The Iowa football team takes the field in a light haze of smoke to start an NCAA college football game against Illinois Saturday, Dec. 5, 2020, in Champaign , Ill. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
- Week 15 of the College Football season features a packed slate of exciting games in the Big Ten conference
- #12 Indiana and #16 Wisconsin are two ranked teams on upset alert
- See the odds and the best upset picks for Saturday within the story below
Ohio State vs Michigan has been cancelled.
The decision robs the Wolverines of the opportunity to pull off a historic upset. Despite the biggest rivalry sitting this one out, this weeks Upset Picks still feature three games in the Big Ten Championship race .
Purdue vs #12 Indiana Week 15 Odds
|Purdue||+10.5 (-109)||+290||O 52 (-112)|
|#12 Indiana||-10.5 (-112)||-385||U 52 (-109)|
All odds taken Dec. 8th at DraftKings
Losing Penix Jr. Major Blow for Indiana
Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. had been sensational for Indiana this year. He almost singlehandedly kept the Hoosiers in their game against Ohio State with 491 passing yards and five touchdowns. In total he piled up 14 touchdowns and only four interceptions before suffering a season ending torn ACL.
Putting on a brave face and touting the “next man up” is one thing, but consider it lip service. Losing a player as talented as Penix Jr. is an absolutely devastating blow to one of this seasons biggest surprises. Replacing Penix Jr. is sophomore Jack Tuttle, who has 24 career completions and is a drastic downgrade at the position.
Indiana QB Michael Penix Jr. will miss the rest of this season with a torn ACL, coach Tom Allen announced. pic.twitter.com/uOu9nWAwSq
— ESPN College Football (@ESPNCFB) November 30, 2020
Purdue has lost four straight games but there is reason to believe in the Boilermakers. Those four losses have all been by 10 points or less. They play tight football games and are about to take the field with a team severely weakened by a key injury. Expect Indiana to have a bit of a let down, providing an opportunity for Purdue to snap their win streak and make your +290 wager a big winner.
The Pick: Purdue Moneyline (+290)
#16 Wisconsin vs #19 Iowa Week 15 Odds
|#16 Wisconsin||-1 (-113)||-118||O 43 (-113)|
|#19 Iowa||+1 (-108)||-104||U 43 (-108)|
Hawkeyes Take Aim at Sixth Straight Win
Before making the case for the Hawkeyes, let’s acknowledge that yes this is about as narrow an underdog you’ll ever find. Technically, it is an upset pick though, and while the value may not be sky high, it’s a sound selection.
Iowa is one of the hottest teams in all of college football right now. They have won five straight games by a combined 110 points. The opponents haven’t been pushovers either. The streak includes victories over Michigan State, Minnesota, Penn State, Nebraska and Illinois.
🗣 Tyler Goodson: “Mekhi (Sargent) is a great runner. He’s very smart. He has a lot of power to him. That puts fear into the defense. We work very well together. It’s a brotherhood in the running back room.” #Hawkeyes
— IowaFBLive (@IowaFBLive) December 8, 2020
One thing you’ll notice about this game, the total is extremely low. The reason for that is Iowa’s ability to control the clock. Their running back tandem of Tyler Goodson and Mekhi Sargent have combined for 1,037 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns. They have the ability to go on prolonged drives which has been a key to success.
Despite their success on the ground they line to throw the ball as well. Seven different Hawkeyes players have double digit receptions on the season. Look for Iowa to keep drives alive and put up points at a rate more than good enough to earn the victory in this one.
The Pick: Iowa Moneyline (-104)
Minnesota vs Nebraska Week 15 Odds
|Minnesota||+11 (-113)||+285||O 59 (-109)|
|Nebraska||-11 (-108)||-375||U 59 (-112)|
Minnesota Looking to Finish Season .500
Minnesota should be one of the most well rested teams in the history of college football. They haven’t played in three weeks and finally return to the field against Nebraska this weekend. The Golden Gophers need a victory to finish the year .500 and despite being 11-point underdogs, there’s a path to victory.
Tanner Morgan was sensational last year but need to up his game in a big way. He has only four touchdowns and four interceptions in five games and has yet to have a performance with more than one score. Minnesota has no reason to hold anything back in their finale, and it’s likely they’ll open the entire play book to make sure their star quarterback ends on a high note.
#Gophers @_MoIbrahim named one of 10 semifinalists for the @DoakWalkerAward. Ibrahim leads the Big Ten with 817 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns. https://t.co/XaRXQTFdbe#SkiUMah // #RTB pic.twitter.com/O9r7Y1ki3X
— Minnesota Football (@GopherFootball) December 7, 2020
2019 Big Ten receiver of the year Rashod Bateman has officially opted out for the season. He’ll be a player in the NFL going forward and the Golden Gophers will miss his services. He had 47% of the teams receptions this year and will be tough to replace. That said, Chris Autman-Bell is more than capable of picking up a large part of that slack. His response to being thrust into the WR1 role? “I’ve still got to be the same person I am – be a superhero”. Tough not to like that swagger.
They also have Doak Walker Award nominee Mohamed Ibrahim in the back field. He leads the conference with 817 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns. Expect Autman-Bell and Ibrahim to help Morgan have one big game to close the season.
The Pick: Minnesota Moneyline (+285)
Ryan has been working at TSN for over eleven years, and is now a lead writer and content producer at That’s Hockey. Over the years, he’s launched and hosted TSN’s first NCAAF podcast, The College Football Show, and been featured on the likes of TSN 1050, Sportscentre, and That’s Hockey 2Nite.