Cardinals vs Mets Expert Picks & Props to Target on June 11

• I’m backing the Cardinals to sweep the Mets this afternoon
• Despite St. Louis’ recent offensive surge, the under presents value in this matchup
• Keep reading for my favorite Cardinals vs Mets expert picks and props to target on June 11, below

The New York Mets (29-37) are looking to bounce back after two embarrassing defeats as they wrap up their series against the St. Louis Cardinals (36-28) this afternoon. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 PM EST at Citi Field, with the MLB weather forecast calling for a sun-cloud mix and 90 degree game-time temperatures.

Despite suffering a decisive 9-2 defeat to St. Louis in their last outing, New York enters this afternoon matchup as the home favorite in the MLB odds. In that previous contest, the Cardinals exploded for 11 hits and three home runs, highlighted by deep shots from Nelson Velázquez and Jordan Walker.

New York’s bats went cold, managing just three hits, and have now been outscored 16-2 so far this series. I’m betting the Cards dominance will continue today, so keep reading to find out why plus see the rest of the Cardinals vs Mets expert picks and props to target on June 11, below.

Cardinals vs Mets Expert Picks

• Cardinals Moneyline (+122 at Caesars)
• Under 9 Runs (-115 at Bet365)

When evaluating the raw statistical profiles in the MLB starting lineups, a clear angle emerges for bettors. St. Louis possesses the superior lineup right now, slashing .244/.323/.391 with a .714 OPS overall. Conversely, New York has struggled to generate consistent run support, posting a sluggish .227 batting average and a .654 team OPS.

My best bet for this game is the Cardinals moneyline. They rank sixth in the league in road scoring with 4.97 runs per game. Their .705 team OPS on the road proves they can string together quality at-bats and drive the ball for extra bases in hostile territory.

New York ranks near the bottom of the league in home runs per game (4.28) and sits at a dismal 28th overall in home OPS (.663). While the Mets boast a solid average exit velocity of 88.8 mph at Citi Field, they are repeatedly failing to sequence hits into meaningful run production.

Christian Scott vs Hunter Dobbins Stats

The probable pitching matchup features two strong arms: Hunter Dobbins against Christian Scott. Given the sub-3.00 ERAs of both starters over their last 10 outings, my prediction for the game total is Under 9 runs.

Scott has been a bright spot for New York this season. Across his eight starts, he has compiled a pristine 2-0 record backed by a stellar 2.50 ERA. His 3.10 FIP indicates he is pitching incredibly well independent of his defense.

Dobbins enters this game as a spot starter and bulk reliever. While his overall season ERA sits at an inflated 6.23, looking at his recent form paints a different picture. Over his last 10 appearances, Dobbins has pitched to a 2.77 ERA while holding opposing hitters to a .143 batting average.

Cardinals vs Mets Odds

Odds as of June 11. Claim the BetMGM promo code to bet on the Cardinals vs Mets.

If you want to tail my side and total bets this afternoon, you’ll need access to multiple books. Caesars currently has the best price on the St. Louis moneyline at +122 at the time of writing, while Bet365 has the shortest odds on under 9 runs.

Cardinals vs Mets Props to Target

• Christian Scott to record Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+125 at DraftKings)

Moving over to the MLB props market, where my favorite prop to target is Christian Scott to record Over 5.5 Strikeouts. The standout feature of Scott’s profile is his elite strikeout ability, fanning batters at a massive 10.25 K/9 rate. Getting plus-money value is an edge too good to pass up against a St. Louis lineup that strikes out frequently.

Per the MLB batter vs pitcher stats, Scott has never faced the Cardinals, but did whiff 8 batters in his previous start at Citi Field.