Best MLB Home Run Odds & HR Props Today: August 5 Picks

• Breaking down a 15-game slate to find the best MLB home run props in power-friendly spots.
• Targeting proven sluggers in favorable venues and matchups using today’s MLB odds.
• Factoring in park context from current MLB park factors.

A loaded 15-game MLB slate gives bettors plenty of home run angles, from Dodgers-Cubs to Cardinals-Yankees. With several games in homer-friendly parks like Yankee Stadium, Wrigley Field, Coors Field, Great American Ball Park, and Citizens Bank Park, today’s board offers multiple ways to target power upside.

Below, we break down the best home run odds across the slate, focusing on sluggers with strong matchups, favorable ballpark context, and appealing prices.

Best Home Run Picks & Odds Today: August 5

Today’s Top MLB HR Props Analysis

Junior Caminero (+226) — Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies

Taking the field at Coors Field instantly boosts any hitter’s volume profile. Caminero’s renowned work ethic and underdog mentality have prepared him for a prime spot today. Colorado’s venue ranks fourth overall in MLB for offense, seeing a staggering 2.74 home runs per contest.

Furthermore, he faces Rockies starter Tomoyuki Sugano, who ranks among the most HR-susceptible pitchers on the slate. Sugano has surrendered 21 home runs across 102.2 innings, translating to an elevated 1.84 HR/9 rate. This pitch-to-contact tendency creates a massive tactical edge for Caminero.

Shohei Ohtani (+230) — Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs

Ohtani steps into the box at Wrigley Field, a formidable venue that ranks eighth in the league and averages 2.81 home runs per game. He draws a highly favorable matchup against Cubs starter Shota Imanaga, who has struggled to suppress high-leverage power metrics. Imanaga has given up 24 homers in 127.2 innings, resulting in a vulnerable 1.69 HR/9 rate.

Bryce Harper (+240) — Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies

Harper benefits from playing at Citizens Bank Park, a top-10 venue that averages 2.65 home runs per game. The ballyhooed slugger will face Nationals starter Jake Irvin, who carries a 1.43 HR/9 rate after allowing nine long balls over 56.2 innings.

The hitter-friendly Philadelphia environment, combined with a pitcher who frequently yields air contact, makes this an appealing prop target.

Yordan Alvarez (+286) — Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros

This is arguably the top pitching mismatch of the slate. Alvarez gets to tee off at Daikin Park, which averages 2.79 home runs per game. More importantly, he battles Blue Jays starter Jameson Taillon, who owns the second-worst HR/9 rate among all starting pitchers today. Taillon has been pummeled for 25 home runs in just 76.0 innings, producing an abysmal 2.96 HR/9.

Pete Alonso (+290) — Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles

Alonso finds himself navigating a unique matchup at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, which ranks 11th in the league and averages 2.37 home runs per game. This pitching matchup features Trevor Rogers (0.82 HR/9) and Reid Detmers (1.08 HR/9).

While these starters generally limit extreme damage, Camden Yards remains a potent offensive environment. It routinely rewards ballyhooed power hitters who can elevate the ball.

Ben Rice (+315) — St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees

An underdog story of sheer hard work, Rice gets the nod at Yankee Stadium. This famously short-porched venue averages 2.82 home runs per game, ranking 12th overall in the league. He matches up against Cardinals starter Andre Pallante.

While Pallante has kept his HR/9 rate relatively low at 0.76 (10 homers in 118.2 innings), the Bronx environment always elevates home run probabilities.