Expert Picks, Player Props & Odds for DR Congo vs Uzbekistan

• Congo DR offers significant moneyline value at Kalshi (56¢) against a broken defense
• Expect a sluggish tempo, making the Under 2.5 total goals (52¢) an elite mathematical play in DR Congo vs Uzbekistan odds
• Yoane Wissa presents massive value (33¢) to find the net in DR Congo vs Uzbekistan player props

I am targeting significant value in this World Cup Group K finale. Congo DR enters this match needing a victory to keep their knockout hopes alive, sitting on one point after a draw and a loss. Conversely, Uzbekistan is reeling from a disastrous two-game losing streak and is functionally playing for pride.

This critical matchup kicks off at 7:30 p.m. ET on June 27, 2026, at Atlanta Stadium in Atlanta, GA.

From a betting perspective, Congo DR serves as a heavy neutral-site favorite against an outmatched Central Asian squad. I expect Congo DR to dictate the tempo using the attacking dynamism of Yoane Wissa and the elite defensive suppression of Aaron Wan-Bissaka. Meanwhile, Uzbekistan desperately needs talisman Eldor Shomurodov to spark their lifeless attack. Let’s dive into the market to extract the most profitable angles.

DR Congo vs Uzbekistan: Betting Odds

Odds as of June 26, 2026, at 9:48 p.m. ET from Kalshi, with equivalent U.S. odds in parentheses.

I see the market correctly positioning Congo DR as the stronger side, but Kalshi offers a better entry point than the traditional -139 sportsbook moneyline referenced in the broader market.

The 56¢ Congo DR contract implies roughly a 56 percent win probability, while the Under 2.5 angle is available through the “No” side of the Over 2.5 goals market at 52¢. Wissa’s 33¢ anytime goalscorer price is the biggest discrepancy on my board because it converts to roughly +203 in American odds.

DR Congo vs Uzbekistan: Picks, Predictions & Best Bets

I am attacking three distinct betting angles for this matchup. By shopping for the best lines, particularly leveraging Kalshi’s event contracts, I have identified substantial positive expected value.

Pick 1: Congo DR Moneyline (56¢ at Kalshi)

Congo DR is the clear analytical choice, and our World Cup game odds back that up. I am bypassing the -139 price at Caesars and buying “Congo DR Yes” at Kalshi for 56¢, which translates to a highly favorable -127 implied price. Sébastien Desabre’s squad has conceded only two goals in the tournament. In contrast, Uzbekistan has completely collapsed, hemorrhaging eight goals across two matches. Congo DR does not need a massive offensive output to break a defense allowing 4.0 goals per game.

Pick 2: Under 2.5 Total Goals (52¢ at Kalshi)

Despite Uzbekistan’s matches soaring over totals due to opponents scoring at will, this specific tactical setup points firmly to the Under. I am buying the “Over 2.5 goals scored – No” contract at Kalshi for 52¢ (-108 implied), vastly superior to the -122 offered at traditional books. Both teams operate in a possession void. Congo DR averages 29.5 percent possession; Uzbekistan sits at 33.5 percent. Congo DR has registered just 15 total shots in two games. Furthermore, 100 percent of Congo DR’s matches in this tournament have cashed the Under 2.5 ticket.

Pick 3: Yoane Wissa Anytime Goalscorer (33¢ at Kalshi)

Uzbekistan’s disorganized defensive structure is a prime target for Wissa’s clinical finishing, and the Newcastle United striker should be among the most popular types of World Cup prop bets. While traditional sportsbooks price him around +155, Kalshi offers Wissa to score one or more goals at 33¢ (+203 implied odds). This represents a massive market inefficiency. Wissa acts as the tip of the spear for a Congo DR side that must push forward to improve their goal differential for potential tiebreakers.

DR Congo vs Uzbekistan: Recent Form

Using each team’s last 10 matches across World Cup, friendly and continental competition, the recent-form profile is much clearer as an aggregate snapshot.

Congo DR’s recent record is not explosive, but it is defensively sound: five clean sheets in 10 matches and only six goals conceded. Uzbekistan has won five of its last 10, but the current trend is alarming, with four straight losses and 12 goals conceded during that skid.

DR Congo vs Uzbekistan: Team Stats Comparison

When evaluating the underlying data, both teams profile as low-block, defensive-minded squads. However, only one side has actually executed that strategy effectively.

Offensively, these squads are near statistical mirrors. Both have scored just once through two matches while generating similar shot volume. The true mismatch lies strictly in defensive resistance. Congo DR has conceded only two total goals despite absorbing pressure, while Uzbekistan’s structure is entirely broken, yielding eight goals. This massive gap in goal prevention is exactly why my betting focus targets Congo DR.

DR Congo vs Uzbekistan: Injury Report & Missing Players

I rarely see this late in a tournament, but both squads enter this crucial matchup with a completely clean bill of health. Neither manager has a single player listed as missing or doubtful on the latest medical reports.

For Congo DR, this continuity provides a massive edge. I know they rely heavily on defensive discipline, and keeping their preferred backline intact ensures maximum stability. Uzbekistan has their entire roster available as well, meaning they have no physical excuses for their tactical breakdowns. I expect both managers to deploy their optimal starting XIs in Atlanta.

DR Congo vs Uzbekistan: Projected Starting Lineups

DR Congo (3-5-2): Lionel Mpasi; Steve Kapuadi, Chancel Mbemba, Axel Tuanzebe; Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Noah Sadiki, Edo Kayembe, Samuel Moutoussamy, Arthur Masuaku; Yoane Wissa, Cedric Bakambu

Uzbekistan (3-4-3): Abduvohid Ne’matov; Rustamjon Ashurmatov, Abdukodir Khusanov, Abdulla Abdullaev; Bekhruz Karimov, Akmal Mozgovoy, Otabek Shukurov, Khojiakbar Alijonov; Aziz Ganiev, Eldor Shomurodov, Abbosbek Fayzullaev