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- Our A.I. has analyzed all three Friday college football games to identify the sharpest player prop bets
- The A.I. loves fading quarterbacks in poor weather and backing elite red zone threats
- Check out the top A.I. college football player prop picks for Friday’s slate below
Three Friday night college football games mean three chances to cash some CFB player props. Our A.I. has crunched the numbers and identified its strongest player prop for each game on the Halloween slate.
The table below shows the A.I.’s top pick from each game, along with the best available odds. After the table, you’ll find the A.I.’s reasoning for each selection. Week 10 marks the debut of our player prop model, after delivering a profitable year on ATS and O/U picks.
The A.I. has locked in on two touchdown scorer plays and one under, identifying clear edges in each matchup. All three picks exploit specific team tendencies that have held strong throughout the season.
Odds and props as of Oct. 31. Grab the best college football betting promos before Friday’s slate.
Memphis vs Rice Prop Pick: Chase Jenkins Anytime TD
A.I. explanation: “Everyone’s loading up on Quinton Jackson after his four-touchdown game, but the sharp play is Jenkins at +162. Rice has an elite 94.4% red zone conversion rate – they’ve scored on 17 of 18 trips inside the 20. When you’re that efficient, multiple players find the end zone.
Jenkins is Rice’s dual-threat quarterback with a 38.5-yard rushing prop. Those designed runs become even more valuable in compressed red zone situations. His odds have crashed from +230 to +165 as sharp money recognizes the value, but there’s still meat on the bone.
Memphis allows 26.9 points per game and turns the ball over frequently (-7 differential), giving Rice extra red zone chances. At plus money, this is exceptional value.”
North Carolina vs Syracuse Prop Pick: Shipp Under 50.5 Receiving Yards
A.I. explanation: “This is a direct fade of North Carolina’s broken offense. The Tar Heels convert just 32.6% of third downs – that’s catastrophic for sustaining drives. They average only 279.9 total yards and 18.0 points per game. How is Shipp supposed to get 51 receiving yards when the offense can’t stay on the field?
The math doesn’t lie. For Shipp to hit this over, he’d need 18.1% of Carolina’s total offense. That’s asking way too much from a passing game that rarely moves the chains. Bill Belichick’s conservative approach in his first season means more runs and fewer explosive plays. The juice has already moved toward the under, and there’s still value at -114.”
Sam Houston vs Louisiana Tech Prop Pick: Blake Baker Anytime TD
A.I. explanation: “Louisiana Tech’s red zone offense is the story here. The Bulldogs score on an incredible 79.2% of their red zone trips, and Baker runs the show inside the 20. He’s not just handing the ball off either – his 41.5-yard rushing prop tells you he’s a designed part of the ground attack near the goal line.
The value is outstanding at -116 compared to Clay Thevenin at -160. Baker touches the ball on every single red zone play, whether it’s a pass, run, or QB keeper. Against a Sam Houston defense that’s allowing 28.6 points per game, the Bulldogs should have multiple scoring opportunities. This is the lock of the Friday slate.”
Additional Friday CFB Props to Consider
Beyond the A.I.’s top picks, several other props caught the model’s attention for Friday’s slate.
Quinton Jackson Over 65.5 Rushing Yards (-117)
A.I. explanation: “Jackson just torched UConn for four touchdowns, and Rice lives by the ground game. They’ve rushed for 1,808 yards compared to just 829 passing. Memphis’s -7 turnover differential means Rice should get extra possessions to feed their workhorse. The line movement from -114 to -117 tells you the sharp money is already on this.”
Yasin Willis Anytime TD (+105)
A.I. explanation: “Willis is Syracuse’s goal-line hammer, and the Orange convert 78.1% of red zone trips into touchdowns. Against a Carolina defense allowing 21.7 points per game, Syracuse should find the end zone multiple times. Willis has seen his odds tighten from +110 to +105, but there’s still value on the primary touchdown threat.”
Hunter Watson Under 174.5 Passing Yards (-115)
A.I. explanation: “Sam Houston’s offense is broken. They convert 21.3% of third downs and score just 16.7 points per game. Watson can’t rack up passing yards when his offense goes three-and-out constantly. The Bearkats’ red zone efficiency sits at 66.7%, meaning they struggle even when they get close. This under aligns perfectly with their season-long offensive futility.”
Friday Same Game Parlay
For those seeking a correlated play, the A.I. recommends this three-leg parlay that follows a logical game script:
Louisiana Tech Dominance SGP (+275):
- Leg 1: Blake Baker Anytime TD (-116)
- Leg 2: Hunter Watson Under 174.5 Passing Yards (-115)
- Leg 3: Louisiana Tech -16.5 (-114)
A.I. explanation: “This parlay captures Louisiana Tech controlling the game from start to finish. Baker scores as the Bulldogs’ red zone offense hums along, while Sam Houston’s anemic attack can’t keep pace.
Watson stays under his passing total because his team can’t sustain drives against a superior opponent. All three legs correlate to the same blowout narrative.”
Weather and Venue Notes
Friday’s slate features two dome games and one outdoor contest, creating different conditions for prop bettors to consider.
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech: Clear skies with 2 mph winds at Joe Aillet Stadium. Perfect conditions for both teams to execute their game plans without weather interference.
North Carolina at Syracuse: Playing inside the climate-controlled JMA Wireless Dome eliminates all weather variables. The fast track benefits skill position players, though Carolina’s offensive issues run deeper than field conditions.
Memphis at Rice: Overcast with minimal 4 mph winds at Rice Stadium. Another night with ideal conditions that won’t impact either team’s offensive approach. Rice can pound the rock while Memphis can air it out as needed.
The pristine conditions across all three venues mean prop outcomes will be determined by execution and matchups rather than external factors. This adds confidence to the statistical analysis driving these selections.
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