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- The Miami Marlins seek a series sweep over the Washington Nationals Wednesday afternoon
- The Nats have dropped four straight and six of their last seven to Miami
- Read below for the my Marlins vs Nationals picks, predictions and latest odds
After a pair of 7-3 thumpings, the Miami Marlins look to complete a series sweep on the road against the Washington Nationals on Wednesday.
The books aren’t sure what side to take, making them a pick’em in the MLB odds.
First pitch scheduled for at 1:05pm ET this afternoon night from Nationals Park in Washington, in a game that can be seen live on MLB TV.
Marlins vs Nationals Odds
The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change. Use theScore Bet promo code to wager on Marlins vs Nationals and other MLB action.
As mentioned, both squads have equal odds to win outright, with FanDuel giving both Miami and Washington -108 odds on the moneyline.
On the runline, the visitors are laying 1.5 runs with an appealing +150 payout from BetMGM, while the hometown Nationals are getting 1.5 runs, but with a significant -170 toll to take that route from bet365.
The game originally opened at 8.5 runs, where it’s stayed at DraftKings, but it’s dropped to 8.0 runs at some books, including bet365, which should attract the Over bettors.
Marlins vs Nationals Picks and Prediction
- Best Bet: Marlins ML (-108 at FanDuel)
Although exact moneyline odds are currently a pick’em, the underlying metrics favor Miami.
The advantage in the MLB probable pitchers is clear, with the road team carrying a 4.33 team ERA compared to a 4.74 mark for the home squad.
This edge expands significantly when looking at the starting pitchers.
Max Meyer brings a 5-0 record, a 2.97 ERA, and a 9.99 K/9 rate across 66.2 innings of work. Over his last 57 innings, he lowered his ERA to 2.68. He averages 5.70 innings per start, consistently keeping his bullpen fresh, holding opponents to a .195 batting average.
Washington turns to Andrew Alvarez as an opener. Operating strictly as a reliever before today, Alvarez holds a 4.02 ERA and 1.28 WHIP over 15.2 innings.
Despite an elevated .254 opponent batting average, his 2.70 FIP and 9.77 K/9 indicate he has the tools to limit severe damage. Still, his 0.00 innings per start confirms a heavy reliance on relievers.
Marlins vs Nationals Team Stats & Betting Trends
Miami struggles to manufacture runs away from loanDepot park. However, what they lack in raw power, they make up for with disruptive baserunning, leading road teams with 1.24 stolen bases per game. This environment fits perfectly with Lopez’s contact-heavy approach.
On the mound, the statistical edge swings firmly toward the visitors. The home pitching staff ranks 29th in runs allowed per game (5.44) with a 1.38 WHIP that invites danger. Miami is far more stable, yielding 4.60 runs per game with a 1.27 WHIP.
That should be enough to swing this series finale to the visitors for the sweep.