NFL Receiving Yards Over/Under

Jun 7, 2022; Thousand Oaks California, USA; Los Angeles Rams receiver Cooper Kupp (10) catches the ball during minicamp at Cal Lutheran University. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

  • Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp is given a total of 1,300.5 yards in NFL receiving yardage totals
  • Kupp led the NFL last season with 1,947 yards in receptions
  • Minnesota Vikings wideout Justin Jefferson, who’s gone to 1,400 yards or better in both of his NFL seasons, is set with a receiving yards total of 1,350.5 yards

If you’re an NFL wideout looking to pile up receiving yardage, it’s good to have Matthew Stafford as the one throwing you passes.

Last season, as they won the Super Bowl with the Los Angeles Rams, quarterback Stafford and wide receiver Cooper Kupp connected for receiving yardage totaling 1,947. That number fell just shy of the NFL record of 1,964 yards that Calvin Johnson set with the 2012 Detroit Lions.

Johnson’s QB that season? That’s right – Stafford.

So what does this all mean to your NFL betting strategies? Well, if you’re looking to wager on NFL receiving yards with over/unders, look to see who’s catching passes from Stafford.

2022 NFL Receiving Yardage Over/Under Odds

Player (Team) Total Yards Over Odds Under Odds
Allen Robinson (Rams) 850.5 -112 -112
Cooper Kupp (Rams) 1300.5 -112 -112
Gabriel Davis (Bills) 850.5 -112 -112
Stefon Diggs (Bills) 1225.5 -112 -112
Tyreek Hill (Dolphins) 1025.5 -112 -112
Amon-Ra St Brown (Lions) 825.5 -112 -112
AJ Brown (Eagles) 1000.5 -112 -112
Brandin Cooks (Texans) 950.5 -112 -112
Chase Claypool (Steelers) 750.5 -112 -112
Christian Kirk (Jaguars) 900.5 -112 -112
DJ Moore (Panthers) 1100.5 -112 -112
Dallas Goedert (Eagles) 700.5 -112 -112
Darnell Mooney (Bears) 900.5 -112 -112
DeVonta Smith (Eagles) 825.5 -112 -112
Deebo Samuel (49ers) 950.5 -112 -112
Diontae Johnson (Steelers) 950.5 -112 -112
George Kittle (49ers) 825.5 -112 -112
Ja’Marr Chase (Browns) 1210.5 -112 -112
Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins) 925.5 -112 -112
Kyle Pitts (Falcons) 875.5 -112 -112
Mark Andrews (Ravens) 950.5 -112 -112
Michael Pittman Jr (Colts) 1025.5 -112 -112
Rashod Bateman (Ravens) 825.5 -112 -112
TJ Hockenson (Lions) 625.5 -112 -112
Tee Higgins (Bengals) 1000.5 -112 -112
Terry McLaurin (Commanders) 1000.5 -112 -112
Adam Thielen (Vikings) 750.5 -112 -112
Darren Waller (Raiders) 750.5 -112 -112
Davante Adams (Raiders) 1200.5 -112 -112
Hunter Renfrow (Raiders) 775.5 -112 -112
Justin Jefferson (Vikings) 1350.5 -112 -112
Keenan Allen (Chargers) 1025.5 -112 -112
Marquise Brown (Cardinals) 950.5 -112 -112
Mike Williams (Chargers) 950.5 -112 -112
Robert Woods (Titans) 750.5 -112 -112
Travis Kelce (Chiefs) 1100.5 -112 -112
Cee Dee Lamb (Cowboys) 1150.5 -112 -112
Mike Evans (Buccaneers) 1050.5 -112 -112
Courtland Sutton (Broncos) 925.5 -112 -112
Jerry Jeudy (Broncos) 950.5 -112 -112
DK Metcalf (Seahawks) 950.5 -112 -112
Tyler Lockett (Seahawks) 825.5 -112 -112

Odds as of July 27 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Get this FanDuel Sportsbook promo code before making your NFL bets

Which players will go over their receiving yards totals? Who are the best bets to go under?

Let’s take a look at that.

All receiving over/unders are set with odds of -112 whether they go over or under their total. At that betting line, no matter which way you play it you’ll be given an implied probability of victory of 52.83%. A $10 bet at those odds will bring a payout of $18.90 on a successful wager.

Kupp Assigned a Low Number

Kupp is a magician when it comes to running precise pass routes. He’ll find a way to get open and Stafford’s history – he’s gone over 5,000 yards in passing once and beyond 4,000 yards in eight other seasons – suggests that he’ll get Kupp the ball often.

Kupp earned a receiving triple crown last season. He led the NFL in yardage, receptions (145) and touchdown catches (16).

Oddsmakers are dropping Kupp’s number this season by over 600 yards. His receiving yardage total is set at 1,300.5 yards. If he stays healthy, it’s hard to imagine that Kupp won’t be exceeding that limit.

Pick: Cooper Kupp over 1,300.5 yards (-112)

Kittle In for Decline

There’s a change afoot in San Francisco. The 49ers are cutting ties with QB Jimmy Garoppolo and handing the reigns to 2020 first-round draft pick Trey Lance.

It’s likely that with such a young, inexperienced QB at the helm, the 49ers will be looking to gameplan somewhat more conservatively. San Francisco figures to be built around a run-first offense.

Since recording back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons in 2018 and 2019, 49ers tight end George Kittle has gone through a rough patch. He’s missed 13 games over the past three seasons. Last season, his targets, receptions and yardage were all down from 2019, his previous full campaign.

Pick: George Kittle under 825.5 yards (-112)

Pittman Will Benefit from Ryan Express

The Indianapolis Colts have a new starting QB. A fellow by the name of Matt Ryan who likes to throw the football a little bit.

Ryan has been an NFL starting QB since 2008. In every one of his seasons, Ryan’s leading receiver has gone over 1,026 yards in receptions. Only twice in that span did his leading pass catcher dip below 1,200 yards.

This must be music to the ears of Colts’ wideout Michael Pittman Jr. As an NFL sophomore last season, Pittman’s receptions jumped from 40 to 88 and his receiving yardage increased from 503 to 1,082 yards. Ryan might not be a favorite NFL MVP odds, but he’s a former NFL MVP and he’ll be throwing Pittman the football.

Pittman’s total this season is set at 1,025.5 yards. That’s under the worst number ever posted by Ryan’s leading receiver.

Pick: Michael Pittman Jr over 1,025.5 yards (-112)

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Robert Duff

Sports Writer


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