“She stayed on well late on despite not being given a hard time to finish fourth.”
Proven in very soft ground
The ground is likely to be testing at Fontwell this afternoon and, although they will be getting the best of it, that could catch out some of the juveniles in the opening contest. Boulette has shown all his form on good ground and was taken out of a race in Ireland due to the ground when it was soft to heavy. This will be much softer than what Kotmask encountered at Dieppe on his only start while Top Brass’ action doesn’t suggest he’s crying out for soft ground.
All of that could result in a shock outcome and I think Fiamette could be capable of providing that. She showed very little ability on the flat and was well beaten on her hurdling debut at Stratford in August but on soft ground at Ffos Las last time.
Handy from the off, she jumped well and was still going well in a share of fourth entering the home straight. She was shaken along after 3 out and was outpaced by the leading trio but she stayed on well late on despite not being given a hard time to finish fourth.
The winner of that race was Forever Blessed, who has won very easily again since, while the runner up was sent off favourite for a handicap off 112 next time before unseating early on and the third had shown a good level of ability on the flat in France.
Fiamette does go without the visor that she wore that day and it’s an unknown as to what impact that will have but if she’s able to build a little on that performance then I think she could be competitive in this. Her price has shortened this morning, which has reduced the strength of the bet accordingly, but I still think the market is underestimating her and any 16/1 or bigger appeals.