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One of the biggest challenges about forecasting the next election is the very high proportion of 2019 Conservative voters who are now saying don’t know.

What’s important about this group is that they are not saying they will not vote in the next election but only a relatively small proportion of them have actually switched to Labour.

If the polls do get it wrong next time then it will be the Tory don’t knows who are responsible.

Mike Smithson

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