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  • Spain will control the tempo against Belgium with heavy ball possession metrics
  • Finding positive-expected value requires targeting Kalshi goalscorer markets
  • See my top Spain vs Belgium goalscorer picks and assist props to bet

Spain meet Belgium at 3:00 pm ET in Los Angeles on Friday, July 10, for the right to play France in the World Cup semifinals.

Spain’s flawless defensive structure faces a massive test against Belgium’s veteran firepower in this quarterfinal clash.

Below, I will break down the implied probabilities and reveal my top anytime goalscorer predictions for this heavyweight showdown.

Spain vs Belgium Anytime Goalscorer Picks & Assist Props

Backing Mikel Oyarzabal presents excellent plus-money value at 41¢ on Kalshi. The Spanish forward has been ruthless, benefiting from his squad’s dominant ball possession.

On the other side, Leandro Trossard stands out as a lucrative longshot at 12¢. While cracking Spain’s backline is daunting, Trossard remains a proven catalyst for the Red Devils.

Lamine Yamal at 33¢ provides another fantastic angle. The dynamic winger remains a constant threat against a Belgian defense that yields high-danger chances during transitions.

Mikel Oyarzabal Anytime Goalscorer (41¢ / +144) at Kalshi

At 41¢ on Kalshi, backing Mikel Oyarzabal to score yields excellent expected value. The Spanish forward operates as his nation’s primary attacking focal point, amassing a team-high four goals across five tournament matches.

With Spain dictating the pace of play through an overwhelming 65.6% average ball possession, Oyarzabal consistently finds himself in high-leverage areas of the final third. Furthermore, Belgium’s defense has proven vulnerable throughout the competition, conceding five goals over their five fixtures. This creates a highly favorable environment for Spain’s top finisher to strike again.

Leandro Trossard Anytime Goalscorer (12¢ / +733) at Kalshi

Leandro Trossard presents a massive value play at 12¢ on Kalshi, representing deep plus-money odds. Breaking Spain’s backline remains the toughest assignment in the tournament, as La Roja have surrendered zero goals across five matches.

However, Trossard serves as a crucial dual-threat for the Red Devils, logging two goals and a team-leading three assists. If Belgium’s veteran core is finally going to shatter Spain’s flawless streak of clean sheets, the versatile attacker is heavily equipped to manufacture the breakthrough.

Lamine Yamal Anytime Assist (28¢ / +257) at Kalshi

Rather than backing Lamine Yamal to score at 33¢, I prefer his 1+ assist price at 28¢ on Kalshi. The collective Spanish setup has produced nine total goals during its tournament push, and Yamal remains one of the players most likely to create the final pass when Spain attacks Belgium’s transitional spaces.

He still carries goal threat, but his best path to a winning ticket is supplying Oyarzabal or another Spanish runner, so the cheaper assist market offers the stronger risk-reward profile.



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