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  • The NFL Draft takes place Thursday night in Pittsburgh, PA
  • The odds for each of the top 16 picks are shifting rapidly on draft day
  • See the top-five betting favorites for each of the first 16 picks in the NFL Draft

The 2026 NFL Draft is now just hours away. Scheduled to start at 8:00 pm ET on Thursday night at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA, the NFL Draft odds are seeing significant movement on the morning of draft day, as they’re wont to do.

This is the first year that prediction site Kalshi has offered a massive slate of NFL Draft odds, including markets on each of the first 16 picks (i.e. the first half of the first round). In the sections below, I have set out the current top 5 to 10 favorites at Kalshi, while noting where the Kalshi favorite diverges from Matt McEwan’s final NFL Mock Draft, which is based entirely on betting odds from online sportsbooks.

Jump to: #1 | #2 | #3 | #4 | #5 | #6 | #7 | #8 | #9 | #10 | #11 | #12 | #13 | #14 | #15 | #16

#1 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (LV Raiders)

Click “Predict” in any of the graphics on this page to claim SBD’s exclusive Kalshi promo code.

The Las Vegas Raiders are on the clock. If Fernando Mendoza isn’t the #1 pick, it will be the biggest draft-day surprise in NFL history.

#2 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (NY Jets)

Both the Kalshi odds and sportsbook prices favor edge rusher David Bailey going #2 to the Jets, though fellow edge rusher Arvell Reese is a close second-favorite.

#3 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (ARI Cardinals)

The odds to be the #3 picks are extremely tight. Kalshi traders give edge rusher Arvell Reese a slight edge over running back Jeremiyah Love.

The odds-based mock draft also has Reese third overall to the Cardinals.

#4 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (TEN Titans)

The #4 pick odds are even closer than the #3 pick; as of 1:00 pm ET, running back Jeremiyah Love and linebacker Sonny Styles were in a dead-heat at Kalshi.

The odds-based mock draft has Love at #4.

#5 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (NY Giants)

The #5 pick is the first where the Kalshi prices and the odds-based mock draft differ. Kalshi traders have safety Caleb Downs as the modest chalk. Sportsbooks favor linebacker Sonny Styles.

#6 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (CLE Browns)

The #6 pick odds are another hyper-tight market at Kalshi. OL Spencer Fano is trading at 22¢, just ahead of WR Carnell Tate.

The odds-based mock draft goes in a different direction with WR Jordyn Tyson at #6.

#7 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (WSH Commanders)

There is a clear top-two in the #7 pick odds: WR Carnell Tate (26¢) and linebacker Sonny Styles (22¢).

Sportsbook lines lean to safety Caleb Downs at #7.

#8 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (NO Saints)

WR Jordyn Tyson is the top pick to go #8 to the Saints at Kalshi, trading at 28¢ and trending up.

Sportsbooks also favor the Saints taking a WR but those odds lean to Carnell Tate.

#9 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (KC Chiefs)

The #9 pick prices at Kalshi slightly favor cornerback Mansoor Delane (21¢) over edge rusher Rueben Bain Jr (20¢).

The odds-based mock draft has KC going with OL Francis Mauigoa.

#10 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (NY Giants)

Also the slight favorite to be the #5 pick, Caleb Downs is heavier chalk to go #10 to the Giants. Downs is trading at 22¢, well ahead of WR Jordyn Tyson at 17¢.

The odds-based mock draft has the Giants going with OL Spencer Fano. New York acquired this pick from the Bengals in exchange for edge rusher Dexter Lawrence.

#11 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (MIA Dolphins)

The #11 pick odds are currently a two-horse race between edge rusher Rueben Bain Jr (23¢) and OL Francis Mauigoa (22¢).

The odds-based mock draft has corner Mansoor Delane going 11th to the Dolphins.

#12 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (DAL Cowboys)

The #12 pick prices lean to Dallas taking Mansoor Delane, who’s trading at 21¢. Second-favorite Rueben Bain Jr is at 16¢.

The odds-based mock draft has Bain as the chalk.

#13 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (LA Rams)

There’s heavy consensus on the #13 pick: both Kalshi and the odds-based mock draft have the Rams taking WR Makai Lemon. The USC product is trading at a relatively short 36¢ at Kalshi.

#14 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (BAL Ravens)

The #14 pick odds have a surprisingly heavy favorite for a position this far down the board. The Ravens are widely expected to draft OL Olaivavega Ioane. The odds-based mock draft also has the Penn State guard at #14 to Baltimore.

#15 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (TB Buccaneers)

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Kalshi traders favor Miami edge rusher Akheem Mesidor going to the Buccaneers at #15. Sportsbooks have tight end Kenyon Sadiq at #15.

#16 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (NY Jets)

Indiana WR Omar Cooper Jr has become a massive favorite to go to the Jets with the #16 pick. New York acquired the #16 pick from the Colts.

The odds at sportsbooks give the edge to offensive lineman Kadyn Proctor.



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