Timeform pick out their best back, lay and stats-based bets on Tuesday…

“…may yet prove capable of better still and remains very much a filly to follow…”

Timeform on Royal Address

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Calum Gilhooley – 13:00 Newton Abbot

Calum Gilhooley has looked a fairly useful prospect in two starts over hurdles, finishing second on his debut at Southwell and then making short work of his rivals at this track last time. That form identifies him as the one to beat here on Timeform’s weight-adjusted ratings, even under a penalty. When you also factor in his scope for further progress, then he looks to hold obvious claims in his follow-up bid for the in-form Graeme McPherson yard (four winners and three seconds from last 15 runners).

Form: 10/21

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Date Course/Class Pos Type Dist. Gng. HDGR WGT Jockey BSP
21/08/20 Newton Abbot 1/8 Hurdle 2m 5f 122y Good 10st 12lbs Kielan Woods 3.15
04/08/20 Southwell 2/14 Hurdle 1m 7f 182y Good 11st 0lbs Kielan Woods 44
26/02/19 Ffos Las 12/16 Bumper 1m 7f 182y Soft 11st 9lbs Kielan Woods 39.98
14/12/18 Bangor-On-Dee 1/7 Bumper 2m 145y Soft 11st 0lbs Kielan Woods 63.83

Lay
Story of Friends – 14:40 Newton Abbot

Story of Friends is opposable as he attempts to follow up last week’s impressive success over course and distance. The quick turnaround is certainly a concern given the extreme test of stamina that this race poses, while he’ll probably need another career-best effort to defy a 7 lb penalty, especially as this represents a significant step up in grade. Preference is for Yeavering Belle, who has a progressive profile over hurdles and would likely have made it four from four in this discipline had she not jumped rather erratically when runner-up at Uttoxeter last time.

Form: 11228-F51

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Date Course/Class Pos Type Dist. Gng. HDGR WGT Jockey BSP
01/09/20 Newton Abbot 1/7 Hurdle 3m 2f 105y Good b 11st 8lbs Tom Scudamore 4.96
17/08/20 Uttoxeter 5/15 Hurdle 2m 3f 207y Good b 11st 10lbs Tom Scudamore 11.79
23/07/20 Uttoxeter -/12 Hurdle 1m 7f 168y Good b 11st 8lbs Tom Scudamore 9.4
12/12/19 Taunton 8/15 Hurdle 2m 3f 1y Heavy + 11st 4lbs Tom Scudamore 18.84
25/11/19 Kempton Park 2/7 Hurdle 2m Gd/sft + 11st 1lbs Jonjo O’Neill Jr. 4.4
05/06/19 Newton Abbot 2/5 Hurdle 2m 167y Gd/sft z 11st 4lbs Tom Scudamore 4.2
22/05/19 Warwick 1/8 Hurdle 2m 3f Good z 11st 0lbs Tom Scudamore 1.93
07/05/19 Exeter 1/11 Bumper 2m 175y Good z 11st 2lbs David Noonan 2.85
24/03/19 Exeter 2/6 Bumper 2m 175y Gd/sft 11st 0lbs Tom Scudamore 3.55
10/03/19 Warwick 5/11 Bumper 2m Soft 11st 2lbs Tom Scudamore 19.64

Smart Stat
Royal Address – 16:05 Goodwood

20% – William Haggas’ strike rate at Goodwood since the start of the 2016 season

William Haggas is always worth following with his runners at Goodwood, and his best chance of a winner on this afternoon’s card looks to be Royal Address, who showed much-improved form to make a successful nursery debut at Sandown recently, winning by four lengths with plenty in hand. The handicapper has reacted accordingly, giving her a 14 lb hike in the weights, but she may yet prove capable of better still and remains very much a filly to follow.

Form: 651

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Date Course/Class Pos Type Dist. Gng. HDGR WGT Jockey BSP
22/08/20 Sandown Park 1/6 Flat 5f 10y Good 9st 3lbs Richard Kingscote 3.9
13/06/20 Leicester 5/8 Flat 6f Gd/frm 9st 0lbs Shane Kelly 4.69
06/06/20 Lingfield Park 6/11 Flat 6f 1y Slow 9st 0lbs Georgia Cox 15.5





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