Want an Accurate Inflation Forecast? Kalshi Says it Beats Wall Street.
Posted on: December 23, 2025, 11:20h. Last updated on: December 23, 2025, 11:20h. Kalshi Research study says prediction markets delivered 40% lower error rate on inflation forecasts over the past 25 months. Kalshi forecasts also showed reduced error rates during major shocks. Adds prediction market inflation estimates can be “a valuable complement to traditional forecasts.” […]