Dodgers vs Phillies Expert Picks & Predictions (Jul 20)

• The MLB-leading LA Dodgers are +118 road underdogs as they open a 3-game set against the Phillies
• LA has taken six of the last eight head-to-head meetings between the teams
• Read below for the my Dodgers vs Phillies picks, prediction and updated odds

After taking two of three from the Yankees to come out of the all-star break, the LA Dodgers open a 3-game set in Philadelphia against the Phillies on Monday.

Despite currently holding the best record in baseball, LA finds itself as the road underdog in the MLB odds.

Action gets underway at 7pm ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, with ESPN providing the broadcast coverage.

Dodgers vs Phillies Sox Picks

Cristopher Sánchez Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+105 at bet365): He averages 10.18 strikeouts per nine innings and consistently pitches deep into games. Los Angeles batters swing and miss at a high clip, making this a strong situational spot.

Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run (+150 at bet365): Schwarber has launched a team-leading 33 home runs while posting a .561 slugging percentage. Given Emmet Sheehan’s documented susceptibility to the long ball (1.64 HR/9), Schwarber is positioned well to clear the fences.

Under 8.5 runs (51¢ at Kalshi): Despite the heavy-hitting star power in both lineups, the Dodgers’ overall staff boasts a brilliant 3.49 team ERA. With Sánchez dominating on the mound for Philadelphia, runs should come at a premium in the early innings. Situational trends support this, as the Under has hit in 70.0% of Philadelphia’s last 10 games.

LA Dodgers vs PHI Phillies Prediction

When evaluating the moneyline for this National League clash, the MLB probable pitchers matchup points heavily in favor of the home team.

Philadelphia hands the ball to Cristopher Sánchez, who has been sensational this season with a 2.62 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and 10.18 strikeouts per nine innings across 127.1 frames.

Sánchez boasts an 11-4 record alongside a 2.70 FIP. His ability to pair a high strikeout rate with pinpoint command helps him navigate dangerous lineups effectively.

On the other side, Los Angeles will counter with Emmet Sheehan. While Sheehan possesses excellent strikeout metrics (10.17 K/9), he carries a 4.81 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 82.1 innings.

Sheehan has struggled to translate his raw stuff into consistent run prevention. Despite a highly respectable .241 opponent batting average, he has been plagued by efficiency issues. Over his last 10 outings, Sheehan averages just 4.67 innings per start while issuing 3.09 walks per nine innings, forcing early reliance on the bullpen.

Evaluating MLB batter vs pitcher stats, Teoscar Hernandez stands out as the best option to back against Sánchez. Hernandez holds a phenomenal .417 average, four extra-base hits, and two home runs over 12 career at-bats.

On the opposite end, Freddie Freeman has struggled mightily, mustering just one hit in 11 at-bats (.091 AVG). Shohei Ohtani has also fallen victim to the punchout with six strikeouts in 16 encounters. Meanwhile, the home lineup has virtually no meaningful history against Sheehan, going 0-for-10 historically as a unit.

Philadelphia is highly reliable when favored, winning 65.2% of those games (45-24). They’re my moneyline pick for Monday.

Dodgers vs Phillies Odds

The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change. Be sure to use the BetMGM promo code to bet on Dodgers vs Phillies or any other MLB game.

The home team enters this matchup as decisive -135 moneyline favorites at bet365, implying roughly a 56.2% probability of victory. Los Angeles finds itself in a relatively unfamiliar spot as +118 road underdogs, courtesy of FanDuel.

On the runline, bettors must pay a steep -165 premium to grab 1.5 runs with the visitors, while taking the home team to win by at least two runs offers a much more enticing +150 odds.

For the totals market, oddsmakers set the line at 8.0, with the Over getting -120 odds, and the Under paying out at nearly an equal -118.