Predictions & Player-Prop Picks for Twins/Yankees on July 4

• The New York Yankees look to make it four straight wins over the Minnesota Twins
• New York snapped a 7-game losing slide with a 5-2 win on Friday
• Read below for the my Twins vs Yankees prediction, latest odds and prop picks

The New York Yankees have dominated the Minnesota Twins of late, as they look for their ninth win in the last 11 games when the two teams clash Saturday afternoon.

New York opened the series with a 5-2 win on Friday, but with Carolos Rodon on the injured list, they will likely turn to righty Brendan Beck, and try to patch the innings with their bullpen to get a win. The Twins counter with Zebby Matthews.

New York’s win finally wiped out a 7-game losing slide, but the books are looking past that, naming the Yankees as home favorites in the MLB odds.

Action gets underway at 1:35pm ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, in a game that can be seen live nationally on ESPN Unlimited..

Read below for updated odds, and my prediction and best player prop picks.

Twins vs Yankees Odds

The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change. Use theScore Bet promo code to wager on Twins vs Yankees and other MLB action. And don’t forget to check out our batter vs pitcher stats, to help you shape your baseball bets.

The Yankees enter this matchup as solid home favorites, laying -158 on the moneyline at FanDuel. Bettors looking to back the home squad on the runline will find a lucrative +128 payout if they can win by two or more runs.

For those liking Minnesota to even up the series, they’re getting decent +140 odds over at bet365. They are also getting 1.5 runs, but the juice runs with it, paying out at -140 odds.

There’s some variance in the total, with Over bettors likely going to FanDuel, as the line is set at 9.5 runs. Under bettors can get a half-run more on the odds board at 10.0.

MIN Twins vs NY Yankees Prediction

• Best Bet: Yankees ML (-165 at Caesars)

Looking at the MLB probable pitchers, Brendan Beck is going to be tasked with keeping the momentum going. He squares off against Twins pitcher Zebby Matthews (4-5).

Desperate to bounce back from their recent defeat, the road underdogs will need elite production from sluggers like Royce Lewis to keep pace.

Several Yankees hitters have thrived against Zebby Matthews. Most notably, Ben Rice is 4-for-6 (.667) with two extra-base hits and a home run against the right-hander. Trent Grisham also boasts a .400 AVG with a homer in this matchup.

On the flip side, Jazz Chisholm Jr has struggled immensely, striking out in all four of his career at-bats against Matthews.

Matthews has a Strikeouts line set at 5.5, with heavy juice laid on the Under (-157). Over 56.1 innings of work, Matthews has recorded 46 strikeouts, translating to a modest 7.35 K/9 rate.

Facing a disciplined Yankees lineup, oddsmakers are understandably skeptical of a high-strikeout performance. His Total Outs prop is set at 16.5, requiring him to pitch into the sixth inning to cash the over.

Meanwhile, the entire Twins starting lineup has zero combined career at-bats against Yankees starter Brendan Beck. This adds an element of unpredictability to their offensive projections today, and is enough to have me leaning New York on the moneyline as my go-to bet.

Twins vs Yankees Props

Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Total Bases (-103 at DraftKings): Grisham is 4-2 versus a total bases line of 1.5 over his last six games. This establishes a hefty 67% cover rate while averaging 2.83 total bases per game during that span. Furthermore, he has gone over 0.5 hits in six straight games. Getting his total bases prop at a near coin-flip price of -103 offers ridiculous value given his current rhythm at the plate.

Ryan Kreidler Over 0.5 Hits (-169 at DraftKings): While laying -169 juice is slightly steeper, the underlying hit rates for Ryan Kreidler make this an incredibly reliable play. The Twins outfielder has been a consistent force, especially when playing away from Target Field. He has exceeded 0.5 hits in six of his last seven games. More importantly, he cashed this ticket in five of his last six road games. Backing Kreidler to record at least one base knock is a sturdy investment.

Tristan Gray Under 0.5 Hits (+103 at DraftKings): Sometimes the best value lies in fading a struggling player. Tristan Gray has been mired in a prolonged slump when playing as the visitor. Gray has failed to eclipse 0.5 hits in nine of his last 10 road games, translating to a minuscule 10% over cover rate. Because sportsbooks typically juice the Over heavily on hits markets, I can grab the Under at plus-money (+103). Fading a hitter with a 90% away failure rate presents a massive mathematical edge.