Christian Watson touchdown celebration

Green Bay Packers wide receiver Christian Watson (9) celebrates scoring a touchdown with a Lambeau Leap against the Tennessee Titans during their football game Thursday, November 17, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis.

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  • MNF Rams vs Packers player props are live ahead of tonight’s NFC matchup
  • Can LA hold Christian Watson below 49 receiving yards? Will Ben Skowronek eclipse 29.5 receiving yards?
  • Don’t miss our Rams vs Packers player prop picks and analysis below

The Packers razor-thin playoff hopes are on the line on Monday Night Football when they host the defending champion Rams. LA has looked nothing like a Super Bowl contender this year, as injuries to nearly all of their most important players derailed the title defense early.

One of the lone remaining healthy stars is Jalen Ramsey, and he’ll be tasked with shutting down Green Bay’s breakout rookie Christian Watson. The team’s new number-one receiver has taken the league by storm and is the first target in our Rams vs Packers player props.

However, if you’re expecting us to be bullish on Watson you’re going to be disappointed in our Rams vs Packers picks.

Rams vs Packers Player Props

Quarterbacks Completions Passing Yards Passing TD
Baker Mayfield (LAR) OFF 190.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 0.5 (Ov -220 | Un +165)
Aaron Rodgers (GB) OFF 229.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 1.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Running Backs Attempts Rush Yards Rush + Rec Yards
Cam Akers (LAR) OFF 56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) OFF
Aaron Jones (GB) OFF 60.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) OFF
Wide Receivers + Tight Ends Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Ben Skowronek (LAR) 2.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110) 29.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 16.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Tutu Atwell (LAR) OFF 31.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 16.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Van Jefferson (LAR) 2.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 31.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 17.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Tyler Higbee (LAR) 3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -155) 28.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 14.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Christian Watson (GB) OFF 48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Allen Lazard (GB) OFF 48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) OFF
Robert Tonyan (GB) OFF 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 12.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)

Odds as of December 18 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code to bet on your Monday Night Football player props.

Watson currently boasts an over/under receiving yards prop of 48.5, which is the same as teammate Allen Lazard’s. The Packers rookie has been making headlines with his explosive plays and end zone prowess, both of which are due for regression.

MNF Prop #1: Christian Watson Under 48.5 Receiving Yards

Watson is the ultimate boom-or-bust receiver. Seven of his past 15 catches have gone for touchdowns, with two of those scores coming from 50+ yards out. Note, however, he’s produced just a 55% reception rate over his past four contests.

He’ll likely spend the majority of his snaps lined up against Ramsey and although he has the speed to burn anyone, don’t underestimate Ramsey’s ability to teach the young buck a lesson.

Christian Watson Receiving Stats – Last 4 Games

3 48 1
4 110 1
4 48 2
4 107 3

Also working against Watson is the projected game script and weather. Temperatures are expected to be around 18 degrees, and with Green Bay favored by 7 points, expect a heavy dose of the Packers run game on the frozen tundra.

Pick: Christian Watson under 48.5 receiving yards (-115), 1 unit

MNF Prop #2: Ben Skowronek Over 29.5 Receiving Yards

On the opposite side of the coin, LA as touchdown underdogs are likely going to have throw plenty in comeback mode. That was the script last week in Baker Mayfield’s first start, and he couldn’t stop targeting Ben Skowronek.

Mayfield and Skowronek connected seven times on eight targets, for 89 yards. Skowronek has played 97% and 100% of the Rams’ offensive snaps over the past two weeks, which tops all LA wideouts by a wide margin.

He’s cleared 29.5 receiving yards in both of those contests, and with LA likely trailing for the majority of tonight’s action, Skowronek a strong bet to do so again.

Pick: Ben Skowronek over 29.5 receiving yards (-115), 1 unit

Rams vs Packers TD Props

Player Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Anytime TD
Aaron Jones (GB) +425 -120
AJ Dillon (GB) +450 -110
Christian Watson (GB) +650 +140
Allen Lazard (GB) +800 +180
Cam Akers (LAR) +1000 +185
Robert Tonyan (GB) +1200 +250
Kyren Williams (LAR) +1400 +260
Van Jefferson (LAR) +1400 +260
Ben Skowronek (LAR) +1700 +310
Randall Cobb (GB) +1800 +360
Tutu Atwell (LAR) +2200 +425
Tyler Higbee (LAR) +2200 +425
Sammy Watkins (GB) +2500 +450
Packers Defense +2800 +500
Aaron Rodgers (GB) +3000 +700
Baker Mayfield (LAR) +3500 +700
Rams Defense +4000 +850

As far as the anytime TD market goes, we’re not going to overthink this one. Aaron Jones is a deserving -120 favorite, and when the weather gets cold he tends to play his best ball.

MNF Prop #3: Aaron Jones Anytime TD

Over his past 17 December games, Jones has found the end zone 17 times. He’s had a disappointing 2022 campaign so far scoring only six total TD, but a matchup versus LA could be the cure. The Rams’ defensive line ranks 22nd in stuff rate and will be missing Aaron Donald, the game’s premier defensive tackle.

Jones was listed on the injury report at the start of the week with an ankle issue, but has since been cleared and will be a full-go against the Rams on MNF.

Pick: Aaron Jones Anytime TD (-120), 1 unit

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Chris Amberley

Sports Writer


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