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- The Blue Jays and Cubs square off in a make-up game from last month
- Dylan Cease faces David Peterson in a duel between pitchers performing much differently
- See the Toronto vs Chicago odds, my prediction and favorite MLB player props
The Toronto Blue Jays (54-61) travel to the Windy City for a make-up game against the Chicago Cubs (66-49) Thursday afternoon. First pitch for this battle is scheduled for 2:20 PM ET at Wrigley Field.
Coming off hard-fought, one-run victories against different opponents yesterday, both clubs head into this one winning five of their last seven. Toronto’s elite strikeout artist Dylan Cease squares off against Chicago’s pitch-to-contact lefty David Peterson, with the former having an outstanding season.
There are plenty of angles to exploit on the MLB odds. Let’s break down the MLB player props and find the best markers for this tilt.
Best Blue Jays vs Cubs Prop Bets & Predictions
Finding actionable betting value in MLB total hits props and strikeout markets comes down to identifying structural advantages. I am relying purely on current season splits and recent form to build my betting card.
Pick: David Peterson Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+100 at Kalshi)
While much of the strikeout hype in this game revolves around Cease, the most compelling edge on the mound lies in fading Peterson. Operating primarily as a pitch-to-contact arm rather than a power pitcher, he owns a modest 6.0 K/9 rate.
When diving into his recent game logs, betting the under on his MLB pitcher strikeout props has been highly profitable. Peterson has stayed under 3.5 strikeouts in eleven of his last 14 starts, cashing at a 78.5% success rate.
Situationally, he has gone under this mark in four of six starts with Chicago (66.7%) after previously pitching for the Mets on the campaign.
Pick: Myles Straw Over 0.5 Hits (-154 at DraftKings)
Toronto outfielder Myles Straw might not have explosive power, but his contact-heavy approach makes his hits market incredibly appealing. Straw has exceeded 0.5 hits in four of his last five games overall (80.0% cover rate), averaging 1.2 base knocks per contest in that span, with extra-base hits in all but one of those affairs.
He has cleared this prop in four straight games against Chicago. His ability to put the ball in play makes this a very safe floor bet.
Blue Jays vs Cubs Starting Pitcher Props
Cease brings massive strikeout upside, backed by a dominant 13.1 K/9 rate this season. DraftKings offers -109 juice on the over for his 7.5 line. His MLB pitching outs props are heavily juiced at 17.5 (-170), indicating oddsmakers expect him to pitch deep into this contest.
Blue Jays vs Cubs Odds & Ballpark Factors
When handicapping totals, the environment is just as vital as the matchup. Wrigley Field has played as a hitter-friendly track this season. In 58 games, it averages 9.5 runs, 16.9 hits, and 2.8 home runs per game.
This offensive backdrop adds mathematical backing to the MLB home run probabilities for sluggers like Kazuma Okamoto. It also reinforces fading a low-strikeout pitcher like Peterson in a run-heavy environment.
Odds as of August 6 from Caesars Sportsbook.
Toronto enters as a slight road favorite on the moneyline at -121. The game total sits at a modest 7.5 runs. Start betting at Caesars now to grab these lines.
Blue Jays vs Cubs Injury Report
How to Watch Blue Jays vs Cubs
TV Networks: Rogers Sportsnet, TVA Sports, Marquee Sports
Away Team: Toronto Blue Jays
Home Team: Chicago Cubs
Date: Thursday, August 6th
Game Time: 2:20 PM ET / 11:20 AM PT
Venue: Wrigley Field
Location: Chicago, Illinois