Will Trump Attend World Cup Games? See Latest Odds from Prediction Markets

• The Group Stage of the World Cup is rolling along, with matches being played throughout the United States as one of the host nations
• President Trump has been in the mix at several recent sporting events, including the NBA Finals and the UFC Freedom 250 event at the White House, leading many to speculate on the potential of Trump appearing at a World Cup match
• Prediction markets are offering the latest odds for how many World Cup matches Trump will attend

President Trump is a huge (or, as he would put it, “yuuuuge”) sports enthusiast. And historically, only a minuscule percentage of the reason for his attendance at the biggest events has been for the photo op. He’s knowledgeable about strategy, personnel, management, and more.

With UFC Freedom 250 having been a star-studded success, happening in conjunction with Trump’s 80th birthday, the attention now turns to other sporting events. The NFL is months away, MLB is a long slog, only now just approaching its midway point, and the NBA and NHL just completed their seasons with new champions crowned.

With that in mind, the sports-loving president needs to keep his name and likeness out there to massage his ego and sell his message with the midterm elections rapidly approaching. Already, Trump’s World Cup czar, Andrew Giuliani, made it a point to say that the administration’s allowing the Iran national team early entry into the U.S. was a “goodwill gesture,” so the president is not shy about using the event for political purposes.

What better way to do that than to attend one or more World Cup matches?

For many Americans, however, soccer has yet to come to the forefront of their sports viewing. Only in the last two decades or so has “the Beautiful Game” gained a deepening foothold in American culture. But with a rise in the national population of people who come from soccer (or fútbol; or “footy”) loving countries and the ability to watch and wager on games from the Premier League and other leagues all over the world, it has exponentially grown in popularity.

The World Cup being held in North America makes it a natural for the president to attend a game or two or three in the U.S. It certainly helps that the U.S. Men’s National Soccer Team (USMNT) inflicted a brutal beating on Paraguay, winning 4-1, in its opening match during the group stage.

As the tournament proceeds, prediction markets are offering options to jump in and invest in how many matches Trump might attend.

Will Trump Attend World Cup Games? Trade on Prediction Markets

Trading volume for this market is approaching $52,000, but it is sure to rise as the tournament proceeds.

Most users think that Trump will attend at least one match. That percentage is in the mid-80s. Fewer than half believe he will go to at least two matches. Finally, just over 20% think he will go to a minimum of three matches.

For those who want to take part in this market, the Kalshi referral code offers new users a $15 Sign Up Bonus once $10 in trades have been completed.

The rules dictate that Donald Trump must attend the selected number of 2026 FIFA World Cup matches for the market to resolve to Yes. The sources can be from Trump himself via official means, his social media accounts, or official broadcasts. It can also be a reputable news organization like The New York Times, The Athletic, the Associated Press, Fox Sports, Bloomberg News, ESPN, Reuters, and more.

Trump Is a Likely Attendee at 2026 World Cup Matches, but How Many?

As stated earlier, Trump loves sports. But he also has a tendency to zone out if an event cannot maintain his interest. Since it’s unlikely that Trump has a deep understanding of the nuances of soccer and would be bored by the inherent lack of scoring, he might be a one-and-done at the matches, barring a Cinderella run by the USMNT.

Before the tournament, the prospect of the USMNT rising to contention with the likes of Brazil, France, England, Germany, Spain, and other soccer/fútbol-mad countries was the stuff of an “underdog makes good” Mighty Ducks-like film. But after their performance against Paraguay, there is cautious enthusiasm that the U.S. could make a dramatic improvement from its past failures.

Fans and media held their collective breath when star winger/attacking midfielder Christian Pulisic was kicked in his calf against Paraguay and was pulled in the first half. The USMNT and Pulisic himself are downplaying the injury.

As the U.S. president, Trump will make sure to attend at least one match. Since the U.S. won its opener in the group stage and the top two teams in the group advance to the knockout stage, the U.S. is in a good position to advance. Group D includes the U.S., Australia, Türkiye, and Paraguay.

Suffice it to say, the U.S. should get into the knockout stage.

If they do, Trump will almost assuredly attend the first match. With that, the likely scenario is that he’ll attend a group match and a knockout match. So picking at least two Trump-attended matches is a very safe stance. Then the question becomes, “Do I think the U.S. will win a match in the knockout stage?”

Naturally, that means getting to the Round of 16.

It’s not out of the realm of possibility for it to happen. The USMNT’s best showing in the World Cup was third place in the inaugural event in 1930. In 1994, the last time the World Cup was held in the U.S., they made it to the Round of 16. In 2002, they reached the Quarterfinals. In 2022, they made it to the Round of 16.

The further they go, the more attention Trump will pay. It’s worth it to say Trump will attend at least three matches and staking that position would yield a nice profit.