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At one point in the early hours of this morning where the betting markets thought the Greens were nearly as likely as Reform to win the most seats at the next general election, leaving the Tories well behind.

I find that extraordinary and my view from last night hasn’t changed, backing the Tories as a proxy for a Reform implosion represents value although I suspect there might be even more value in May when the Tories get banjaxed in the locals and this market looks even more distorted, especially I expect the Greens to do well in London, where all London borough councillor seats will be up for election.

TSE





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