Yankees vs Nationals Expert Picks, Predictions & Splits

• The Yankees and Nationals meet for Game 2 of their series today in Washington
• New York holds a massive pitching advantage with Cam Schlittler on the mound
• Check out the Yankees vs Nationals expert picks, predictions and splits, below

The New York Yankees (51-42) and Washington Nationals (48-46) continue their series at Nationals Park this afternoon, with first pitch scheduled for 4:05 PM ET, and the game broadcast on YES and NATS.tv.

Entering as clear road favorites in the MLB odds, the Yankees look to build momentum after taking last night’s contest 5-3. New York flexed its offensive muscle in the victory, tallying 13 hits and four home runs, including notable blasts from Jazz Chisholm Jr and Austin Wells.

Although the Nationals fell short in the 5-3 defeat, elite young outfielder James Wood and catcher Keibert Ruiz both homered to keep the game within reach. Below, I’ll breakdown the top Yankees vs Nationals expert picks and predictions, along with the latest betting splits.

Yankees vs Nationals Expert Picks and Predictions

My favorite bet today is the Yankees moneyline. The underlying statistics in the MLB starting lineups point heavily toward a decisive New York victory. The starting pitching matchup represents the most glaring disparity of this game, heavily favoring the World Series odds contender.

New York boasts an elite run-prevention unit, carrying a stifling 3.40 team ERA that ranks second overall in Major League Baseball. Conversely, the Nationals struggle heavily to suppress opposing lineups, laboring to a bloated 4.77 team ERA that places them 26th in the league. This massive pitching gap provides a distinct edge to New York.

Even without Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton for much of the season, the lineup has generated 453 runs on the campaign. Backed by a vulnerable Washington bullpen posting a 5.05 ERA this season, projecting a high-scoring environment is a logical angle for this matchup.

I am targeting the following specific game lines and MLB player props based on situational edges:

• Moneyline Pick: New York Yankees (-186 / 65¢) at Kalshi
• Over/Under Pick: Over 9 Runs (-105) at Caesars
• Cam Schlittler Over 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts (-138) at Bet365

Cam Schlittler vs Miles Mikolas Stats

Schlittler has been spectacular for the Yankees this season. He brings a 2.01 ERA, a 0.93 WHIP, and a 9-5 record into today’s start. His underlying metrics support this top-tier production, boasting a 2.58 FIP while missing bats at a tremendous rate.

Over his last 58.2 innings of work, Schlittler continues to overpower hitters, logging a 2.61 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP. During that span, his strikeout rate ticked up to 11.05 K/9, holding opposing batters to a .223 average.

Mikolas struggles to find his footing for Washington. Through eight starts, the veteran carries an 8.53 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP. He is highly susceptible to solid contact, allowing opponents to hit .306 while managing only 5.92 strikeouts per nine innings.

While Mikolas improved slightly over his last 10 games with a 4.97 ERA, his meager 4.31 K/9 during this stretch means he relies heavily on his defense. Due to limited historical data between these specific rosters, there is negligible career batter vs pitcher stats to analyze.

Yankees vs Nationals Odds

Odds as of July 11. Claim the Bet365 promo code to bet on MLB today.

While traditional sportsbooks have priced New York as -198 favorites in the Yankees vs Nationals odds, you can find the Bronx Bombers trading at 65-cents to beat Washington at Kalshi today, which is the equivalent of -186 odds. Don’t forget to use the Kalshi referral code to score a bonus to bet on MLB.

Yankees vs Nationals Splits

When examining the MLB public betting splits, the market heavily backs the road favorites today. The betting action on the moneyline is overwhelmingly tilted toward New York, with 97.3% of the total money wagered backing the visitors alongside 86.7% of the betting tickets.

The sentiment remains nearly identical on the runline. Bettors are laying the -1.5 runs with New York, commanding 87.5% of the money and 79.3% of the tickets. Action on the game total also favors a high-scoring affair, with the Over taking in 74.5% of the total money.