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- The Minnesota Twins are -150 home favorites in the third of a 4-game set vs the Kansas City Royals
- KC has just three wins in their last 11 games
- Read below for the my Royals vs Twins picks, predictions and latest odds
The Minnesota Twins would love to get into the thick of the AL Central race with both Cleveland and Chicago. Beating up on the last-place Kansas City Royals on Saturday, in the third of a 4-game set, would definitely help.
KC is in a rough patch right now, with just three wins in their last 11 games, part of the reason they’re road underdogs in the latest MLB odds.
First pitch scheduled for at 2:10pm ET this afternoon from Target Field in Minneapolis, in a game that can be seen live on both ESPN Unlimited and MLB TV.
Royals vs Twins Odds
The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change. Use theScore Bet promo code to wager on Royals vs Twins and other MLB action.
The Twins are pretty healthy -150 moneyline favorites at bet365. Bettors looking for better returns can find plus-money value (+130) by backing the visitors on the moneyline, courtesy of FanDuel.
Looking at the spread, a wager on Minnesota to win by at least two runs comes with +145 juice, while KC getting 1.5 runs and covering offers a less enticing -162 odds.
The game total sits 8.5 runs, where Over bettors can enjoy +100 odds, as opposed to taking the Under, with a -115 payout.
KC Royals vs MIN Twins Prediction
- Best Bet: Twins ML (-155 at Caesars)
The starting pitching disparity between MLB probable pitchers makes the Twins the clear play to win this contest.
I am backing Minnesota largely due to Joe Ryan’s dominance on the mound. He boasts a 3.20 ERA and an elite 10.11 K/9 rate across 70.1 innings this season. I expect Ryan to neutralize a Royals lineup that averages just 3.48 runs per game on the road.
Luinder Avila vs Joe Ryan Stats
Conversely, Luinder Avila has labored through his major league starts with a bloated 2.13 WHIP and 7.88 walks per nine innings. His lack of command spells trouble against a Minnesota lineup that has generated 296 runs and a .703 team OPS this year.
Even if Ryan pitches well, both bullpens show significant vulnerability. The Royals’ relief corps carries a 5.01 ERA, and the Twins sit at 4.80.
The situational numbers heavily favor the home team. Minnesota manufactures 4.76 runs per game with a .719 OPS at Target Field. Kansas City limps into this matchup with a 10-21 road record, hampered by an offense that averages just 3.48 runs per game away from Kauffman Stadium.
Royals vs Twins Picks
Joe Ryan Over 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts (-139 at Caesars): It’s a very generous line you should take advantage of, as Joe Ryan has been ringing up batters of late. He has recorded at least nine strikeouts in each of his last three starts, and has recorded at least six punchouts in six of nine starts.
Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Total Bases (+116 at Caesars): I love Buxton to eclipse 1.5 total bases against Avila’s erratic control. He’s picked up hits in 15 of his last 21 games, grabbing at least two total bases in nine of those games.