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Alex FitzgeraldAlex Fitzgerald

Even strong players make costly bluffing mistakes without realizing it. These five common errors can quietly drain your win rate and turn good opportunities into missed profits.

“There’s Only One Way To Win Now”

You hear people say this all the time. This is a great way to lose every chip in your stack.

Let’s say you do an over-bet on the turn that is well-timed. You know your opponent had a bunch of mediocre pairs and high cards, but they are only going to call and get to the river with their best top pairs, two pairs, and better.

That’s a lot of folding! This is a good turn over-bet. However, the same logic that makes this a good turn over-bet would make blasting the river awful. Why? Because you know he only gets to the river with their best hands.

But you’ll see novice players jam that river into strong hands all the time, because “there’s no way to win if I check!”

Believe it or not, you’re not going to win every single pot you play in no-limit hold’em. Sometimes, you’re going to have to be an adult and accept that this hand isn’t going to work out.

If you shove on a river like that, sure, maybe 5% of the time you’ll get a crying fold. But what you’re going to do the majority of the time is vastly increase your losses.

You did your work on the turn. He had too many hands there, and your large bet was going to fold out most of them. Don’t make things worse.

Betting Versus Capped Ranges When A Draw Misses

This is one of the weirdest ones. Let’s say you’re in a tournament. A player opens from the hijack who has been opening way too much the entire day. You three-bet from the button with J7. The hijack calls.

The board comes 854. The action is checked to you. You continuation bet. Your opponent calls.

The turn is the Q. It’s checked to you. You bet 75% of the pot with your combo draw. Your opponent calls.

The river is an offsuit 2. Your opponent checks to you. What do you do here?

Oddly, this is a bluff that’s easier to do in a $10,000 tournament than in a $50 tournament. Yes, you block the nuts…if you’re the type of person who would three-bet with 6-7 suited. However, there’s multiple missed draws on that board. Your opponent sees that.

If this is a large buy-in event, you have a real case for bluffing. Your opponent likely would have four-bet preflop with an overpair. Your opponent likely would have check-raised on the flop or turn with a straight or set. It’s very likely your opponent has one pair and doesn’t want you to blast away on this river.

However, if you’re playing a $300 local tournament, most people will just say, “who gives a shit?” and call you on the river when they see all those missed draws. They came to gamble on their day off and they have another re-entry bullet in the chamber. They’re ready to play now.

If you were playing the main event, where someone couldn’t re-enter, and losing a stack costs five figures, you have a real pressure play here. But you have to choose your environment carefully.

Betting Undercards

Notice how in the previous example the river deuce hurts us.

If your opponent made a large call with a pair on the turn, they’re likely to see that river and think to themselves, “Oh, that is a good card for me. That didn’t improve their hand.”

That initial gut instinct leads them into more calls, even if you bet large. Not good.

We would prefer if that river was an offsuit king, because that would make mediocre pairs feel worse about their hands. There’s also a number of kings in our range that we could be firing with.

Betting When The Board Pairs

Similarly, if the board were to pair in the previous hand, that wouldn’t be good for us either. Our opponent assumes when we re-raise preflop that we have mostly high cards. Once they call on the flop, they feel they have more of the cards on the board, especially if they have some kind of pair.

That means when the board pairs on the turn, they feel good about themselves. They have either made trips, or they know it’s unlikely we have made trips. Either situation is good for them. That leads to more calling of our bluffs.

Not Bluffing Overcards Or With Blockers

The overcards are better cards for us in this example, and in general, whenever we’re the preflop raiser. Overcards tend to help us more than the caller whose range includes middle cards or low cards. If we’re not willing to bluff these big cards, we have to ask ourselves what we are doing.

Additionally, let’s say that we actually had AJ on the 854 board. We three-bet preflop and continuation bet on the flop. The turn comes the Q and it gets checked to us.

That is a good situation for us. If we bet again and just get called, it’s unlikely our opponent has a flush. There’s a good chance they would have check-raised on the turn to protect themselves from a four-flush coming on the river if they had a small flush.

Since we’re blocking the nut flush and smaller flushes are unlikely, we can now follow through with a solid triple barrel. It will be exceedingly difficult for our opponent to call us off there.

If we’re not willing to run a large bluff when we block the nuts and our opponent’s range is capped, we have to ask ourselves when are we planning to run a large bluff?

Conclusion

Bluffing isn’t just about courage—it’s about timing, range awareness, and board interaction. By avoiding these five mistakes, you’ll turn your bluffs into precise, profitable weapons instead of unnecessary risks.

Learn how to play A-K when it misses the flop!

Alex FitzgeraldAlex FitzgeraldAlexander Fitzgerald is a professional poker player and bestselling author who lives in Denver, Colorado. He is a WPT and EPT final tablist and has WCOOP and SCOOP titles. He enjoys blasting bums away in online tournaments while he listens to death metal. Free training packages are provided to newsletter subscribers who sign up at PokerHeadRush.com.





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