NFL Wild Card Parlay Picks for Sunday

If Sunday of NFL Wild Card Weekend is anywhere near as exciting as Saturday’s two games, we are all in for quite a treat. But I don’t want to count on that as my treat this Sunday. I’m trying to go obtain my own treat with an NFL parlay – because I like to be self-sufficient, you know?

I have done deep dives into each of the three games taking place on Sunday, which starts with the Bills vs Jaguars and finishes with the Chargers vs Patriots, and I have pulled one bold pick from each game to fill in a three-leg parlay that comes with better than 12-1 odds. Check out my favorite NFL parlay for Sunday of Wild Card Weekend below.

Wild Card Sunday NFL Parlay

The sportsbook with the best odds for this NFL parlay is FanDuel, who is offering +1208. This means a $5 bet would stand to profit $60.42 and return $65.42.

Most other sportsbooks are listing this parlay just a touch longer than 11-1.

I also play each of these legs as straight bets, and disclose the best sportsbook for each leg as a single in the subsections below. Read on for the best prices as well as my data-filled breakdown for each of the three NFL parlay legs for Wild Card Sunday.

Parker Washington Continues to Breakout Against Bills

Few receivers are entering the NFL Playoffs on more of a heater than Parker Washington. After a pretty quiet first half of the season, Washington has been an integral part of Jacksonville’s passing attack over the second half, and has been on fire over the last three weeks.

Parker Washington Last 3 Games

Washington has easily hit 60 receiving yards in each of his last three games, averaging 115.7 per game. He actually has the second-most receiving yards in the NFL in this time frame, just one yard shy of Puka Nacua.

The Jags WR is also third in targeted air yards per game (128.7) and ninth in percentage of team targets (28.2%) in that three-game stretch. He has become Trevor Lawrence’s go-to receiver, and I like him to remain that guy against a good Bills pass defense.

While some are siding with Travis Etienne because of how bad the Bills run defense has been this season, Liam Cohen hasn’t really prioritized running the ball when he has faced bad run defenses this season. Cohen wants to throw the ball and I like them to have enough success doing so in order for Washington to get his 60+ yards.

• Pick: Parker Washington 60+ receiving yards (+134 at FanDuel)

Why I Like CMC to Have Success as Receiver vs Eagles

After putting up WR1 numbers through the first seven weeks of the season, averaging 73.7 receiving yards per game, Christian McCaffrey cooled off a bit of a receiver as the 49ers welcomed back George Kittle and then Brokck Purdy a few weeks later.

However, McCaffrey has been seeing good work as a receiver again to close out the season.

McCaffrey Game Logs Weeks 16-18

CMC lead the 49ers in targets over the final three weeks, seeing 22.6% of Brock Purdy’s pass attempts, as well as receptions.

Though he has not recorded 50+ receiving yards since Week 12, I like the volume he’s seeing and believe he will be able to exploit a good matchup on Sunday.

The Eagles allow the seventh-most receiving yards to running backs, and gave up 100+ receiving yards to both Jahmyr Gibbs and Bucky Irving this season. While McCaffrey may not have the same explosion as those two backs anymore, his crafty route running will allow him to get open often.

With George Kittle nursing an ankle injury, which we don’t know the extent of limitations, I expect Kyle Shanahan to move McCaffrey around the formation to create mismatches for him.

• Pick: Christian McCaffrey 50+ receiving yards (+113 at DraftKings)

Why the Chargers Can Beat the Patriots

There are three reasons I like the Chargers to pull off the upset in New England on Sunday night:

1) The Patriots have played such an easy schedule.

No team had it easier in the regular season than the Patriots. New England’s opponents combined for a 113-176 record, which comes out to a .391 win percentage. The team who played the second-easiest schedule (the Broncos) faced opponents who combined for a .422 win percentage.

The Patriots only played three games against teams who finished with winning records, and they went 1-2 in those games. Their only win came in Week 5 against the Bills, a 23-20 victory. The two losses came against the Bills (Week 15) and Steelers (Week 3).

The Chargers didn’t play a tough schedule either – their opponents at least combined for a .469 win percentage, which was fifth-easiest – but they did manage to go 4-3 against teams with winning records. It should also be noted that one of those losses came in Week 18 when they rested most of their starters.

2) The Patriots aren’t built to exploit LA’s biggest weakness

The Chargers’ biggest weakness is their inability to protect Justin Herbert. They allow 3.5 sacks per game, which is tied for second-most in the NFL. But here’s how the Patriots rank in pressure stats:

• 2.06 sacks per game (T22nd)
• 20.3% defensive pressure rate (24th)

Yet, they blitz on 27% of their defensive passing plays, which is 12th-most. K’Lavon Chaisson and Harold Landry III simply do not win enough on the edge when rushing the passer.

If New England isn’t able to apply pressure on Herbert, he will make them pay.

3) I trust Herbert more than Maye right now

The Chargers got some great news with Justin Herbert’s hand injury, as he says he feels much better after the Week 18 rest, and even took snaps under center on Wednesday – something he hasn’t done since fracturing his hand. With a pretty healthy Herbert, I think the Chargers have the advantage at QB.

I don’t mean to take anything away from the great season Drake Maye has enjoyed, but I don’t think he has been tested that much. He’s about to face a very good Chargers defense. I am also aware that Herbert has not performed overly well in the playoffs, going 0-2 and having an especially awful game last year against the Texans, where he threw four interceptions.

I think third time’s a charm for Herbert.

At the time of writing this, the best moneyline odds available for the Chargers was +165 at both BetMGM and theScore Bet. I added a live odds widget below, which will show you the best odds available for your region.