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- The Tampa Bay Rays are -170 home favorites when they open a 3-game set vs the Tigers
- Tampa owns the best home record in baseball at 21-6
- Read below for the my Tigers vs Rays picks, predictions and latest odds
After a series win over the Angels, the Tampa Bay Rays seek their third win in four games when they host the struggling Detroit Tigers.
Detroit was just swept out of town against the White Sox, and bring the second-worst road record into the Trop against the team with the best home record in baseball. That’s a big reason why the Tampa is the betting favorite in the MLB odds.
First pitch scheduled for at 6:40pm ET Monday night from Tropicana Field in Tampa, in a game that can be seen live on MLB TV.
Tigers vs Rays Odds
The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change. Use theScore Bet promo code to wager on Tigers vs Rays and other MLB action.
Tampa enters with -162 odds on FanDuel to win outright, with much tasiter +135 odds to win by at least two runs at bet365.
Detroit’s odds to pull an upset check in at +145, and a less enticing -155 against the spread from BetMGM, as they’re getting 1.5 runs to cover.
There’s a little variance in the total, so over bettors should head to BetMGM, where the line is set to 7.5 runs paying at -120 odds, while Under bettors can find a slightly higher line of 8.0 runs, paying out at -120 odds at bet365.
Tigers vs Rays Picks and Prediction
- Best Bet: Rays ML (-162 at FanDuel)
Looking at the MLB probable pitchers, Detroit will hand the ball to Ty Madden, while the Rays counter with Griffin Jax on the mound.
Jax brings a strong 1.71 ERA to the mound despite his 0-1 record. However, a deeper dive into his peripherals suggests his actual run prevention might regress, indicated by a 4.50 FIP.
Operating primarily as an opener, Jax averages 3.50 innings per start with an elevated 4.01 BB/9 walk rate. Despite issuing free passes, he limits damage by holding batters to a .230 average.
Madden arrives with an excellent statistical profile in a limited sample. Sporting a 0-0 record, he yields a solid 2.38 ERA and 0.79 WHIP.
His underlying numbers back up this success, highlighted by a 2.62 FIP. Madden shows elite command and swing-and-miss stuff, generating 9.53 strikeouts per nine innings. He stifles opposing lineups, restricting batters to a .171 average.
Griffin Jax vs Ty Madden Pitching Stats
The Rays an absolute force at home, boasting a 21-6 record at Tropicana Field. They average 5.00 runs and 8.44 hits per game in front of their home crowd.
Conversely, the Tigers have struggled heavily away from Comerica Park. Carrying an 8-24 road record, Detroit’s offense drops off significantly when traveling. They manage just 3.56 runs per game on a .225 batting average.
Injuries aren’t helping Detroit, with their middle infield gutted as both Javier Baez and Gleyber Torres are on the 10-day injured list.
Tampa Bay holds a significant offensive advantage over Detroit. As a team, the Rays are hitting .260 with a .726 OPS, compared to the Tigers’ .229 average and .676 OPS. Tampa Bay’s starting pitching has also been tremendous, boasting a collective 3.09 ERA.
The Tigers simply do not generate enough hard contact or base hits to keep pace with a potent home offense.