAR)||OFF||56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)||OFF|
|Aaron Jones (GB)||OFF||60.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)||OFF|
|Wide Receivers + Tight Ends||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Ben Skowronek (LAR)||2.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110)||29.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)||16.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)|
|Tutu Atwell (LAR)||OFF||31.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)||16.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)|
|Van Jefferson (LAR)||2.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)||31.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)||17.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)|
|Tyler Higbee (LAR)||3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -155)||28.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)||14.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)|
|Christian Watson (GB)||OFF||48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)||21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)|
|Allen Lazard (GB)||OFF||48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)||OFF|
|Robert Tonyan (GB)||OFF||22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)||12.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)|
Watson currently boasts an over/under receiving yards prop of 48.5, which is the same as teammate Allen Lazard’s. The Packers rookie has been making headlines with his explosive plays and end zone prowess, both of which are due for regression.
MNF Prop #1: Christian Watson Under 48.5 Receiving Yards
Watson is the ultimate boom-or-bust receiver. Seven of his past 15 catches have gone for touchdowns, with two of those scores coming from 50+ yards out. Note, however, he’s produced just a 55% reception rate over his past four contests.
He’ll likely spend the majority of his snaps lined up against Ramsey and although he has the speed to burn anyone, don’t underestimate Ramsey’s ability to teach the young buck a lesson.
Christian Watson Receiving Stats – Last 4 Games
Also working against Watson is the projected game script and weather. Temperatures are expected to be around 18 degrees, and with Green Bay favored by 7 points, expect a heavy dose of the Packers run game on the frozen tundra.
Pick: Christian Watson under 48.5 receiving yards (-115), 1 unit
MNF Prop #2: Ben Skowronek Over 29.5 Receiving Yards
On the opposite side of the coin, LA as touchdown underdogs are likely going to have throw plenty in comeback mode. That was the script last week in Baker Mayfield’s first start, and he couldn’t stop targeting Ben Skowronek.
I’m just on the fact that mf Ben Skowronek mossed somebody 😂😂pic.twitter.com/BMMK0TdUn7
— Mari (@17RingzWRLD) December 9, 2022
Mayfield and Skowronek connected seven times on eight targets, for 89 yards. Skowronek has played 97% and 100% of the Rams’ offensive snaps over the past two weeks, which tops all LA wideouts by a wide margin.
He’s cleared 29.5 receiving yards in both of those contests, and with LA likely trailing for the majority of tonight’s action, Skowronek a strong bet to do so again.
Pick: Ben Skowronek over 29.5 receiving yards (-115), 1 unit
Rams vs Packers TD Props
|Player||Odds to Score 1st TD||Odds to Score Anytime TD|
|Aaron Jones (GB)||+425||-120|
|AJ Dillon (GB)||+450||-110|
|Christian Watson (GB)||+650||+140|
|Allen Lazard (GB)||+800||+180|
|Cam Akers (LAR)||+1000||+185|
|Robert Tonyan (GB)||+1200||+250|
|Kyren Williams (LAR)||+1400||+260|
|Van Jefferson (LAR)||+1400||+260|
|Ben Skowronek (LAR)||+1700||+310|
|Randall Cobb (GB)||+1800||+360|
|Tutu Atwell (LAR)||+2200||+425|
|Tyler Higbee (LAR)||+2200||+425|
|Sammy Watkins (GB)||+2500||+450|
|Aaron Rodgers (GB)||+3000||+700|
|Baker Mayfield (LAR)||+3500||+700|
As far as the anytime TD market goes, we’re not going to overthink this one. Aaron Jones is a deserving -120 favorite, and when the weather gets cold he tends to play his best ball.
MNF Prop #3: Aaron Jones Anytime TD
Over his past 17 December games, Jones has found the end zone 17 times. He’s had a disappointing 2022 campaign so far scoring only six total TD, but a matchup versus LA could be the cure. The Rams’ defensive line ranks 22nd in stuff rate and will be missing Aaron Donald, the game’s premier defensive tackle.
Aaron Jones hit the Marshawn Lynch on this TD 😂
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) November 13, 2022
Jones was listed on the injury report at the start of the week with an ankle issue, but has since been cleared and will be a full-go against the Rams on MNF.
Pick: Aaron Jones Anytime TD (-120), 1 unit
As SBD’s resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he’d rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.