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- Kon Knueppel is now the favorite to win NBA Rookie of the Year at -175 on theScore Bet
- Knueppel broke the NBA rookie 3-point record in just 59 games, while Flagg has missed six straight
- Check out the full NBA ROY odds breakdown and where bettors are placing their bets
Three weeks ago, Cooper Flagg was a massive -1100 favorite at FanDuel for Rookie of the Year. Now Kon Knueppel has passed him, sitting at -175 on theScore Bet with Flagg back to +130.
Knueppel was a +450 underdog for the award just a week ago, but he’s been steadily climbing with Flagg sidelined by injury. The No. 1 pick is out again tonight against Memphis with that left midfoot sprain.
Let’s take a look at the latest NBA Rookie of the Year odds and what is causing online sportsbooks to adjust their markets.
NBA Rookie of the Year Odds
Knueppel’s -175 line implies about a 64% chance he wins the award, while Flagg at +130 sits around 43%. The gap has widened quickly after the two were dead even at -115 earlier today.
Odds as of Feb. 27 at ScoreBet. Use the theScoreBet promo code DIME for a bonus on NBA futures.
NBA Rookie of the Year Betting Splits
In the last week at theScore Bet, Knueppel has pulled in 92.1% of bets and 98.9% of the money for Rookie of the Year. Bettors are hammering the Charlotte youngster, and that’s impacted the updated betting odds.
The market for the entire season looks a bit different, however. Flagg still leads in total handle by a wide margin, largely because of bets placed when he was a heavy favorite earlier in the year.
*Data provided on Feb. 27 by the Score Bet
Edgecombe leads in total bet count at 24.5%, but that’s mainly leftover longshot tickets from when his odds were huge. He’s drifted to +7500 and is no longer in the mix for the award. All the recent money is coming in on Knueppel.
Knueppel’s Rookie of the Year Case
Charlotte’s No. 4 pick just broke the NBA rookie 3-point record with his 209th triple in only 59 games. Keegan Murray needed all 82 to hit 206. Knueppel also reached 200 threes faster than anyone in league history and matched Steph Curry for most rookie games with 25-plus points and five or more triples.
This year, Kon is putting up 19.3 points on 48.9% shooting and 44.2% from beyond the arc. Knueppel’s on pace to become the first rookie to join the 50/40/90 club, and he’s played 59 of 60 games.
The Hornets are 29-31 with 13 wins in their last 16, sitting right in the play-in mix. Charlotte hasn’t sniffed the postseason since 2016, and Knueppel has been a big part of the turnaround.
Flagg’s Injury Impact on Betting Odds
Flagg suffered a left midfoot sprain on Feb. 10 against Phoenix and has now missed six straight. There’s no firm timeline for his return, and multiple reports have floated the idea of shutting him down entirely.
Dallas sits at 20-36 after losing both Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II to season-ending injuries. Protecting their franchise cornerstone while improving lottery positioning could be smart for a team going nowhere this year.
Before the injury, Flagg was on fire. He dropped 49 on the Hornets on Jan. 29 to set the record for most points by a teenager. Over his last six games, he averaged 32.0 points with four straight 30-point outings. Looking at the season as a whole, Flagg is averaging 20.4 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 4.1 assists.
Flagg vs Knueppel Season Stats
The stats lean Flagg, but voters usually side with guys who stay on the floor and help their team win. Scottie Barnes beat Evan Mobley in 2022 after Mobley missed time down the stretch. Brogdon won over Embiid in 2017 despite way lower per-game numbers. And just recently, Jared McCain’s torn meniscus opened the door for Stephon Castle.
If Flagg returns soon and closes on a amssive heater, his name and numbers could be enough to secure the required votes. But if Dallas shuts him down, this is Knueppel’s award to lose. A massive odds crash like this one proves that the books have serious doubts about the preseason favorite winning the trophy.
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