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- The UFC returns to Macau with a 13-fight card on May 30
- Rising bantamweight contender Song Yadong headlines the event against former flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo
- See the UFC Fight Night picks, predictions and odds for Song vs. Figueiredo and more
Following a one-event stint at the Meta Apex, the UFC is back on the road and returns to Macau for the first time in 2026. China native Song Yadong headlines the event against former flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo in his first fight since losing to Sean O’Malley at UFC 324.
Song returns to fight in his home country for the first time since 2018, when he faced Vince Morales in his third UFC outing in Beijing. The matchup with Figueiredo will be Song’s fifth UFC main event and his fourth time facing a former champion.
Figueiredo is also coming off a loss and is just 1-3 in his last four outings. ‘Deus Da Guerra’ is coming off a lopsided unanimous decision loss to Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC 324. The loss dropped him to just 3-4 since moving up to bantamweight in 2023.
Check out the UFC Macau picks, predictions and odds for all six main card bouts below.
UFC Fight Night Main Card Odds
Odds as of May 27, 2026, on DraftKings Sportsbook. Grab a DraftKings promo code or check out the best UFC betting apps for 2026.
As the younger fighter competing on home soil, Song predictably opened as a sizeable favorite over Figueiredo. Song currently sits at -600, giving him an 85 percent implied win probability. Figueiredo comes back at +400, an implied win probability of just 20 percent.
UFC Macau Picks: Song Yadong Method of Victory
Getting a former champion at +400, regardless of age, can always be tempting, especially when his opponent is just 1-2 in his last three fights. But in this case, Song and Figueiredo are two fighters trending in completely opposite directions, which is to be expected given their 10-year age difference.
Figueiredo’s age is beginning to show up in his recent fights, none of which have been inspiring. The once-feared striker has seen his volume fall off a cliff in recent outings, landing just 37 combined significant strikes in his last three fights. In his most recent outing, Figueiredo landed just eight significant strikes while attempting zero takedowns in a unanimous decision loss to Umar Nurmagomedov.
Figueiredo will look to wrestle, which has always been Song’s Achilles heel. Yet, his takedown efficiency has also declined over the years, while Song’s defensive wrestling has dramatically improved. The 28-year-old has defended 28 of 33 takedowns shot on him in his last six fights.
Figueiredo has been notoriously durable throughout his career, losing by finish only three times in his 32-fight career. Regardless, the speed and power difference will be too much for him at this point in his career, especially over 25 minutes. Song will be itching for his first finish in three years with his home crowd behind him and will become the first bantamweight to stop ‘Figgy.’
UFC Macau Picks: Zhang Mingyang Method of Victory
Like Song, Zhang Mingyang finds himself in a favorable matchup to rebound from a tough loss in the co-main event. Zhang takes on longtime ranked contender Alonzo Menifield nine months after suffering his first UFC loss in a main event to Johnny Walker.
While Zhang was beating Walker until his leg gave out midway through the second round, the fact remains that he has yet to win a fight that has gone past the first round. Savvy veterans who can survive his early onslaught will exploit that, but Menifield is not one of them. ‘Atomic’ is just 2-3 in his last five fights with each of his recent losses coming by early knockout.
The 38-year-old Menifield has gutted out recent upset wins over Oumar Sy and Julius Walker, but both had more to do with his opponents than anything impressive he did. Menifield’s chin has failed him more often than not, setting up Zhang for another early highlight.
UFC Macau Picks: Sergei Pavlovich Method of Victory
Three months after winning an uninspiring decision over Tai Tuivasa, Tallison Teixeira has an opportunity to shoot up the rankings with a win over former title challenger Sergei Pavlovich. However, among the heavyweights ranked above him, there are few matchups worse for Teixeira than Pavlovich.
Teixeira has recently aligned with Alex Pereira and Glover Teixeira in Connecticut, but his striking is still levels below that of Pavlovich. Despite towering over most of his opponents, the 6-foot-8 Brazilian has little understanding of range and distance and constantly takes unnecessary damage due to his undisciplined guard. Teixeira is still just two fights removed from a 35-second knockout loss to Derrick Lewis.
Pavlovich has not looked like the knockout monster he once was in years, but his boxing still rivals the best in the division, and he continues to show improved wrestling with each outing. Teixeira might be looking to take the fight to the mat after dominating Tuivasa on the ground, but nobody has taken Pavlovich down since his UFC debut in 2018.
Teixeira has a puncher’s chance, but Pavlovich is the much more skilled fighter in almost every aspect of MMA. While a knockout is in play given Teixeira’s unreliable chin, Pavlovich has fought with much more caution recently and will take time to gauge the taller fighter’s range. There is too much value on Pavlovich’s decision prop to ignore with the passiveness he has fought with since suffering a pair of losses.
UFC Macau Picks: Kai Asakura Method of Victory
Expect Kai Asakura to finally collect his first UFC win in his third attempt. The former RIZIN champion has had a rough start, but he is finally gifted a favorable matchup in his natural weight class.
After facing a pair of grapplers, Asakura will get the striking fight he craves against Cameron Smotherman, who has yet to attempt a takedown in the UFC. Smotherman is just 1-2 in the UFC and is coming off a pair of lopsided losses to Ricky Simon and Serhiy Sidey.
Smotherman is a talented striker in his own right, but he is most comfortable picking his shots on the outside while dictating the pace. The last time he fought someone with as much volume and diversity as Asakura, he failed to keep up with Sidey and looked entirely out of his element.
Asakura’s dynamic striking has given the likes of Kyoji Horiguchi and Manel Kape fits on the feet, which is what made him so enticing to the UFC. This is a prime buy-low spot on the Japanese striker, who will catch Smotherman’s shoddy chin in transition and get his first promotional victory in dramatic fashion.
UFC Macau Picks: Jake Matthews Method of Victory
If not for one of the worst referee performances in recent UFC history, Jake Matthews would be on a four-fight win streak and likely facing a ranked opponent. Instead, he draws 38-year-old Carlston Harris, who is stepping in on two weeks’ notice for an injured Muslim Salikhov.
Harris will be slightly bigger than Matthews and does his best work on the ground, where he uses his long limbs to fish for chokes in awkward angles. That aligns with Matthews’ biggest weakness, with 50 percent of his losses coming by submission.
However, five of the six fighters to beat Matthews on the ground averaged at least 2.0 takedowns or 1.0 submissions per 15 minutes. Harris enters the fight averaging just 1.46 takedowns and 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes. He has only landed a takedown in one of his seven UFC bouts and has otherwise been content to go where the fight takes him.
If Matthews can neutralize any potential grappling threat from Harris, he will have the Guayanese at his mercy on the feet, where he is one of the most underrated strikers in the UFC. Matthews’ footwork, volume and speed will be too much for Harris from bell to bell.
UFC Macau Picks: Alex Perez Method of Victory
Coming off just his second win in the last five years, Alex Perez heads into enemy territory to take on another dangerous striker, Sumudaerji. While Perez has not won consecutive fights since 2020, he has a golden opportunity to change that at UFC Macau.
Sumudaerji’s length has made him a difficult fighter to deal with his entire career, but that only applies to fights on the feet. Anyone who has confidently gotten the Tibetan on the mat has had their way with him on the ground by exposing the gaping holes in his grappling. All but one of Sumudaerji’s seven professional losses have come by submission.
Perez’s last three wins have been knockouts, but wrestling has always been his bread and butter. The former All-American wrestler averages 2.21 takedowns per 15 minutes and is 4-1 in the UFC when he lands more takedowns than his opponents.
While Sumudaerji enters the fight with some momentum, riding a three-fight win streak, none were against anyone with Perez’s all-around pedigree. Sumudaerji collected a trio of wins against subpar wrestlers who boosted his 72 percent takedown defense to appear stronger than it actually is.
Backing Perez is a scary thought given his recent track record, but the path to victory is clear as day. All six of his UFC losses have come against elite fighters who could out-grapple him, which Sumudaerji is not.
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