After kicking off the week with a frustrating near-miss, Kev’s taking us to San Marino, and he’s backing the visitors Andorra.

“Andorra have avoided defeat against Latvia, Malta and Gibraltar since the start of 2020, and they beat San Marino 2-0 in the reverse fixture.”

Back Andorra to win at 1.758/11

Andorra to bounce back

San Marino v Andorra
Tuesday 12 October, 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

With Germany 1-0 up in the 70th minute at North Macedonia last night, our Germany/Under 3.5 Goals bet looked safe, but three more goals in the closing stages saw Hansi Flick’s side tiptoe over the 3.5 goals line with a 4-0 win.

With grim determination, we head to San Marino, because there’s a World Cup qualifier between the hosts and Andorra in Serravalle.

Andorra have had quite a lively week. They were beaten 5-0 at home by England, and in the build-up to the match a fire at the Estadi Nacional caused damage to the pitch, the TV gantry and the dugout. Thankfully no-one was hurt. Andorra’s hefty defeat means they have lost all but one of their World Cup qualifiers, but they did beat San Marino 2-0, and they pushed Hungary hard in a recent 2-1 defeat on the road. Since the start of 2020, Andorra have avoided defeat against Latvia, Malta and Gibraltar, and have beaten San Marino.

As for San Marino, they have lost their last nine games including friendlies, and they have scored just six goals across their last 50 matches. They are the worst European team in FIFA’s rankings for a reason.

Andorra are trading at 1.758/11 to win this, and that seems a big price to me. The visitors are a competent, organised outfit who pose more of a goal threat than San Marino do, and I’m happy to back them to take all three points. If you want a bigger price, you could back Andorra to win and Under 2.5 Goals on the Sportsbook at 2.77/4.

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