USF vs Memphis Football Prediction, Pick and H2H Betting History

Warning: Undefined array key "post_type_share_twitter_account" in /var/www/vhosts/casinonewsblogger.com/public_html/wp-content/themes/cryptocurrency/vslmd/share/share.php on line 24

The #18 South Florida Bulls are 6-point road favorites over Memphis in Week 9 American Conference action
USF quarterback Byrum Brown has accounted for 18 touchdowns in his last four games
Check out the USF vs Memphis football prediction, pick and H2H betting history below

Two 6-1 teams clash Saturday in a massive American Conference showdown. The #18 South Florida Bulls visit the Memphis Tigers in a game that’ll likely decide who stays in the College Football Playoff hunt, per the CFP Playoff Bracket.

Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm ET at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, TN, with ESPN2 providing the broadcast.

Here is my USF vs Memphis prediction, pick, and H2H betting history for Saturday afternoon.

Memphis looked unstoppable until last week’s stunning 31-24 loss to UAB as 24-point favorites. Now they’re catching 5.5 points at home against a Bulls team that’s crushing everyone in their path. The Tigers’ quarterback situation is the biggest concern heading into this one.

Brendon Lewis left last week’s game with a lower-body injury and is considered day-to-day. If he can’t go, freshman A.J. Hill takes over after struggling against UAB. That’s a massive dropoff for a Tigers offense that needs every weapon firing to keep pace with USF’s explosive attack.

USF’s Byrum Brown is playing at an elite level right now. He torched Florida Atlantic for 256 passing yards, three touchdowns, plus 111 rushing yards and another score. The dual-threat QB has racked up 329 rushing yards after contact this season, ranking fifth nationally. He’s basically impossible to bring down.

USF Offensive Stats

Memphis has dominated this series recently, but this USF team is different. The Bulls are tied for the national lead with 17 takeaways. According to PFF, they’ve transformed their run defense since Week 4, ranking 15th nationally in run defense grade and second in yards before contact allowed.

That’s bad news for a Memphis squad that leans heavily on its ground game (221.6 yards per game). The Tigers managed just 119 rushing yards against UAB, their lowest output all season.

USF vs Memphis Pick

Betslip #1761383260486-481c-538

I’m rolling with USF -6 as my official pick. The Bulls have covered in five of their last seven games, while Memphis is just 3-4 ATS over that same stretch. Yes, the Tigers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss, but they haven’t faced an offense this explosive.

The X-factor is Memphis’s blitz-heavy scheme. They blitz 43% of the time (35th nationally), and Brown has struggled against pressure this season. Per PFF, he’s graded just 61.3 against the blitz (103rd nationally) with five of his seven turnovers coming when teams bring extra rushers.