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- The Seattle Mariners open a 4-game set with the Baltimore Orioles on Monday
- Baltimore has owned this recent head-to-head, taking eight of the last 10 matchups
- Read below for the my Mariners vs Orioles picks, predictions and latest odds
The Seattle Mariners (34-31) are in Baltimore Monday to open a 4-game series against the Baltimore Orioles (31-34).
Baltimore has owned this recent head-to-head winning eight of the last 10 against the Mariners, but the books like the visitors in this one, picking them as the road favorites in the latest MLB odds.
First pitch is scheduled for at 6:35pm ET this afternoon from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Batltimore, in a game that can be seen live nationally on MLB TV.
Mariners vs Orioles Odds
The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change. Use theScore Bet promo code to wager on Mariners vs Orioles and other MLB action.
Seattle enters this contest as the clear road favorite, positioned at -126 on the moneyline at FanDuel. This pricing reflects the massive advantage they hold on the mound (more on that below), while the home team is getting +113 odds at DraftKings to win outright.
On the runline, taking Seattle to cover by at least two runs pays out at +132, while getting 1.5 runs to back Baltimore comes with a cost of -150 odds.
The total has some variance. Over bettors will want to go to bet365, where the line is 8.5 runs, while Under bettors will find the an extra half-run over at DK.
Mariners vs Orioles Picks
Emerson Hancock Over 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts (-135 at DraftKings): Hancock brings solid swing-and-miss stuff, striking out 8.92 batters per nine innings. I am targeting his strikeout prop because getting to five strikeouts is highly probable against an Orioles lineup that strikes out frequently.
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Total Hits (-232 at DraftKings): He went 0-for-3 in Baltimore’s series finale against the Blue Jays, but that’s one of the few negatives on Pete Alonso right now, as his 10-game hit streak just ended. In his last 18 games vs AL competition, he’s picked up at least a hit in 13 of them.
SEA Mariners vs BAL Orioles Prediction
The most glaring mismatch is run prevention. Seattle boasts a top-tier pitching staff with a 3.50 collective ERA, ranking fifth in the majors. Conversely, Baltimore struggles to string together stops, carrying a 4.60 overall ERA.
However, Baltimore mitigates its pitching woes with an explosive home offense. At Camden Yards, they average 5.03 runs per game and generate a .751 team OPS. Given their tendency to rack up hits at home, attacking Alonso’s hit prop remains an incredibly sharp angle for my betting card.
Meanwhile, the Mariners are a middle-tier unit on the road. They average 4.32 runs and 8.26 hits per away game.
Seattle vs Baltimore Team Stats Comparison
But the stark contrast in MLB probable pitchers statistics provides a clear edge. Seattle enters Camden Yards with a significant advantage on the mound.
Emerson Hancock has been vastly superior to Chris Bassitt across nearly every statistical category. Hancock comes into this matchup boasting a 4-2 record and an excellent 2.80 ERA. He does a phenomenal job limiting traffic on the basepaths, evidenced by his sparkling 0.95 WHIP.
His underlying metrics, including a 3.73 FIP, confirm his strong surface numbers are well-earned.
On the other side, Chris Bassitt sits at 2-4 with a bloated 5.67 ERA. Opposing hitters have had tremendous success making contact against him, batting .319 on the year.
He averages just 4.60 innings per start. Backing the Mariners on the moneyline capitalizes directly on Bassitt’s clear vulnerability.