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  • UFC 329’s prelim card is loaded with great betting opportunities
  • Look past heavy favorites to find massive situational value elsewhere
  • Keep reading for my UFC 329 prelims picks, predictions and best undercard bets including Yanez vs Garbrandt

UFC 329’s preliminary card kicks off tonight at 5:00 PM ET from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas and on Paramount+. While the main card is grabbing the headlines, the undercard is an absolute goldmine for sharp bettors looking to build their bankroll before the evening’s marquee bouts.

My favorite prelim target is the bantamweight clash between Adrian Yanez and Cody Garbrandt. When breaking down the fight statistics, the physical disparity in that matchup is just too vast to ignore. I will detail exactly how to extract maximum value from that fight and several others below.

Let’s dive into the UFC 329 prelims pick, predictions and best undercard bets including the Yanez vs Garbrandt bout.

UFC 329 Prelims Odds

Odds as of July 11 at DraftKings. To lock in these UFC 329 odds and explore more prop options, be sure to check out the best UFC betting apps before the first bell rings.

The UFC 329 prelim odds run the full spectrum, from near coin-flip fights to lopsided mismatches. Robert Whittaker (-125) and Cong Wang (-122) are only slight favorites in their bouts, offering the cleanest moneyline value on the card.

On the other end, Gable Steveson opens at a staggering -1450, while Adrian Yanez (-425) and Farid Basharat (-600) are heavy chalk that push bettors toward the distance props instead. Most of these fights carry short round totals, a sign the market expects several early finishes across the undercard.

UFC 329 Prelims Predictions

Krylov vs Whittaker Prediction

My prediction for this light heavyweight clash lands firmly on Robert “The Reaper” Whittaker. The Reaper enters the contest with an impressive career record of 27 victories and 9 losses. He must navigate a noticeable physical deficit against Nikita Krylov (31-11). “The Miner” brings a towering 6’3″ frame and a 77.5-inch reach into the octagon.

Whittaker stands 6’0″ with a 73.5-inch reach. He will have to rely on his blistering speed and elite striking experience to overcome Krylov’s distinct length advantages. At -125, the moneyline offers solid value on a former champion finding his rhythm at a new weight class.

Garbrandt vs Yanez Prediction

In this highly anticipated bantamweight bout, Adrian Yanez is the clear side. However, laying -425 on a straight moneyline is bad business. Instead, I am targeting the Under 1.5 Rounds prop at +160 to extract proper betting value.

A look at their physical measurements tells a compelling story. While Cody “No Love” Garbrandt holds a slight height advantage at 5’8″, Yanez possesses a massive 70-inch wingspan. That completely dwarfs Garbrandt’s 65.5-inch reach.

Yanez will expertly manage distance with that 4.5-inch reach advantage. Given Garbrandt’s history of chin issues when caught in the pocket, I expect Yanez to find the knockout early, cashing this plus-money under before the midway point.

Cortez vs Wang Prediction

Cong “The Joker” Wang is my pick to defeat Tracy Cortez in the flyweight division. With no previous meetings on record between the two women, I rely heavily on their career trajectories and physical matchups to spot the edge.

Wang brings a stellar 9-1 professional record into this bout, making her a highly dangerous puzzle. Cortez (12-3) is the more experienced fighter on paper, but Wang holds the physical edge across the board. She stands 5’6″ tall with a 66.5-inch reach, edging out Cortez (5’5″ height, 65.5-inch reach).

Without any historical data suggesting Cortez can bypass those physical hurdles, Wang’s superior measurables and cleaner record make her a solid investment at this short price.

Riley vs Kamaka Prediction

The undefeated Luke Riley is one of the most dangerous prospects on this entire card. The Liverpudlian enters at a perfect 13-0 professional record and carries substantial physical advantages into his featherweight bout against Kai “Da Fighting Hawaiian” Kamaka III (18-7-1).

Riley stands 5’9″ with a 69-inch reach, matching Kamaka’s 69-inch wingspan but holding a two-inch height edge over the 5’7″ Hawaiian. More importantly, Riley’s unblemished record speaks to his finishing ability and overall skill level. Kamaka is a durable veteran, but he has been stopped before and the gulf in momentum between these two fighters is enormous. Riley is ascending rapidly while Kamaka is treading water.

At -218, Riley is priced as a solid favorite, and rightfully so. Back the unbeaten prospect to continue his march toward contention.

Steveson vs Ellison Prediction

Olympic gold medalist Gable Steveson is the biggest favorite on the entire UFC 329 prelim card at -1450 on the moneyline. There is zero value laying that kind of juice straight up. Instead, I am targeting Steveson to win by stoppage via the method of victory market at -350, a far more reasonable price that still carries strong implied probability.

Steveson (3-0) is a physical specimen standing 6’1″ and weighing in at 249 pounds. His opponent, Elisha “The Snack Panther” Ellison (5-2), stands 6’0″ with a 78-inch reach but lacks the wrestling pedigree to keep this fight standing or survive on the mat.

Steveson’s Olympic-level takedowns and top pressure are simply too overwhelming for this level of competition. Whether it ends via ground-and-pound TKO or a suffocating submission, expecting a decision here is foolish. Back the method of victory and collect at a much better number than the bloated moneyline.

Pinas vs Almeida Prediction

Damian “The Baba Yaga” Pinas is a rising middleweight terror, and this is a spot where laying the moderate chalk makes sense. The 23-year-old Surinamese fighter boasts a 9-1 record and a freakish 79.5-inch reach from his 6’1″ frame.

His opponent, Cesar “Cesinha” Almeida (7-2), is nearly identical in height at 6’1″ but gives up a massive 5.5 inches of reach at just 74 inches. That disparity is borderline unfair at the middleweight level. Pinas will be able to pepper Almeida from distance without ever entering the danger zone.

At 23 years old and with only one blemish on his record, Pinas is a legitimate future contender. The -258 price tag is justified given the physical mismatch and his trajectory. Take the rising star.

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