Rhys Williams has analysed Thursday’s racing and one horse has caught his eye at Doncaster…
“Both that and the Chester performance showed that Prosperous Voyage needed a step up in trip to show her best and she gets that today with her first start over a mile.”
Improvement to come on more suitable track
Inspiral is rightly a short-priced favourite after an impressive victory at Sandown on her second start but I think one of her rivals might be capable of putting up more of a challenge than the market suggests.
Prosperous Voyage returns to the track where she made her debut in June. She was green that day and found a slowly-run 6½ furlongs too sharp a test.
She got off the mark next time at Epsom before putting in a very good performance in defeat at Chester two starts ago over seven furlongs. She raced in fifth early on and briefly dropped back into a share of last turning the final bend as Nuance started to go clear of the field. Pushed along, she came widest into the straight and still had plenty of ground to make up with a furlong to go before charging home late to only be beaten half a length in second.
Considering she got stuck in a poor position after Atrium came around the outside of her, this was a fine effort from Prosperous Voyage and she pulled six lengths and more clear of a couple of horses that are now rated 77 and 82.
She was stepped up in class for her latest start at Goodwood in the Group 3 Prestige Stakes and was unlucky to not get closer to the winner. She tracked the leaders early on before being pushed along and a bit outpaced with 2½ furlongs to go. Angled towards the inside at the cutaway, her path was blocked with a furlong to go and she had to be steadied. She eventually got a clear run late on and finished strongly to take third on the line.
Both that and the Chester performance showed that Prosperous Voyage needed a step up in trip to show her best and she gets that today with her first start over a mile. I think this track will be more suitable for her too than having to deal with the camber at Epsom and Goodwood and nearly constantly being on the turn at Chester.
Inspiral will be tough to beat but I think Prosperous Voyage is the biggest danger to her and it’s a surprise that Speak is ahead of her in the market. While it was a good performance on debut at Kempton, I think the market has overreacted to the subsequent victory of Natasha as that rival was far greener on debut so had the potential to take a big step forward on her second start.
Prosperous Voyage being second favourite in the without the favourite market has created a further opportunity and any evens or bigger appeals in that market while any 11/2 or bigger appeals in the straight market.