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- The Yankees and Phillies open a new series in Philadelphia tonight
- I am targeting Ben Rice to crush his total bases prop based on elite slugging metrics
- Check out my favorite player-prop picks for Yankees vs Phillies on July 24, below
The New York Yankees (57-45) hit the road to face the Philadelphia Phillies (56-47) in a Friday night showcase. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park.
I am eager to see how New York establishes early momentum as a road underdog in the MLB odds without the heart of their order. Meanwhile, Philadelphia steps up as a comfortable home favorite. They are giving the ball to ace Jesús Luzardo, who boasts an impressive 14-6 record and elite swing-and-miss stuff.
Below, I am breaking down my top player-prop picks for the Yankees vs Phillies series opener on July 24.
Player-Prop Odds for Yankees vs Phillies
Odds as of July 24, 2026. Claim your BetMGM promo now to get involved in tonight’s action.
Kyle Schwarber enters this matchup as the chalk favorite to leave the yard at +202. The price makes perfect sense; Schwarber is currently averaging a blistering home run every 11.2 at-bats. Ben Rice isn’t far behind him on the odds board at +288, making him a major threat in the middle of the New York lineup.
If you want contact props, Trea Turner has incredibly steep -233 odds to record a hit. Turner boasts an impressive .244 batting average over 410 at-bats this season, so the books heavily respect his ability to put the ball in play.
On the mound, Luzardo is being asked to carry a heavy workload with his total outs line set at 17.5. The juice is heavily shaded toward the over at -158, suggesting oddsmakers expect him to pitch deep into the sixth inning.
For New York, Cam Schlittler matches Luzardo with a total outs line of 17.5, though the odds are far more balanced (-116 on the over, -115 on the under). He has the raw stuff to challenge this loaded Philadelphia lineup and clear his strikeout total.
Player-Prop Picks for Yankees vs Phillies
When diving into the MLB player props for this clash of World Series odds contenders, specific situational trends reveal clear betting angles:
Pick 1: Ben Rice Over 1.5 Total Bases (+111 at BetMGM)
When hunting for total bases value, I always want a hitter who can clear the 1.5 threshold with a single swing. Rice fits that profile perfectly. The slugger boasts an elite .590 slugging percentage and a massive .313 ISO across 361 at-bats this season according to the MLB batter vs pitcher stats.
What makes Rice so dangerous in this market is his extra-base hit frequency. Of his 100 total hits on the year, exactly half of them (50) have gone for extra bases, including 30 home runs. He is not reliant on stringing together multiple singles to cash an over ticket. Grabbing plus-money (+111) on Rice to record two or more bases is my favorite hitting value of the night.
Pick 2: Jesús Luzardo Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-117 at Caesars)
I am aggressively targeting the over on Luzardo’s strikeout prop based purely on his overwhelming stuff. The southpaw has been a strikeout artist this season, racking up 143 punchouts over 115.1 innings. His 11.1 K/9 rate proves that when he is dealing, opposing batters are consistently walking back to the dugout.
Luzardo will be facing a Yankees lineup loaded with high-strikeout candidates. Jazz Chisholm Jr has struck out 113 times this year, while Rice has fanned 98 times. Given his ability to generate whiffs and New York’s susceptibility to the strikeout, Luzardo should cruise past the eight-strikeout mark.
Pick 3: Cam Schlittler Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-122 at bet365)
Rounding out my card, I am backing Schlittler to clear 6.5 strikeouts. Much like his counterpart, Schlittler features a phenomenal 10.6 K/9 rate, having fanned 145 batters in 123.0 innings pitched.
Schlittler has been incredibly dominant at run prevention as well, carrying a sparkling 2.19 ERA. Because he rarely gets chased from games early, he typically eats enough innings to maximize his strikeout opportunities. The -122 juice on the over is a fair price to pay for a top candidate in the AL Cy Young odds.
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