Brady Manek celebrates a bucket

North Carolina’s Brady Manek (45) celebrates after beating Duke in a college basketball game during the semifinal round of the Men’s Final Four NCAA tournament, Saturday, April 2, 2022, in New Orleans. (AP Photo/David J. Phillip)

  • The National Championship at the NCAA Tournament tips-off at 9:20 pm ET on Monday (April 4)
  • Player props are available for the North Carolina vs Kansas matchup
  • See below to find out where the betting value lies in the Tar Heels vs Jayhawks March Madness player props

It will be a battle of college basketball blue bloods Monday night for the National Championship. North Carolina takes on Kansas, and while these are two of the most storied programs in the nation it’s a title game few people saw coming.

The Jayhawks have been a top contender in the NCAA Tournament odds for virtually the entire season, and held serve as a 1-seed winning each of their March Madness games comfortably. UNC on the other hand, is looking to become just the second 8-seed to ever win the tournament. They were an underdog in three of their past four games with the lone exception coming against Saint Peter’s, when they squashed one of the greatest Cinderella runs in March Madness history.

The biggest college basketball game of the year is going to draw a massive amount of action at online sportsbooks, including in the player props market where there’s a full menu of bets to wager on.

North Carolina vs Duke Player Props

UNC vs Duke Points Rebounds Assists Three Pointers Made
Leaky Black (UNC) 6.5 (Ov +110 / Un -145) 4.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) OFF OFF
Brady Manek (UNC) 16.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) 6.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) OFF 2.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)
Caleb Love (UNC) 17.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) 3.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) 3.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) 2.5 (Ov -160 / Un +120)
RJ Davis (UNC) 14.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) 4.5 (Ov +105 / Un
-135)
4.5 (Ov +110 / Un -145) 1.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100)
Christian Braun (KU) 12.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) 6.5 (Ov -135 / Un +100) 2.5 (Ov +110 / Un -145) 1.5 (Ov +120 / Un -160)
David McCormack (KU) 10.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) 7.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) 0.5 (Ov -175 / Un +130) OFF
Jalen Wilson (KU) 12.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) 8.5 (Ov -135 / Un +105) 1.5 (Ov -155 / Un +115) 0.5 (Ov -250 / Un +180)
Ochai Agbaji (KU) 16.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) 4.5 (Ov -150 / Un +110) OFF 1.5 (Ov -180 / Un +135)
Remy Martin (KU) 11.5 (Ov -145 / Un +110) 4.5 (Ov +105 / Un -135) 2.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) 1.5 (Ov +175 / Un -240)

Odds as of April 4th at DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

One major storyline to follow in the UNC vs Kansas injury report is the health of Tar Heels big man Armando Bacot. His name is noticeably absent from the player props odds board due to a sprained ankle he suffered on Saturday versus Duke.

Bacot has posted a double-double in all four of North Carolina’s games and has been instrumental in helping UNC navigate its way through to the final. He’s expected to play but If he’s limited at all, it will require a Herculean performance from some of his teammates to take down Kansas.

Pick #1: Brady Manek Over 2.5 Threes

One of the Tar Heels who will be leaned on even more heavily with Bacot hurting is Brady Manek, especially from three. The 6-9 senior has been an assassin from long range during the tournament. He’s fresh of burying three triples against the Blue Devils, and is 19-of-50 (47.5%) from beyond the arc during the tournament.

Manek has eclipsed 2.5 three’s in every March Madness game so far, and dating back to the regular season he’s made at least three triples in nine of his past 11 games.

Kansas boasts a strong defense but they do surrender a ton of volume. Opponents are taking 60 shots per game versus the Jayhawks this season, including an average of 21 three’s per contest.

No Tar Heel shoots a higher percentage from three than Manek, and considering they’re a 4-point underdog in the Kansas vs UNC odds, we should project an extra few deep looks as they try to claw their way back.

Pick #2: Remy Martin Under 11.5 Points

The Jayhawks Remy Martin has been a fascinating story over the past three weeks. He outperformed Wooden Award odds contender and teammate Ochai Agbaji in the first few rounds, earning the Midwest Region’s most outstanding player award despite coming off the bench.

Martin came crashing back down to earth on Saturday, managing just 3 points and a pair of assists versus Villanova, but he’s still being priced much too aggressively in the props market.

The biggest over/under that stands out is his point total. It’s currently listed at 11.5, a number he hasn’t cleared in back-to-back games. Dating back to the regular season, Martin has produced 12 or more points just four times in his past 19 contests.

Of course he wasn’t seeing the type of minutes he saw in the first three rounds in the majority of those outings, but his minutes have been trending down since the Sweet 16. He’s averaged just 22.5 minutes in the past two games, down from an average of 28 in the second round and Sweet 16.

His playing time over the past two outings falls much closer in line to what he averaged during the regular season, and it’s safer to project a minutes total in the low 20’s than the high 20’s against UNC. With that in mind, this is a clear under bet.


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Chris Amberley

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