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May 7, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber (12) slides safe into second base for a double during the eighth inning against the Toronto Blue Jays at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
- The red-hot Phillies host the ice-cold Blue Jays in the finale of a two-game set in Philadelphia on Wednesday
- Riding an MLB-best seven-game win streak, the Phillies crushed the Blue Jays 10-1 last night
- Below, see the Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies odds, predictions, and starting pitchers for May 8
Two teams headed in opposite directions meet on Wednesday when the Toronto Blue Jays (16-20, 8-13 away, 16-20 O/U) visit the NL East-leading Philadelphia Phillies (26-11, 15-6 home , 18-18-2 O/U) at Citizens Bank Park at 1:05 pm ET.
The Blue Jays send veteran Chris Bassitt to the hill on Wednesday opposite Aaron Nola for the Phillies. Philadelphia is favored in the Blue Jays vs Phillies odds but not by a terribly significant margin.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays (Bassitt) | +130 | +1.5 (-166) | O 8.5 (-110) |
| Philadelphia Phillies (Nola) | -154 | -1.5 (+138) | U 8.5 (-110) |
Wednesday’s MLB odds list the Phillies as -154 favorites on the moneyline with the Blue Jays at +130. Philadelphia is priced at +138 to win by two or more runs while the Jays are -166 to keep it within a run. The over/under is sitting at 8.5 runs at -110 odds each way.
Odds as of May 8 at FanDuel. Claim the FanDuel sign up bonus to bet on Blue Jays vs Phillies on May 8.
The Blue Jays, who have lost five of their last six, have dropped to last in the AL East, already 7.5 games behind division-leading Baltimore. The Phillies, meanwhile, have surged ahead of Atlanta to take over top spot in the NL East by three games. The MLB division odds still list the reigning-champion Braves as -230 favorites to repeat.
Philadelphia crushed Toronto 10-1 in the series opener last night, hammering ace Jose Berrios for eight runs on seven hits over just 3.2 innings.
Toronto vs Philadelphia Starting Pitchers (May 8)
The battle on the mound would appear to favor the Phillies rather heavily. Bassitt is off to a rough start this season (2-5, 5.45 ERA) while Aaron Nola (4-1, 3.32 ERA) has been rock-solid since getting roughed up by Atlanta in his first start of the season.
The 35-year-old Bassitt gave up three runs on four hits over 6.0 innings against the Royals last time out in a 6-1 loss, striking out four and walking one. Bassitt is getting very few swings-and-misses this season and his K-rate – which had been 22.4% or higher each of the last three seasons – has dropped to just 20.7%. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is at just 1.89-to-1, his worst mark since 2016.
Bassitt’s career numbers against this Phillies lineup are middling. In 86 total at-bats, they’re slashing .267/.300/.395. He’s done a good job of keeping the ball in the park, though. Nick Castellanos has the lone home run off Bassitt.
Chris Bassitt vs Aaron Nola
| 2-5 | Record | 4-1 |
| 5.45 | ERA | 3.32 |
| 5.55 | xERA | 3.93 |
| 1.68 | WHIP | 1.15 |
| 20.7% | SO% | 22.7% |
Since getting touched up for seven runs (six earned) on 11 hits in just 4.1 innings by Atlanta in his first start, Nola hasn’t surrendered more than three runs in his past six starts. His ERA, which was a massive 12.46 on March 30, has dropped to 3.32, and his xERA isn’t much higher (3.93).
Nola’s numbers against the Blue Jays hitters is concerning, though. As a group, they’re slashing .275/.351/.478 off Nola with three home runs and five doubles in just 69 at-bats. Bo Bichette, Daulton Varsho, and Vlad Guerrero Jr have each taken Nola deep once.
Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction
The Jays still have time to turn their season around, and they certainly have the latent talent to put together solid season, but this is not a good team right now. Their bullpen is a disaster and they’re frigid at the plate. Toronto has a -46 run differential so far, which is third-worst in the entire MLB. At +54, the Phillies are second only to the stacked LA Dodgers.
Bassitt hasn’t given up a ton of runs to these Philly hitters in the past, but he’s also sporting a concerning 39.1% HardHit% (per FanGraphs) and a 16.2% home run-per-fly ball rate, the worst of his career.
TOR vs PHI pick: Phillies moneyline (-154) – 1.54 units
Sascha Paruk’s 2024 MLB betting record: 11-6 (+2.63 units)
All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise.
Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has been with SBD since 2014. He specializes in football, basketball, politics, baseball, and hockey.