Mets vs Blue Jays Predictions, Picks & Props to Bet on Canada Day

• The New York Mets are slight -115 road favorites in their series finale against the Toronto Blue Jays
• The teams have combined to score six total runs in the previous two games
• Read below for the my Mets vs Blue Jays prediction, latest odds and prop picks

It’s the rubber match of a 3-game set in Toronto on Canada Day, as the New York Mets (36-50) battle the Blue Jays (40-46).

Runs have come at a premium in this set, with six total runs plating through the previous two games.

Even though they Mets have lost each of their last four series, the books like them to break the streak, setting them as slight road favorites in the MLB odds.

Action gets underway at 3:07pm ET from Rogers Centre in Toronto, in a game that can be seen live nationally on ESPN Unlimited and MLB TV.

Read below for updated odds, and my prediction and best player prop picks.

Mets vs Blue Jays Odds

The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change. Use theScore Bet promo code to wager on Mets vs Blue Jays and other MLB action.

It’s as close to a pick’em as you can get, with the Mets set as -115 moneyline favorites at bet365, with the Jays getting -102 odds to win outright over at FanDuel.

Toronto is also getting 1.5 runs on the spread, but that comes with -168 odds, courtesy of DraftKings. Taking the Mets to win by at least two runs pays out at a more enticing +146.

As for the total, Over bettors should head to FanDuel, where the line is 8.5 runs. Under bettors can get a half run more at bet365, at 9.0 runs.

NY Mets vs TOR Blue Jays Picks and Prediction

• Best Bet: Under 8.5 (+100 at Caesars)

The Mets arrive with a lineup batting just .230 collectively with a lackluster .673 team OPS. Similarly, the Blue Jays have been held in check all season, posting a .247 team batting average and a .696 OPS. Both pitching staffs hover around a 4.10 ERA, meaning runs will be scarce.

The Mets carry a distinct advantage into the MLB probable pitchers matchup. Freddy Peralta takes the mound as a traditional starter, and while his recent 5.26 ERA over his last 10 appearances indicates some struggles, he provides reliable length by averaging 5.30 innings per start.

The Blue Jays counter with Braydon Fisher, profiling purely as an opener. Fisher has logged just 5.2 innings across his five starts on the year. Relying on an overtaxed bullpen to navigate the bulk of the innings gives the Mets a clear structural edge.

Both offenses routinely fail to string together base hits for big innings, and injuries could play a factor Wednesday.

The Blue Jays hold their breath regarding Guerrero Jr, who was scratched from the series opener. If he sits again, the lineup loses its premier run producer, severely handicapping their offensive ceiling.

The Mets are currently navigating the absences of Marcus Semien and Luis Robert Jr, robbing their offense of vital speed and power. These injuries directly explain the team’s dismal road production and leave me inclined to lean to the Under, in a series where runs have already been hard to come by in every game.

Mets vs Blue Jays Props

Juan Soto to hit a home run (+295 at DraftKings): The slugger boasts a .971 OPS alongside 17 home runs. The batter vs pitcher stats aren’t great against bulk-reliever Patrick Corbin (a career 0-for-10), but Soto only needs one swing to alter the scoreboard.

Bo Bichette to record 2+ total bases (+103 at DraftKings): Bichette averages just over a hit per game (1.012) and acts as the primary contact generator for the Mets, making him a reliable plus-money target.